Did $TGT trigger a Bullish Divergence or is it just a Bull Trap?

TGT appears to have found support in the $100 - $105 range. I’ve been monitoring the stock and noticed a significant surge in institutional buying volume during the latter half of Friday’s session (3/21/2025), with nearly 32 million shares traded. The last time we saw such an unusual spike in volume, it triggered a gap-up and a sustained rally from 11/2023 to 4/2024.

A particularly notable development is the sharp increase in call option activity when the price dipped to the $101.xx zone early in the session. Both premiums and implied volatility (IV) spiked higher than usual. Additionally, MACD is on track for a bullish crossover by the final week of March 2025, while RSI, currently in the oversold zone, is showing signs of a recovery with a bullish divergence forming.

If Monday (3/24) and Tuesday (3/25) close green, expect selling pressure on Wednesday and Thursday. Friday (3/28/2025) will be a decisive session to determine whether Target can rebound toward $110 - $120 - $130.

However, Bearish on Weekly is the main trend, also keep in mind that Trump’s tariffs are still looming, with the next deadline set for Canada & Mexico is 4/2/2025. Don’t expect another extension. If you’re in profit, consider closing positions in this week. If Target fails to hold the $100 - $105 support zone, the next destination could be $90.

Disclaimer.