Analysis of the latest trend of gold market:

11 feb

Analysis of gold news: On Tuesday (February 11), the market fluctuated narrowly during the U.S. trading session. Gold is currently trading around $2,905, and hit a record high of $2,942.70 earlier. Investors flocked to this safe-haven asset after U.S. President Trump imposed a new 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, sparking concerns about potential trade wars and inflation. Mainly driven by U.S. President Trump's new 25% tariff on imported steel and aluminum. This policy has exacerbated market concerns about inflation and escalating trade wars, prompting investors to flock to gold as a safe-haven asset. These tariff threats have triggered a new round of gold frenzy, pushing the safe-haven metal to a new high and bringing the target price of $3,000 into view. Tariffs may exacerbate inflation in the United States, and investors are waiting for the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be released on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) data to be released on Thursday. There are three main drivers of the rise in gold prices: geopolitical tensions have led investors to seek safe havens, central banks have bought heavily to ensure continued demand, and current monetary policies have made "non-yielding assets" more attractive.

Technical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 2912 yesterday, and only retreated to around 2896 before starting to rise directly. Today, it retested around 2905 in the early Asian session and continued to rise, but then there was a sharp and rapid drop in the early Asian session, and the lowest point also touched the 2905 line. 2905 was the starting point of today's early trading and the watershed between long and short today, but it does not mean that it has peaked after falling below 2905. Falling below 2905 only means that there will be no new highs today. It is likely to maintain volatility today, and the subsequent upward pattern will still be. Therefore, this rapid drop in the market is not a signal of peaking or a reason to short. From the perspective of the market, gold is still dominated by bulls. Although it has risen sharply during the week, we still tend to close the week with a negative line or a long upper shadow line after 7 consecutive positive weekly lines. Today's intraday high of 2942 ushered in a rapid dive, indicating that the shorts are counterattacking or the longs have a need for profit-taking; with the rise in prices and the impact of news, the volatility is increasing, and the fluctuation of 10-20 US dollars is completed in an instant. As for the next step, whether gold will go to 3,000 US dollars or fall back, everything is possible; today's strong support below focuses on the 2896 US dollar line, which is also the retracement position of the US market last night. If this position is maintained, gold will still be bullish. Once it falls below this position, the decline is too large, and there is a possibility of a short-term peak or a high-level shock correction again. Again, excessive decline is not a reason for peaking. As long as the price declines quickly, it will not be sustainable. If the price declines, it is still bullish. There is only one situation, that is, it falls slowly, closes directly weak, and then the decline continues, which can be regarded as a peak. Therefore, the sharp sell-off in the big rise is not the peak. Only when there is a long-term wash or sideways at a high level, or a long-term top divergence in a short period of time, can the top be formed. Based on this logic, a sharp drop corresponds to a slow rise, and it is still long. On the whole, our professional and experienced gold analysis team recommends that the short-term operation of gold today is mainly long on the pullback, supplemented by short on the rebound. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2925-2930 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2880-2875 line of support.

From the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating at the 2903 line. We focus on the 2896-2890 line of support below, and the 2920-2927 line of short-term suppression above. After all, the bulls have dominated the trend recently. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long on the pullback

Gold operation strategy:

1. Go long on the 2890-2896 line of gold when it falls back, stop loss at 2881, and target the 2920-2925 line; continue to hold if it breaks!

12 feb

Trade attivo

2/12 Summary and key points of gold trading strategy

1. Key points and technical aspects
Upper resistance: 2910 (short-term), 2930 (key), 2942-2950 (extension).

Lower support: 2880 (core), 2860 (break target), 2840-2830 (deep decline area).

Watershed: 2900 (basis for judging strength and weakness in Asian morning session).

2. Trend judgment
Large cycle: bulls dominate, medium- and long-term gains are still there.

Short-term: obvious technical correction needs, and the effectiveness of 2880 support needs to be continued during the day.

2/12 Intraday trading short-term reference
Gold trading strategy 1: short at rebound highs
Entry point: short near 2908.

Stop loss: 2915.

Target: 2900-2890-2880 (break can be gambled to hold to around 2860).

Trading logic: If the rebound in the early Asian session cannot stabilize at 2900, there is a high probability that it will continue to adjust deeply and test the support below.

Strategy 2: Go long at a low point
Entry point: Go long once when it first touches 2880.

Stop loss: 2874.

Target: 2894-2906-2915 (can be held to 2930 if it breaks through).

Logic: 2880 is the short-term defense line for bulls. If it stabilizes and rebounds, it may continue to fluctuate at a high level.

Strategy 3: Dealing with extreme market conditions
Deeply falling to the area near 2840: choose the opportunity to go long at a low level.

Strongly pull up above 2930: choose the opportunity to go short at a high level, and pay attention to the effectiveness of the technical strong resistance above 2950.

Risk management
1. Stop loss setting
Control the position well in the short term during the day, and adjust it manually flexibly to avoid being triggered by false breaks.

