Sure! Here's another idea for trading this Gold (XAU/USD) chart based on what we see — this time, a bearish scenario that challenges the current bullish setup. This provides a contrarian view or alternative strategy in case the bullish pattern fails.
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🟥 Alternative Idea: Bearish Rejection from Resistance
🔍 Rationale:
The price is currently testing the previous resistance zone around 3,433–3,435.
The upward movement might be a lower high in a downtrend.
There’s potential for a fakeout or bull trap, especially if volume does not support the breakout.
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🛠️ Setup: Short Trade
Entry: Around 3,433 – 3,435, if price shows rejection (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar)
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high ~3,445
Take Profit: Near 3,410 – 3,406 (previous demand area)
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⚖️ Risk-Reward:
Risk: ~10–12 points
Reward: ~25–30 points
✅ RR Ratio: ~2.5 to 1
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🧠 Confirmation to Look For:
Bearish candlestick reversal patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing)
Decreasing volume on the last push up
Divergence on RSI or MACD (if available)
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📉 Possible Outcome:
If gold fails to break above the current level and falls below 3,420 support, it could lead to a deeper correction — especially if USD strengthens or risk sentiment turns negative.
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Would you like a visual sketch of this bearish setup on the same chart, or want me to simulate it with indicators like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci retracement?
---
🟥 Alternative Idea: Bearish Rejection from Resistance
🔍 Rationale:
The price is currently testing the previous resistance zone around 3,433–3,435.
The upward movement might be a lower high in a downtrend.
There’s potential for a fakeout or bull trap, especially if volume does not support the breakout.
---
🛠️ Setup: Short Trade
Entry: Around 3,433 – 3,435, if price shows rejection (like a bearish engulfing or pin bar)
Stop Loss: Above recent swing high ~3,445
Take Profit: Near 3,410 – 3,406 (previous demand area)
---
⚖️ Risk-Reward:
Risk: ~10–12 points
Reward: ~25–30 points
✅ RR Ratio: ~2.5 to 1
---
🧠 Confirmation to Look For:
Bearish candlestick reversal patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing)
Decreasing volume on the last push up
Divergence on RSI or MACD (if available)
---
📉 Possible Outcome:
If gold fails to break above the current level and falls below 3,420 support, it could lead to a deeper correction — especially if USD strengthens or risk sentiment turns negative.
---
Would you like a visual sketch of this bearish setup on the same chart, or want me to simulate it with indicators like RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci retracement?
signals pirovidar and analysis
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signals pirovidar and analysis
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
t.me/+hFs_76f2iZo3OGE0
t.me/+hFs_76f2iZo3OGE0
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
t.me/+hFs_76f2iZo3OGE0
t.me/+hFs_76f2iZo3OGE0
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.