possible short on usdcad

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USDCAD looking like a nice short if it plays out the way I am expecting, started on the daily and a saw an overall down trend, then moved on to the 4h and looked for my support and resistance and saw that price has previously rejected 1.2800 area which its currently at now which it seems to be rejecting, which show us that it doesn't want to break this zone, if the candle closes below the area and the next candle rejects this area and goes lower than the previous wick ill be looking for a short. first time posting on here, any tips or help you guys could give would be appreciated.

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