DH: (Study) Super Smart SuperTrend: Self Adjusting

9 ott 2019

SUPER SMART SUPERTREND (Study Version w/Alerts)

Using data from other indicators I came up with a SMART SUPERTREND that auto-adjusts as the market changes - shall we call it "Artificial Intelligence?" Yes, you can fine tune it for specific assets and timeframes, but once the settings are entered, it auto-adjusts as the market and prices evolve.

This is the STUDY version of "Super Smart SuperTrend" with ALERTS. There is also a STRATEGY version which is designed for backtesting various settings.

STRATEGY VERSION FOR BACKTESTING IS HERE
https://www.tradingview.com/script/tC0nHci8-DH-Strategy-Super-SmartSuper-Trend-Backtest-Version/

ABOUT THIS INDICATOR
As the name suggests, 'Supertrend' is a trend-following indicator that is notably popular here on Tradingview and elsewhere. It does a remarkably great job of recognizing a trend (in progress) and it will signal you to initiate a position when the trend is clear. Perhaps the greater value of Supertrend is that it helps keep you in your position until that trend is over.

WHAT'S THE BEST ATR PERIOD AND MULTIPLIER?
There are two important data points we must enter for Supertrend to work, namely the 'period (ATR number of candles or days)' and the 'multiplier (value by which ATR is multiplied)' BTW, in case you don't know, ATR signals the degree of price volatility. A common default setting is 10 for the ATR period and 3 for the multiplier.

SORRY, BUT THE MOVIE STARTED HALF HOUR AGO...
Unfortunately Supertrend has a couple of big weaknesses. Generally, it fails in a sideways-moving market and when it does detect a trend, the signal to get in (or out) comes rather late. It's like someone telling you about a great movie they're watching, but by the time you start watching, one-third of the movie is over... bummer, right?

HOW TO IMPROVE SUPERTREND
One solution is to combine Supertrend with other indicators such as MACD, Parabolic SAR, RSI, etc. And another solution is to experiment (backtest) with the Period and Multiplier settings for the asset and timeframe you are considering for trade.

For the STANDARD SETTINGS in this "Super Smart SuperTrend" indicator, I have set 9 for the ATR and 2.2 for the multiplier as default after backtesting on Bitcoin and other crypto (mostly in the 15 minute to 6 HOUR timeframe). Of course you can change this easily to any ATR period and Multiplier you like.

BUT... WHY NOT GET SMART?
I started thinking, it might be best if we let the market determine candle-by-candle what the settings should be. If everyone says that Supertrend works best in conjunction with other indicators, why not do our "conjuncting" programmatically (ie: automatically) sorta like artificial intelligence!

HOW IT WORKS
So here's what I did. Using data from other indicators I came up with a SMART SUPERTREND that auto-adjusts as the market changes. It still has settings so you can fine tune it for specific assets and timeframes, but once the settings are entered, it auto-adjusts as the market and prices evolve.

With "Super Smart SuperTrend" there is no ATR period setting (that is determined programmatically) and now there are TWO multipliers you can experiment with... (a lower one set at 1.7 default and a higher one at 2.5). These multiplier settings create a multiplier range that can be used programmatically to adjust the multiplier as the market and prices evolve.

THE RESULTS
Across all time frames and assets I've tested, I generally get better results. Better entries, better exits and well defined trends. In comparison with a STANDARD Supertrend, it is not radically different, but when it does differ "Super Smart SuperTrend: is almost always better. All this is substantiated by backtesting of course.



SAMPLE BACKTEST RESULTS (BTC/USD)
Using Indicator Defaults
TIMEFRAME STANDARD RESULTS SUPER SMART RESULTS
% Profitable | Profit Factor % Profitable | Profit Factor
DAY 58.33% 9.38 75.00% 10.77
4 HOUR 78.43% 18.22 80.95% 21.78
1 HOUR 74.11% 8.98 70.13% 9.34
15 MIN 58.10% 6.10 71.43% 9.48

Keep in mind that "Profit Factor" is key. It basically tells you what you'd make for every ONE DOLLAR invested by consistently trading with the backtested parameters.

SUPER SMART SUPERTREND FEATURES
• There is a STUDY VERSION w/Alerts
• There is a STRATEGY VERSION for Backtesting
• Standard 'Current Time Frame' SuperTrend Line
• Standard 'Higher Time Frame' SuperTrend Line
• Auto-Adjusting Dynamic Optimized SuperTrend Line
> Most Signals Are Same or Better than Standard
> Refine Results w/Sensitivity Inputs (2 Multipliers)
> Impressive Comparison Backtests
• Both Standard and Smart Signals and Alerts
• Toggle Any Line/Signal (On/Off)
• Toggle Backtest
> Standard vs. "Smart Auto-Adjust"
> Backtest Higher Timeframe Only

WHAT MORE COULD YOU ASK FOR?
So glad you asked. Actually, there is more... Super Smart SuperTrend is incorporated into my premier indicator set called: STONEHENGE PLUS: SUPERTREND TRADING TOOLKIT.



With STONEHENGE, I'm combining this Super Smart SuperTrend with dozens of other indicators plus predictive "Stones." Check out STONEHENGE... you'll be in Trader's Heaven.

That's it. Get "SMART" Today!

STONEHENGE PLUS:
The Complete SuperTrend Trading Toolkit
https://www.tradingview.com/script/Ari4nnhD-DH-Strategy-Stonehenge-SuperTrend-Plus-Toolkit-Stones/



SUPER SMART SUPERTREND ALSO WORKS WITH:
STONEHENGE BASIC: Double Stone Version (Study w/Alerts):
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ENJOY!
Dan Hollings
Master Crypto Grid Trader
Stonehenge Master Mason
Host of the "High Leverage Lounge"

Please Explore My Other Indicators, Scripts, Grids and Educational Ideas.
DanHollings on Tradingview.

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13 ott 2019

Note di rilascio

Improved script correcting a higher timeframe repaint issue that was effecting signals and fixed one of the current timeframe alerts. Slight improvement on backtested results.