NASDAQ Technical Analysis

5 feb

Trade Setup Overview

• Entry Price: 21,530.33
  
• Target Price: 22,232.41
  
• Stop Loss: 21,297.97
  
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
  
• Trade Type: Long Position
  
• Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital
  
• Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
  

Position Sizing and Risk Analysis

• Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management
  
• Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss)
  
• Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry)
  
• Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility
  

Technical Timeframe Considerations

• 4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach
  
• Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals
  
• Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation
  
• Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed
  

Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios

Positive NFP Scenario:

• Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum
  
• Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move
  
• Watch for potential extension beyond initial target
  

Negative NFP Scenario:

• Have preset stop loss in place
  
• No emotional attachment to position
  
• Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity
  

Trade Management Strategy

Entry Execution

• Enter at specified price of 21,530.33
  
• Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity
  
• Maintain discipline on entry price
  

Position Management

• Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable)
  
• Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward
  
• Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor
  
• Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days
  

Exit Strategy

• Primary target: 22,232.41
  
• Consider market context at target approach
  
• Use price action at target level for exit timing
  
• Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation
  

Risk Management Rules

• Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%)
  
• No averaging down on losing positions
  
• Respect stop loss level - no exceptions
  
• Consider market hours volatility
  
• Account for pre/post market gaps
  

Technical Price Levels

• Entry Zone: 21,530.33
  
• Critical Support: 21,297.97
  

Psychological Levels:

• 21,500
  
• 22,000
  
• 22,200
  

Target Zone: 22,232.41

Session Considerations

• Monitor pre-market sentiment
  
• Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW)
  
• Consider reduced position size during high-impact news
  
• Be aware of market hours volatility spikes
  

Trade Invalidation

• Clear invalidation below 21,297.97
  
• Technical structure breaks
  
• Significant shift in market sentiment
  
• Unexpected negative catalyst impac
  

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Key Reminders

• "Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline
  
• NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly
  
• 4H timeframe requires patience
  
• Stick to planned position size
  
• Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation
  

Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.

19 feb

Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto

Target reached.

Textbook performance.