Cartelscope | Alchemical Intel

27 lug

SUMMARY
This unique tool looks beneath the surface of price, at a range of fundamental core catalyst metrics that tend to lead & influence price -- the price of most high cap crypto assets, most of the time.

Cartelcope offers a range of fundamental visualizations out-of-the-box, derived from first principles crypto metrics.

Like Stablecoin Supply, Coinbase Premium & Tether Dominance, as well as custom metrics that measure whale activity and macro sentiment.

Stack them vertically into a dashboard, for a top down view of some of the most relevant leading indicators. All normalized to each other.

TRADE SIGNALS
Cartelscope generates long & short signals, utilizing cumulative volume thresholds & horizontal oscillator thresholds.

Signals are designed for use with most (but certainly not all) high cap crypto assets. See the list of recommended assets at the end of these docs.

Most Cartelscope signals will make good trade entries (or exits), but no signals are perfect, and Cartelscope will never have a 100% hit rate.

ALERTS ENABLED
Cartelscope alerts are enabled out-of-the-box. With JSON automation available to Premium users.

SIGNAL CONFLUENCE
A confluence of signals from multiple metrics is a high probability trade setup.

Consider stacking & minimizing your leading indicators, for the clearest view of all signals.

Cartelscope's first two settings are important: SCOPE & LENS.

SCOPE is your data source:
What's being visualized.

LENS is your zoom:
Cumulative (zoomed out) for better long & short signals.
Realtime (zoomed in) for more precision data.


CUMULATIVE & REALTIME SIGNALS
Cumulative signals should be expected to out-perform realtime signals. They're higher timeframe, and higher conviction.

Realtime signals are shorter term. Their main use case is day to day momentum scalps, in the direction of HTF trend, with conservative targets.

Their other use case is market visualization, in a dashboard. Your focus should probably skew cumulative, but there's room for both.

SCOPES AT A GLANCE
The scopes tooltip is a helpful quickview of each use case -- expanded upon in much greater depth throughout the rest of these docs.


EXPLORING EACH SCOPE, AND THEIR USE CASES:


SMART EXCHANGE VOLUME
Volume & open interest from exchanges dominated by whales and smart money.

Divided by the opposite -- volume from 'dumb money' exchanges. Kim Chi Premium was made for that. No disrespect to our Korean friends.

Setting LENS set to cumulative reveals picture perfect buy signals, at every local low for the last 3 years.

Setting LENS to realtime offers shorter term trade signals.

The stronger the indicator print, the higher (or lower) it goes on its Y axis -- the stronger you should consider the signal.


FIAT LIQUIDITY RATIO
USDT / USD, a proxy for Tether entering (or exiting) centralized exchanges.

Expect price to follow Tether closely, in either direction.


COINBASE PREMIUM
Coinbase spot BTC premium (or discount) / BTCUSD Index

Frequent cumulative & realtime signals, for shorter term swing entries.


STABLECOIN SUPPLY
USDT + USDC market cap

Unlike Fiat Liquidity Ratio, which visualizes stablecoin inflow momentum, this metric measures market cap -- raw purchasing power across the marketplace. Which tends to reliably lead price.

In cumulative mode, signals are good, but we're less interested in them. For Stablecoin Supply, we're interested in oscillator momentum. Which reliably tends to lead price -- by days, sometimes by weeks.

In realtime mode, outsized changes to stablecoin supply tend to resolve in the direction of the change, later that same day or the next day.



BITFINEX BTC MARGIN LONGS / MARGIN SHORTS
Some call it Tether's 'man behind the curtain'. The ratio of BTC margin longs to shorts on Bitfinex plays an outsized role in day-to-day price action.

This metric paradoxically counter-trades the broader market in realtime mode, while revealing true market direction in cumulative mode.

The cumulative higher timeframe view:

In Realtime, on lower timeframes:



ESCOBAR EXPRESS
Cartelscope's most lethal weapon & highest hit rate scope.

Escobar signals are highly directionally accurate, within a 24-48 hour window. Cumulative signals should be considered dated after 48 hours.

Realtime signals are usually excellent.


TETHER DOMINANCE
USDT.D

Cumulative USDT.D generates extraordinary buy signals at key swing low pivots, like smart exchange volume.

Realtime USDT.D tends to generate well-timed lower timeframe long & short signals.


MACRO CREDIT SPREADS
This global macro metric generates some of our most reliable swing entries, in cumulative mode.


SIGNAL STRENGTH

HOW TO NAVIGATE MIXED SIGNALS

RECOMMENDED ASSETS
The author has tested all of the above signals on the following list of high cap crypto assets. Signals generally perform well on each of these assets.

Other assets may or may not perform as well with these signals. The lower the token's FDV, the less you should expect these signals to perform.


TIMEFRAMES FOR USE
For HTF big picture, use the 4H, 8H or 12H. To zoom in for day to day use, use the 1H or 15M.

SPREAD SYMBOL TRADEOFFS
Spread symbols in tradingview have limited history. Which means less backtesting data than we prefer. Most of our metrics print 2 years of history. Some print more.

Also, our scopes are 'pinned' to a timeframe -- so you see the same print, no matter what timeframe you like to use. That's a good thing. But it has the same tradeoffs -- limited history, less backtesting data.

27 lug

Note di rilascio

Minor settings updates.

4 ago

Note di rilascio

Minor settings update.