Shannon Entropy Volatility Analyzer

21 ore fa

This algorithm aims to measure market uncertainty or volatility using a Shannon entropy-based approach. 🔄📊
Entropy is a measure of disorder or unpredictability, and here we use it to evaluate the structure of price returns within a defined range of periods (window length). 🧩⏳ Thus, the goal is to detect changes to identify conditions of high or low volatility. 🔍⚡
What we seek with Shannon's formula in this algorithm is to measure market uncertainty or volatility through dynamic entropy. This measure helps us understand how unpredictable price behavior is over a given period, which is key to making informed decisions. 📈🧠
Through this formula, we calculate the level of disorder or dispersion in price returns based on their probability of occurrence, enabling us to identify moments of high or low volatility. 💡💥
Shannon Entropy Calculation 📏
• Uses probabilities to measure uncertainty in returns. 🎲
• Entropy is normalized on a scale of 0 to 100, where:
o High Entropy: Unpredictable movements (high uncertainty). ⚠️💥
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o Low Entropy: Structured movements (low uncertainty). 📉🔒
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• With probabilities, we measure the level of dispersion or unpredictability of returns using Shannon's entropy formula. 📊🔍

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Indicator Usefulness 🛠️
• Identify High Volatility: When the market is unpredictable, the indicator signals "High Uncertainty." ⚡🔮

• Detect Market Stability: When the market is more predictable and structured, the indicator highlights "Low Uncertainty." 🔒🧘♂️
• Neutral Zones: Helps monitor markets without extreme conditions, enabling safer entry or exit opportunities. ⚖️🚶♂️
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Uncertainty Zones 🌀
1. High Uncertainty: When entropy exceeds the upper threshold. 🚨🔺
2. Low Uncertainty: When entropy is below the lower threshold. 🔻💡
3. Neutral: When entropy lies between both thresholds. ⚖️🔄
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What We Aim to Achieve with the Formula in Practice 🎯
1. Detection of Volatile Moments: Shannon’s formula helps us identify when the market is unpredictable. This is a good moment to take additional precautions, such as reducing position size or avoiding trading during high volatility phases. ⚠️📉
2. Trading Opportunities in Stable Markets: With low entropy, we can identify when the market is more predictable, favoring trend or momentum strategies with a higher chance of success. 🚀📈
3. Optimization of Risk Management: By measuring market volatility in real-time, we can adjust entry and exit strategies, tailoring risk based on the level of uncertainty detected. 🔄⚖️
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We hope this makes it easy to interpret and use. If you have any questions or comments, please feel free to reach out to us! 📬😊