Since the initial backtesting study was conducted 5 months ago, we have decided to provide updated backtesting results. Please disregard the one mentioned at the start of the indicator description. This new study focuses on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart on Pepperstone. We utilized no leverage, trading exclusively in the spot market. This study involves both buy orders and sell orders, with no short positions.
Pepperstone Spot Gold Trading Commission Statement:
Order Size: $10,000 USD
Current Gold Price: $2,041.17 per ounce
Trading Strategy: Entry into a single trade, with the intention of exiting at three separate take profit (TP) points.
Commission Structure: Pepperstone offers spot gold trading with no commission fees. Trading costs are reflected in the spread.
Spread: Minimum average spread is 0.13 points.
Total Estimated Spread Cost for the Entire Trade: Approximately $0.64 USD. This is calculated based on the $10,000 order size and a minimum average spread of 0.13 points, with the current gold price of $2,041.17 per ounce.
Number of Transactions: 4 (one entry and three exits at different TP points).
Estimated Spread Cost per Transaction: The total spread cost of $0.64 USD is divided by the number of transactions (4), resulting in an estimated spread cost of approximately $0.16 USD per transaction. This means for each entry and exit in the trade, the spread cost is about $0.16 USD.
The backtest strategy parameters:
Asset: XAU USD
Timeframe: 1-h chart
Market: Spot, no leverage
Broker: Pepperstone
Trading range: 2022-11-03 — 2023-11-28
Initial Capital: $10,000
Buy Order Size: $10,000 (We use all the capital but with a tight stop loss, we keep at 0.5% the risk per trade)
Stop Loss: 0.50%
Sell orders: Four different take profits where we unload the position by 25% each time
Broker Fees: Commission set at 0.16$ per order. Each trade has typically 4 orders.
Slippage: 10 ticks
Enter a Trade conditions:
Buy order custom name: Bullish Reversal (Blue candle) with 0 candles of confirmation. This mean we enter at each blue candle at candle close.
Protect the trade conditions:
Stop loss: 0.5%
Exit a trade conditions:
1TP 'Bearish Reversal' + 1 confirmation candles
2TP 'Bearish Reversal' + 1 confirmation candles
3TP 'Bearish Reversal' + 1 confirmation candles
What does it mean this custom sell order, 'Bearish Reversal' + 1 confirmation candles? Means that we exit whenever there is a bearish reversal (orange candle) and the next candle is closing below the closing price of the orange candle if it's a close>open candle, or closing below the opening price of the the orange candle if it's a open>close candle.
Results:
We risk 0.5% of the capital per trade. 10,000$ X 0.5% = 50$.
In 1 little bit more than 1 year (2022-11-03 — 2023-11-28), 134 closed trades, we achieved a net profit of 23.16%, or $2316.39$ relative to our initial $10,000 capital, and a win rate of 62.69%.