Descending Triangle / Falling Trendline Resistance

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step-by-step technical analysis of Poonawalla Fincorp Ltd (Weekly Chart) the same way:

🔎 1. Chart Pattern

The stock is currently forming a Descending Triangle / Falling Trendline Resistance.

Price is approaching the trendline resistance (~₹480–485).

Breakout above ₹485–490 will confirm trend reversal.

If rejected, it may retrace back to lower supports.

🔎 2. Support & Resistance

Immediate Resistance: ₹483–490 (trendline + horizontal supply).

Next Resistance Levels: ₹514 → ₹520 (previous swing high).

Major Resistance: ₹550.

Immediate Support: ₹440 → ₹420 (recent consolidation).

Major Support Zone: ₹365 → ₹340.

Long-term Support: ₹267 (very strong base).

🔎 3. Candlestick / Price Action

The last few weekly candles show strong bullish momentum, higher highs, and higher lows.

But approaching a major supply zone (~₹480–490) → possible profit booking.

A weekly close above ₹490 with volume will confirm fresh breakout rally.

🔎 4. Indicators Perspective

RSI: Likely near 65–68 → bullish momentum but nearing overbought zone.

MACD: Positive crossover with rising histogram → bullish confirmation.

Volume: Increasing on recent up-move → accumulation happening.

Moving Averages:

Price trading above 20W & 50W EMAs → trend bullish.

If it sustains above ₹485, 200W EMA breakout likely confirms long-term uptrend.

🔎 5. Trend Outlook

Primary Trend (1–2 years): Bullish, provided stock sustains above ₹490.

Intermediate Trend (2–6 months): Neutral to bullish, watch for breakout.

Short Term (1–4 weeks): Testing resistance zone ₹480–490, may consolidate.

📌 Conclusion (Expert View)

✅ Stock is in strong uptrend but at a crucial resistance (₹483–490).
✅ Breakout above ₹490 can lead to targets ₹514 → ₹520 → ₹550.
✅ If rejected, stock can pull back to ₹440 → ₹420 zone (buying zone).
⚠️ Risk-Reward currently not very favorable until clear breakout.

👉 Strategy:

Traders: Wait for weekly close above ₹490 to enter fresh longs.

If already holding, book partial profit near ₹480–490, re-enter above ₹490 breakout.

Investors: Can accumulate on dips to ₹420–440 with SL ₹365

this is only for educational purpose not for suggestion

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