2/6/25 - $net - I'll fade on a pop, sidelines

6 feb

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NET
I'll fade on a pop, sidelines

- deepseek reflex pump indexer
- this company is impressive. underlying trends strong. will eventually grow into these mutliples
- but this mkt is getting a bit long in the tooth with 25-30x sales plays growing in the 20s. i'm in the mkt long enough to know... enjoy... but don't take your eye off the momo ball bc any miss, any change in risk appetite sends these things down 20-25% fast, and they're even hard to buy there, initially.
- so while i'm not fading a co where expectations/ beats are the norm... any pop of say >10%, ideally larger... i'm fading you as a hedge to stuff that's legit growing just as fast and valued at like 1/10th (*ahem* uber, *ahem* uber... and i'll even throw in btc, tho that's a different discussion).

so. hope you're right. but better be ready to face me on the otherside if this pops AH, otherwise on a dip, i won't be buying and just look to play elsewhere.

V

7 feb

Trade attivo

officially short at $165.

good luck to the bulls. hope you keep getting +15% style moves on mediocre beats. this is partially why i stayed on the sidelines - we're in the final inning before something happens to risk - and you can bet any real money is trimming this thing up here to make cash. alas. good luck, let's see - anything's possible in the short term. that's why you come back to the casino everyday, right? :)

V