World gold price this morning reversed down with spot gold down 15.2 USD to 1,950.3 USD/ounce. December gold futures were last traded at $1,978.8 per ounce, down $30.4 from dawn the previous day.
In the context of lack of information driving the market, the USD appreciation put pressure on gold. Earlier this morning, the US Dollar Index, which measures the volatility of the greenback, rose to 102 points.
According to Shah, if recession fears materialize, gold futures prices will rise. In this scenario, gold can reach 2490/ounce. That number would be 22% above the nominal all-time high (reached in August 2020) and close to that in real terms. However, it would be 28% below the all-time high reached in 1980.