2. Position management
The risk of a single transaction should be controlled within 1%-2% of the total funds, and positions should be built in batches to avoid heavy positions.

3. Real-time signal confirmation
K-line pattern: In the Asian morning session, pay attention to whether there is a bearish engulfing or high-altitude signal near 2900, and whether there is a hammer line or morning star (low-long signal) near 2880.

Indicator assistance: RSI overbought (>70) cooperates with short orders, oversold (<30) cooperates with long orders; MACD dead cross/golden cross confirms momentum.

4. Market sentiment and data
Pay attention to changes in the US dollar index, US Treasury yields, and geopolitical risk events.

In the US session, pay attention to the trend of CPI data and be alert to fluctuations caused by sudden news.

Emphasize the important position again
1. The water difference between strength and weakness is 2900, and the Asian market fluctuates around 2900.
If 2900 is not broken after multiple tests, you can test the short position and do it in batches; otherwise, if it stands firm at 2900, wait and see, waiting for the direction of the US market.

2. If the European session breaks below 2880
Confirm that it has broken through and rebounded, choose the opportunity to participate in short selling with stop loss and small position game, the target is 2860→2840.

3. The US session rebounds and breaks through 2910
If accompanied by an increase in trading volume, if it falls back to 2900 without breaking, you can choose to do short-term longs, the target is 2930, pay attention to the second high trend, and consolidate at high levels!

Summary
Gold is currently in the technical correction stage of the bullish trend. It should be treated with a shock mentality during the day. The key point range is 2910-2880. Sell high and buy low. Be vigilant about the game between the big cycle trend and the short-term adjustment. If 2880 is lost, it may open up a deeper correction space. Strictly stop losses in operation, avoid holding orders, and flexibly adjust strategies according to the market.

12 feb

Trade chiuso: obiettivo raggiunto

Analysis of the latest gold market trends:

Analysis of gold news: Spot gold bottomed out and rebounded during the U.S. market on Wednesday (February 12), and is currently trading around $2,894/ounce. The price of gold fell back after hitting a record high on Tuesday, as investors took profits after gold prices hit a record high. The Federal Reserve Chairman's testimony to Congress said that he was not in a hurry to cut interest rates, which also suppressed gold prices. However, due to concerns that U.S. President Trump's new tariff measures would trigger a global trade war, investors are still bullish on gold prices. Spot gold closed down 0.36% at $2,897.38 an ounce on Tuesday, hitting a high of $2,942.70 earlier in the session, the eighth record high this year. Traders are closely watching U.S. inflation data released on Wednesday for new clues to the interest rate outlook for the world's largest economy. The market expects the U.S. CPI to increase by 2.9% year-on-year in January, consistent with December, and is expected to increase by 0.3% month-on-month, and the previous value was 0.4%; the U.S. core CPI in January is expected to increase by 3.1% year-on-year, and was 3.2% in December, but it is still well above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and is expected to increase by 0.3% month-on-month, and the previous value was 0.2%. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the speech made by Atlanta Fed President Bostic on the economic outlook. Trade ministers from EU countries will hold a video conference to discuss Trump's imposition of steel and aluminum tariffs, and investors also need to pay close attention.

Technical analysis of gold: Looking at gold from the market, bulls are still taking the initiative. Although it has risen sharply during the week, after seven consecutive positive weeks, we still tend to close the negative line this week or have a long upper shadow line. Gold is still bullish. Once it falls below this position and the decline is too large, there is the possibility of a short-term peak or another high-level shock correction. From a short-term perspective, gold has also entered a stage of adjustment, but the adjustment is also very beneficial to our later layout, because only adjustment can better do more! At present, the price of gold has reached near the moving average support. At the same time, the price has also stopped near the 2881 line. The short-term adjustment clearly feels the support below. The adjustment of gold will gradually come to an end, and the rising wave will also follow! The market's concerns about the escalation of the trade war have stimulated the rise of risk aversion, pushing gold up and setting a new historical high.
In the short-term operation of gold, our senior professional gold analysis team recommends a volatile approach, focusing on $2,881 for support below and $2,930 for pressure above. If the price of gold fluctuates and pulls back, falling below the daily 5-day moving average, be alert to profit selling pressure.

On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is based on the senior professional gold analysis team's recommendation to mainly buy at the low level of the correction, supplemented by short selling at the rebound high level. The top short-term focus will be on the first-line resistance of 2910-2915, and the bottom short-term focus on the 2880-2875 first-line support.

From the 4-hour analysis, we focus on the short-term suppression of 2910-2915 on the top, the short-term support of 2875-2880 on the bottom, and the long and short watershed of 2857 on the bottom. The operation is mainly based on the range. Be cautious in chasing orders in the middle and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.

Gold operation strategy:

1. Go long on gold when it falls back to 2876-2880, stop loss at 2871, target at 2908-2910; continue to hold if it breaks!

2. Go short on gold when it rebounds to 2910-2915, stop loss at 2920, target at 2876-2880;