EMA Pullback Speed Strategy

📌 **Overview**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is a trend-following approach that combines **price momentum** and **Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**.
It aims to identify high-probability entry points during brief pullbacks within ongoing uptrends or downtrends.


The strategy evaluates **speed of price movement**, **relative position to dynamic EMA**, and **candlestick patterns** to determine ideal timing for entries.
One of the key concepts is checking whether the price has **“not pulled back too much”**, helping focus only on situations where the trend is likely to continue.

⚠️ This strategy is designed for educational and research purposes only. It does not guarantee future profits.

🧭 **Purpose**
This strategy addresses the common issue of **"jumping in too late during trends and taking unnecessary losses."**
By waiting for a healthy pullback and confirming signs of **trend resumption**, traders can enter with greater confidence and reduce false entries.

🎯 **Strategy Objectives**

* Enter in the direction of the prevailing trend to increase win rate
* Filter out false signals using pullback depth, speed, and candlestick confirmations
* Predefine Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels for safer, rule-based trading

✨ **Key Features**

* **Dynamic EMA**: Reacts faster when price moves quickly, slower when market is calm – adapting to current momentum
* **Pullback Filter**: Avoids trades when price pulls back too far (e.g., more than 5%), indicating a trend may be weakening
* **Speed Check**: Measures how strongly the price returns to the trend using candlestick body speed (open-to-close range in ticks)

📊 **Trading Rules**

**■ Long Entry Conditions:**

* Current price is above the dynamic EMA (indicating uptrend)
* Price has pulled back toward the EMA (a "buy the dip" situation)
* Pullback depth is within the threshold (not excessive)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bullish closes and break the previous high
* Price speed is strong (positive movement with momentum)

**■ Short Entry Conditions:**

* Current price is below the dynamic EMA (indicating downtrend)
* Price has pulled back up toward the EMA (a "sell the rally" setup)
* Pullback is within range (not too deep)
* Candlesticks show consecutive bearish closes and break the previous low
* Price speed is negative (downward momentum confirmed)

**■ Exit Conditions (TP/SL):**

* **Take-Profit (TP):** Fixed 1.5% target above/below entry price
* **Stop-Loss (SL):** Based on recent price volatility, calculated using ATR × 4

💰 **Risk Management Parameters**

* Symbol & Timeframe: BTCUSD on 1-hour chart (H1)
* Test Capital: \$3000 (simulated account)
* Commission: 0.02%
* Slippage: 2 ticks (minimal execution lag)
* Max risk per trade: 5% of account balance
* Backtest Period: Aug 30, 2023 – May 9, 2025
* Profit Factor (PF): 1.965 (Net profit ÷ Net loss, including spreads & fees)

⚙️ **Trading Parameters & Indicator Settings**

* Maximum EMA Length: 50
* Accelerator Multiplier: 3.0
* Pullback Threshold: 5.0%
* ATR Period: 14
* ATR Multiplier (SL distance): 4.0
* Fixed TP: 1.5%
* Short-term EMA: 21
* Long-term EMA: 50
* Long Speed Threshold: ≥ 1000.0 (ticks)
* Short Speed Threshold: ≤ -1000.0 (ticks)
⚠️Adjustments are based on BTCUSD.
⚠️Forex and other currency pairs require separate adjustments.


🔧 **Strategy Improvements & Uniqueness**
Unlike basic moving average crossovers or RSI triggers, this strategy emphasizes **"momentum-supported pullbacks"**.
By combining dynamic EMA, speed checks, and candlestick signals, it captures trades **as if surfing the wave of a trend.**
Its built-in filters help **avoid overextended pullbacks**, which often signal the trend is ending – making it more robust than traditional trend-following systems.

✅ **Summary**
The **EMA Pullback Speed Strategy** is easy to understand, rule-based, and highly reproducible – ideal for both beginners and intermediate traders.
Because it shows **clear visual entry/exit points** on the chart, it’s also a great tool for practicing discretionary trading decisions.

⚠️ Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Always respect your Stop-Loss levels and manage your position size according to your risk tolerance.