OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
200WMA Overlay + Z (heatmap mapping)

This script enhances the classic 200-week moving average (200WMA), a long-term market reference line, by adding Z-Score mapping and optional helper bands for extended cycle analysis.
Features
200WMA Anchor: Plots the true 200-week simple moving average on any chart, a widely followed metric for long-term Bitcoin and crypto cycles.
Helper Multiples: Optional overlay of key historical ratios (×0.625, ×1.6, ×2.0, ×2.5) often referenced as cycle support/resistance zones.
Z-Score Mapping: Translates the ratio of price to 200WMA into a Z-Score scale (from +2.5 to –2.5), offering a statistical perspective on whether the market is undervalued, neutral, or overheated relative to its long-term mean.
On-Chart Label: Current Z-Score displayed directly on the last bar for quick reference.
How to Use
Long-Term Valuation: The 200WMA serves as a “fair value” baseline; large deviations highlight extended phases of market sentiment.
Heatmap Context:
Positive Z values typically mark undervaluation or favorable accumulation zones.
Negative Z values highlight overvaluation or profit-taking / distribution zones.
Strategic View: Best used to contextualize long-term market cycles, not for short-term signals.
Confluence Approach: This indicator should not be used alone — combine it with other technical or fundamental tools for stronger decision-making.
Originality
Unlike a basic 200WMA overlay, this version:
Incorporates multi-band ratios for extended cycle mapping.
Introduces a custom Z-Score scale tied directly to price/WMA ratios.
Provides both visual structure and statistical interpretation on a single overlay.
Features
200WMA Anchor: Plots the true 200-week simple moving average on any chart, a widely followed metric for long-term Bitcoin and crypto cycles.
Helper Multiples: Optional overlay of key historical ratios (×0.625, ×1.6, ×2.0, ×2.5) often referenced as cycle support/resistance zones.
Z-Score Mapping: Translates the ratio of price to 200WMA into a Z-Score scale (from +2.5 to –2.5), offering a statistical perspective on whether the market is undervalued, neutral, or overheated relative to its long-term mean.
On-Chart Label: Current Z-Score displayed directly on the last bar for quick reference.
How to Use
Long-Term Valuation: The 200WMA serves as a “fair value” baseline; large deviations highlight extended phases of market sentiment.
Heatmap Context:
Positive Z values typically mark undervaluation or favorable accumulation zones.
Negative Z values highlight overvaluation or profit-taking / distribution zones.
Strategic View: Best used to contextualize long-term market cycles, not for short-term signals.
Confluence Approach: This indicator should not be used alone — combine it with other technical or fundamental tools for stronger decision-making.
Originality
Unlike a basic 200WMA overlay, this version:
Incorporates multi-band ratios for extended cycle mapping.
Introduces a custom Z-Score scale tied directly to price/WMA ratios.
Provides both visual structure and statistical interpretation on a single overlay.
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.