Loads Ltd.
Long

LOADS (PSX) – Monthly Breakout Setup + Auto Sector Seasonality

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LOADS is completing a multi-year rounded bottom and preparing for a major structural breakout above 21.00 on the monthly chart. Volume is the highest since 2019, price is above both 20 & 55 EMAs, and RSI has entered a bullish regime above 60 — all confirming a long-term trend shift.

🚗 Pakistan Auto Sector Seasonality (Important for LOADS)

Historically, Pakistan’s auto industry shows recurring strength in:

🔵 March, April, May, June → strongest sales/production months (corporate fleet purchases, year-end financing, pre-budget buying)
🟡 Sept–Oct → moderate strength
🔴 Weak months: July–Aug, Dec–Jan, Ramadan period (demand dips)

Since LOADS is an auto-parts supplier, price action often strengthens ahead of these high-demand months, which aligns with the current breakout structure.

📊 Risk–Reward Structure
🟢 Buy Zone (Accumulation): 15–18 PKR

Price holding above EMAs with strong demand zones.

🟦 Breakout Trigger: Monthly Close > 21.00

Unlocks higher timeframe bullish continuation.

🎯 Upside Targets

T1: 28 PKR → initial swing target

T2: 35.21 PKR → major 2018 resistance

T3: 47.53 PKR → full rounded-bottom measured move

🔴 Stop-Loss

< 13.50 (Monthly Close) → structure invalidation

R:R ranges between 1:2 → 1:6+ depending on target selection.

📌 Why This Setup Stands Out

Multi-year rounded bottom + higher-low structure

Strong volume expansion during right-side breakout

RSI in a bullish regime for the first time since 2017

Earlier Fan Principle breakout (Feb–Mar) validated the trend shift

Sector seasonality supports continuation into the next fiscal cycle
Nota
Highly dependent on Auto sales.

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