Scalping & Mid-Term Analysis for Toncoin

Market Overview:
Trend: Toncoin is in a clear downtrend, breaking below key moving averages.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~$4.00 - $4.10
Support: ~$3.70 (weak), ~$3.50 (stronger)
Indicators:
MACD: Strongly bearish, indicating further downside potential.
RSI: At 25.2, oversold, suggesting a possible short-term bounce.
Volume: Decreasing, meaning weak buying pressure.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping (Short-Term Play)
Why? TON is near oversold levels, meaning a small bounce is possible.
How?
Buy near $3.70, targeting a bounce to $3.90 - $4.00.
Sell near $4.00 - $4.10, as resistance is strong.
Stop-loss below $3.65, as further breakdown risk exists.
🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Trend Resumes)
Trigger: A breakout above $4.10 or breakdown below $3.70.
Execution:
If TON breaks $4.10, scalp long targeting $4.30 - $4.50.
If TON drops below $3.70, scalp short targeting $3.50 - $3.40.
🩸 3. EMA Scalping
Why? TON is trading far below the 200 EMA ($5.37), confirming bearish momentum.
Execution:
Short near EMA 9 (~$3.90 - $4.00) if price fails to reclaim it.
Go long only if price holds above $4.10 with strong volume.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish → Neutral if $4.10 reclaims
Why?
TON is heavily oversold, but momentum is still bearish.
$3.70 must hold—if lost, a drop to $3.50 is likely.
RSI signals oversold conditions, but a bounce needs volume confirmation.
If TON reclaims $4.10, upside potential to $4.50 - $4.70 opens.
🔥 News & Market Context:
No strong bullish catalysts, so TON depends on overall market movement.
If BTC breaks down, expect further downside for TON.
Potential short squeeze if volume increases above $4.10.
🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out?
🩸 Short-term: Scalping is possible, but risk is high.
🩸 Mid-term: Bearish unless TON breaks and holds above $4.10.
🩸 Ideal Play: Look for a bounce from $3.70 or short rejection near $4.00.

👑 Final Verdict:
$3.70 must hold! If lost, TON heads for $3.50. If $4.10 breaks, bullish recovery possible. Play smart! 🔥