Triad Macro Gauge

Introduction
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The Triad Macro Gauge (TMG) is designed to provide traders with a comprehensive view of the macroeconomic environment impacting financial markets. By synthesizing three critical market signals—VIX (volatility), Credit Spreads (credit risk), and the Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT)—this indicator offers a probabilistic assessment of market sentiment, helping traders identify bullish or bearish macro conditions.
- Holistic Macro Analysis: Combines three distinct macroeconomic indicators for multi-dimensional insights.
- Customization & Flexibility: Adjust weights, thresholds, lookback periods, and visualization styles.
- Visual Clarity: Dynamic table, color-coded plots, and anomaly markers for quick interpretation.
- Fully Consistent Scores: Identical values across all timeframes (4H, daily, weekly).
- Actionable Signals: Clear bull/bear thresholds and volatility spike detection.
Optimized for timeframes ranging from 4 hour to 1 week, the TMG equips swing traders and long-term investors with a robust tool to navigate macroeconomic trends.
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Key Indicators
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- VIX (CBOE:VIX): Measures market volatility (negatively weighted for bearish signals).
- Credit Spreads (FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2EY): Tracks high-yield bond spreads (negatively weighted).
- Stocks/Bonds Ratio (SPY/TLT): Evaluates equity sentiment relative to treasuries (positively weighted).
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Originality and Purpose
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The TMG stands out by combining VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT into a single, cohesive indicator. Its unique strength lies in its fully consistent scores across all timeframes, a critical feature for multi-timeframe analysis.
Purpose: To empower traders with a clear, actionable tool to:
- Assess macro conditions
- Spot market extremes
- Anticipate reversals
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How It Works
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- VIX Z-Score: Measures volatility deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
- Credit Z-Score: Tracks credit spread deviations (inverted for bearish signals).
- Ratio Z-Score: Assesses SPY/TLT strength (positively weighted for bullish signals).
- TMG Score: Weighted composite of z-scores (bullish > +0.30, bearish < -0.30).
- Anomaly Detection: Identifies extreme volatility spikes (z-score > 3.0).
All calculations are performed using daily data, ensuring that scores remain consistent across all chart timeframes.
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Visualization & Interpretation
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The script visualizes data through:
- A dynamic table displaying TMG Score, VIX Z, Credit Z, Ratio Z, and Anomaly status, with color gradients (green for positive, red for negative, gray for neutral/N/A).
- A plotted TMG Score in Area, Histogram, or Line mode, with adaptive opacity for clarity.
- Bull/Bear thresholds as horizontal lines (+0.30/-0.30) to signal market conditions.
- Anomaly markers (orange circles) for volatility spikes.
- Crossover signals (triangles) for bull/bear threshold crossings.
The table provides an immediate snapshot of macro conditions, while the plot offers a visual trend analysis. All values are consistent across timeframes, simplifying multi-timeframe analysis.
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Script Parameters
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Extensive customization options:
- Symbol Selection: Customize VIX, Credit Spreads, SPY, TLT symbols
- Core Parameters: Adjust lookback periods, weights, smoothing
- Anomaly Detection: Enable/disable with custom thresholds
- Visual Style: Choose display modes and colors
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Conclusion
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The Triad Macro Gauge by Ox_kali is a cutting-edge tool for analyzing macroeconomic trends. By integrating VIX, Credit Spreads, and SPY/TLT, TMG provides traders with a clear, consistent, and actionable gauge of market sentiment.
Recommended for: Swing traders and long-term investors seeking to navigate macro-driven markets.
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Credit & Inspiration
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Special thanks to Caleb Franzen for his pioneering work on macroeconomic indicator blends – his research directly inspired the core framework of this tool.
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Notes & Disclaimer
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This is the initial public release (v2.5.9). Future updates may include additional features based on user feedback.
Please note that the Triad Macro Gauge is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used with proper risk management. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.