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Aggiornato Shift 3M - 30Y Yield Spread

๐ง Shift 3M - 30Y Yield Spread
- This indicator visually displays the **inverse of the US Treasury short-long yield spread** (3-month minus 30-year spread reversal signal) in a "price chart-like" form.
- By default, the spread line is shifted by 1 year to help anticipate forward market moves (you can adjust this offset freely).
- Especially customized to be analyzed together with the movements of US indices like the S&P 500, and to help understand broader market cycles.
โ Description
- Normalizes the spread based on a rolling window length you set (default: 500 bars).
- Both the normalization window and offset (shift) are fully customizable.
- Then, it scales the spread to match your chartโs price range, allowing you to intuitively compare spread movements alongside price action.
- Instantly see the **inverse (reversal) signals of the short-long yield spread**, curve steepening, and how they align with actual price trends.
โก By reading macro yield signals, you can **anticipate exactly when a market crash might come or when an explosive rally is about to start**.
โก A perfect tool for macro traders and yield curve analysts who want to quickly catch major market turning points!
copyright invest_hedgeway
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๐ง3๊ฐ์ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์
- ์ด ์ธ๋์ผ์ดํฐ๋ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ตญ์ฑ **์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์**(3๊ฐ์๋ฌผ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์คํ๋ ๋์ ๋ฐ์ ์๊ทธ๋)๋ฅผ ์๊ฐ์ ์ผ๋ก "๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์ฐจํธ"์ฒ๋ผ ํ์ํด ์ค๋๋ค.
- ๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋ ์ ์ **1๋ (365๋ด) ์ํํธ**๋์ด ์์ด, ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ผ๋ก ํ์ ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ์ค๊ณ๋์์ต๋๋ค (๊ฐ์ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์กฐ์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ).
- ํนํ S&P500 ๋ฑ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ง์ ํ๋ฆ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ๋ถ์ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ๋ง์ถคํ๋์์ผ๋ฉฐ, ์์ฅ ์ฌ์ดํด์ ์ดํดํ๋ ๋ฐ์๋ ํฐ ๋์์ด ๋ฉ๋๋ค.
โ ์ค๋ช
- ์ง์ ํ ๋กค๋ง ์๋์ฐ ๊ธธ์ด(๊ธฐ๋ณธ: 500๋ด)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ์ค์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋๋ฅผ ์ ๊ทํํฉ๋๋ค.
- ์ ๊ทํ ๊ธธ์ด์ ์คํ์ (์ํํธ) ๋ชจ๋ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ
- ์ดํ ํ์ฌ ์ฐจํธ์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ๋ ์ธ์ง์ ๋ง๊ฒ ์ค์ผ์ผ๋งํด, ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ํ๋ฆ์ ์ง๊ด์ ์ผ๋ก ๋น๊ตํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
- **์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ์ ์ญ์ (์ญ์) ์๊ทธ๋**, ์ปค๋ธ ์คํฐํ๋ ๋ฑ๊ณผ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์์ง์์ ๊ด๊ณ๋ฅผ ํ๋์ ํ์ธ
โก ๊ฑฐ์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ์ ํธ๋ฅผ ํตํด **์ธ์ ํญ๋ฝ์ด ์ฌ์ง, ์ธ์ ํญ๋ฑ์ด ํฐ์ง์ง** ๋ฏธ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ์งํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
โก ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒ ์บ์นํ๊ณ ์ถ์ ๋งคํฌ๋ก ํธ๋ ์ด๋์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ๋ถ์๊ฐ์๊ฒ ์๋ฒฝํ ๋๊ตฌ!
copyright invest_hedgeway
- This indicator visually displays the **inverse of the US Treasury short-long yield spread** (3-month minus 30-year spread reversal signal) in a "price chart-like" form.
- By default, the spread line is shifted by 1 year to help anticipate forward market moves (you can adjust this offset freely).
- Especially customized to be analyzed together with the movements of US indices like the S&P 500, and to help understand broader market cycles.
โ Description
- Normalizes the spread based on a rolling window length you set (default: 500 bars).
- Both the normalization window and offset (shift) are fully customizable.
- Then, it scales the spread to match your chartโs price range, allowing you to intuitively compare spread movements alongside price action.
- Instantly see the **inverse (reversal) signals of the short-long yield spread**, curve steepening, and how they align with actual price trends.
โก By reading macro yield signals, you can **anticipate exactly when a market crash might come or when an explosive rally is about to start**.
