CAPM Alpha & Beta

1. How Does It Work?
Alpha:
- Definition: Alpha measures the portion of an investment's return that is not explained by market movements, i.e., the excess return over and above what the market is expected to deliver.
- Purpose: It represents the value a fund manager or strategy adds (or subtracts) from an investment’s performance, adjusting for market risk.
- Calculation:
- Alpha is derived from comparing actual returns to expected returns predicted by CAPM:
- Alpha = Actual Return − (Risk-Free Rate + β × (Market Return − Risk-Free Rate))
- Alpha = Actual Return − (Risk-Free Rate + β × (Market Return − Risk-Free Rate))
- Interpretation:
- Positive Alpha: The investment outperformed its CAPM prediction (good performance for additional value/risk).
- Negative Alpha: The investment underperformed its CAPM prediction.
Beta:
- Definition: Beta measures the sensitivity of an asset's returns relative to the overall market's returns. It quantifies systematic risk.
- Purpose: Indicates how volatile or correlated an investment is relative to the market benchmark (e.g., S&P 500).
- Calculation:
- Beta is computed as the ratio of the covariance of the asset and market returns to the variance of the market returns:
- β = Covariance (Asset Return, Market Return) / Variance (Market Return)
- β = Variance (Market Return) Covariance (Asset Return, Market Return)
- Interpretation:
- Beta = 1: The asset’s price moves in line with the market.
- Beta > 1: The asset is more volatile than the market (higher risk/higher potential reward).
- Beta < 1: The asset is less volatile than the market (lower risk/lower reward).
- Beta < 0: The asset moves inversely to the market.
2. How to Use It?
Using Alpha:
- Portfolio Evaluation: Investors use Alpha to gauge whether a portfolio manager or a strategy has successfully outperformed the market on a risk-adjusted basis.
- If Alpha is consistently positive, the portfolio may deliver higher-than-expected returns for the given level of risk.
- Stock/Asset Selection: Compare Alpha across multiple securities. Positive Alpha signals that the asset may be a good addition to your portfolio for excess returns.
- Adjusting Investment Strategy: If Alpha is negative, reassess the asset's role in the portfolio and refine strategies.
Using Beta:
- Risk Management:
- A high Beta (e.g., 1.5) indicates higher sensitivity to market movements. Use such assets if you want to take on more risk during bullish market phases or expect higher returns.
- A low Beta (e.g., 0.7) indicates stability and is useful in diversifying risk in volatile or bearish markets.
- Portfolio Diversification: Combine assets with varying Betas to achieve the desired level of market responsiveness and smooth out portfolio volatility.
- Monitoring Systematic Risk: Beta helps identify whether an investment aligns with your risk tolerance. For example, high-Beta stocks may not be suitable for conservative investors.
Practical Application:
Use both Alpha and Beta together:
- Assess performance with Alpha (excess returns).
- Assess risk exposure with Beta (market sensitivity).
Example: A stock with a Beta of 1.2 and a highly positive Alpha might suggest a solid performer that is slightly more volatile than the market, making it a suitable pick for risk-tolerant, return-maximizing investors.
In conclusion, the CAPM Alpha & Beta indicator gives a comprehensive view of an asset's performance and risk. Alpha enables performance evaluation on a risk-adjusted basis, while Beta reveals the level of market risk. Together, they help investors make informed decisions, build optimal portfolios, and align investments with their risk-return preferences.
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Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.