Gold Traders: The Calm Before the Breakdown — Are You Ready?

5 giorni fa

1. Current Market Structure
Gold is entering a technical correction phase after fully completing the bullish impulse cycle (1) → (5).

Key structural points:
- The bullish wave cycle has completed, signaling the start of a corrective phase.
- The first corrective leg Wave A has already formed, matching the classical ABC correction model.
- The 4163–4157 zone (blue region) acts as the primary support for Wave A.
- Beneath this area lies the major Liquidity Cluster 4128–4135, where large liquidity pools are positioned—this is the ideal destination for Wave C to complete.

2. Today's Market Scenario
🔹 Main Scenario – Aligned With the Ongoing Corrective Trend
The price is expected to follow a typical ABC behavior:
Step 1 – Formation of Wave B
- Gold may experience a mild upward retracement to complete Wave B.
- This bounce is expected to be weak, as market structure remains in a corrective state.

Step 2 – Completion of Wave C
After Wave B:
- Price is likely to continue downward to complete Wave C.
- The target lies at the 4128–4135 liquidity zone.
- This move will absorb liquidity, attract large buy orders, and prepare the market for the next bullish cycle.

This is the highest-probability scenario, supported by:
Elliott Wave structure
Liquidity mapping
Current price behavior
Psychological flow ahead of major news

3. Market Psychology
- Major timeframes are signaling a short-term correction, not a reversal.
- The market is moving slowly and narrowly, reflecting caution from both sides.
- This type of movements is classic accumulation → compression before volatility expansion.
- Sideways behavior shows the market is collecting orders for the next significant move.

4. Intraday Trading Setups – Correction Strategy
📌 SETUP 1 – Timing Sell Zone
XAUUSD SELL:
👉 4265 – 4268
Take Profit (TP):
🎯 4262 – 4257
Stop Loss (SL):
❎ 4272
⚠️ Apply strict risk management.

📌 SETUP 2 – Timing Buy Zone
XAUUSD BUY:
👉 4147 – 4150
Take Profit (TP):
🎯 4153 – 4158
Stop Loss (SL):
❎ 4143
⚠️ Prioritize capital safety during corrections.

5. Conclusion
The market continues to follow the exact wave cycle previously analyzed:
✔ Wave B: Expected short-term upward retracement
✔ Wave C: Expected decline into 4128–4135 liquidity zone
✔ Overall: Correction phase still dominant
Gold is behaving textbook perfect according to Elliott Wave + liquidity structure.

Stay disciplined, trust the structure — great traders profit from patience, not luck.

4 giorni fa

Trade attivo

Gold – Moving Cleanly Inside the Channel With Macro Support

Gold continues to respect the price channel you’ve drawn, with price holding firmly near the mid-range and showing steady reactions at the lower boundary. This confirms that the current structure is still intact and that the market is moving in a controlled trend rather than breaking down.

From a macro perspective, several factors are still supportive for gold:
- Expectations of future Fed rate cuts keep real yields under pressure, which typically strengthens gold.
- Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive safe-haven demand, giving gold additional stability during pullbacks.
- A softer USD outlook also helps maintain upward bias as investors hedge against currency risk.

With price respecting the channel and macro conditions leaning supportive, gold remains positioned for a potential continuation move — especially if buyers defend the lower boundary and momentum builds toward the upper trendline.