Indice volatilità S&P 500Aggiornato Observing VIX
Now a lot of people are posting long ideas that it will blow up.
I am framing this idea as neutral.
Since we have a contradiction.
Consider.
1. The Heikin Ashi weekly candle is consolidating by breaking through a bullish wedge. Yes, it is definitely a very reversal pattern.
2. Two small Kumo clouds (both red and green) are floating over candles. Their size tells us that we don't have much resistance at this level. The Tenkan and Kijun lines are below the clouds, but that's not that important in this situation. What is more important is that the indicator is drawing us a declining red Kumo cloud and we can't tell if it will progress down further. Sometimes these "little red cloud, little green cloud, expanding bigger red cloud" constructions are a very implicit threat. We don't know how much its lower boundary will drop before it marks its end...And note again, this is a weekly chart, not some 4 hour chart...We'll have to watch all spring to see what happens.
3. Next. SQZMOM shows descending red bars and two gray crosses, which we have not seen for a long time. This does not augur well for the upside. In fact, on the weekly Heikin Ashi grey crosses were 3 years ago... Only with green bars and they worked out in full... SQZMOM tells us about weak growth prospects of the VIX.
4. However, we see a hidden bullish divergence on Stochastic RSI. This comes into contradiction with point 3.
5. I also looked at the latitude indication which indicates that the highs have started to dominate the lows. This is a bullish sign. But it is also inconsistent with points 2 and 3.
We'll just have to watch to see.
32.4 level is extremely important.
I am framing this idea as neutral.
Since we have a contradiction.
Consider.
1. The Heikin Ashi weekly candle is consolidating by breaking through a bullish wedge. Yes, it is definitely a very reversal pattern.
2. Two small Kumo clouds (both red and green) are floating over candles. Their size tells us that we don't have much resistance at this level. The Tenkan and Kijun lines are below the clouds, but that's not that important in this situation. What is more important is that the indicator is drawing us a declining red Kumo cloud and we can't tell if it will progress down further. Sometimes these "little red cloud, little green cloud, expanding bigger red cloud" constructions are a very implicit threat. We don't know how much its lower boundary will drop before it marks its end...And note again, this is a weekly chart, not some 4 hour chart...We'll have to watch all spring to see what happens.
3. Next. SQZMOM shows descending red bars and two gray crosses, which we have not seen for a long time. This does not augur well for the upside. In fact, on the weekly Heikin Ashi grey crosses were 3 years ago... Only with green bars and they worked out in full... SQZMOM tells us about weak growth prospects of the VIX.
4. However, we see a hidden bullish divergence on Stochastic RSI. This comes into contradiction with point 3.
5. I also looked at the latitude indication which indicates that the highs have started to dominate the lows. This is a bullish sign. But it is also inconsistent with points 2 and 3.
We'll just have to watch to see.
32.4 level is extremely important.
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Volatility probably started moving towards bullish territory.
SQZMOM shows.
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Cluster Algorithm II
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There is a twist on 2D chart, EMA 100/200
cross has already occurred.
Therefore, there is no takeoff.
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No, still the chance to fly up
will be closer to the summer.
It's a very viscous thing.
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youtube.com/watch?v=W4equIt3oRsAttention.
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Full Suspense.
A cancellation scenario, a trap?
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I believe the 2W chart shows a range within
which to expect VIX to go up any week.
May 22, 2023 - January 16, 2024.
"Tearing where it's thin.
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Crazy Sold (Fuchsia): Price is going down in a high volatility, could be a valid breakdown, or a Bear Trap.
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On June 15 the greed was 82 and the last time this peak was on February 1.
Isn't it time to go to fear?
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As I have found, the last time there was any noticeable purple indication on the long frame was on the VIX in 2010. And it was twice as short, followed by an upward explosion of over 200%.
Now the indication has been accumulating for a month, but there has not
yet been a change on the shorter timeframes.
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