โก A perfect tool for macro traders and yield curve analysts who want to quickly catch major market turning points!
copyright invest_hedgeway
============================================================
๐ง3๊ฐ์ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์
- ์ด ์ธ๋์ผ์ดํฐ๋ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ตญ์ฑ **์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์**(3๊ฐ์๋ฌผ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์คํ๋ ๋์ ๋ฐ์ ์๊ทธ๋)๋ฅผ ์๊ฐ์ ์ผ๋ก "๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์ฐจํธ"์ฒ๋ผ ํ์ํด ์ค๋๋ค.
- ๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋ ์ ์ **1๋ (365๋ด) ์ํํธ**๋์ด ์์ด, ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ผ๋ก ํ์ ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ์ค๊ณ๋์์ต๋๋ค (๊ฐ์ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์กฐ์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ).
- ํนํ S&P500 ๋ฑ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ง์ ํ๋ฆ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ๋ถ์ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ๋ง์ถคํ๋์์ผ๋ฉฐ, ์์ฅ ์ฌ์ดํด์ ์ดํดํ๋ ๋ฐ์๋ ํฐ ๋์์ด ๋ฉ๋๋ค.
โ ์ค๋ช
- ์ง์ ํ ๋กค๋ง ์๋์ฐ ๊ธธ์ด(๊ธฐ๋ณธ: 500๋ด)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ์ค์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋๋ฅผ ์ ๊ทํํฉ๋๋ค.
- ์ ๊ทํ ๊ธธ์ด์ ์คํ์ (์ํํธ) ๋ชจ๋ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ
- ์ดํ ํ์ฌ ์ฐจํธ์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ๋ ์ธ์ง์ ๋ง๊ฒ ์ค์ผ์ผ๋งํด, ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ํ๋ฆ์ ์ง๊ด์ ์ผ๋ก ๋น๊ตํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
- **์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ์ ์ญ์ (์ญ์) ์๊ทธ๋**, ์ปค๋ธ ์คํฐํ๋ ๋ฑ๊ณผ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์์ง์์ ๊ด๊ณ๋ฅผ ํ๋์ ํ์ธ
โก ๊ฑฐ์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ์ ํธ๋ฅผ ํตํด **์ธ์ ํญ๋ฝ์ด ์ฌ์ง, ์ธ์ ํญ๋ฑ์ด ํฐ์ง์ง** ๋ฏธ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ์งํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
โก ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒ ์บ์นํ๊ณ ์ถ์ ๋งคํฌ๋ก ํธ๋ ์ด๋์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ๋ถ์๊ฐ์๊ฒ ์๋ฒฝํ ๋๊ตฌ!
copyright invest_hedgeway
Note di rilascio
๐ง Shift 3M - 30Y Yield SpreadThis indicator visually displays the inverse of the US Treasury short-long yield spread (3-month minus 30-year spread reversal signal) in a "price chart-like" form.
By default, the spread line is shifted by 1 year to help anticipate forward market moves (you can adjust this offset freely).
Especially customized to be analyzed together with the movements of US indices like the S&P 500, and to help understand broader market cycles.
๐ In practice, the actual economic and market impacts of this spread tend to appear about 1 to 2 years later โ this indicator allows you to "pull forward" that signal to visualize it in advance.
โ Description
Normalizes the spread based on a rolling window length you set (default: 500 bars).
Both the normalization window and offset (shift) are fully customizable.
Then, it scales the spread to match your chartโs price range, allowing you to intuitively compare spread movements alongside price action.
Instantly see the inverse (reversal) signals of the short-long yield spread, curve steepening, and how they align with actual price trends.
โก By reading macro yield signals, you can anticipate exactly when a market crash might come or when an explosive rally is about to start.
โก A perfect tool for macro traders and yield curve analysts who want to quickly catch major market turning points!
copyright @invest_hedgeway
============================================================
๐ง 3๊ฐ์ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์
์ด ์ธ๋์ผ์ดํฐ๋ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ตญ์ฑ ์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ญ์(3๊ฐ์๋ฌผ - 30๋ ๋ฌผ ์คํ๋ ๋์ ๋ฐ์ ์๊ทธ๋)๋ฅผ ์๊ฐ์ ์ผ๋ก "๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์ฐจํธ"์ฒ๋ผ ํ์ํด ์ค๋๋ค.
๊ธฐ๋ณธ์ ์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋ ์ ์ 1๋ (365๋ด) ์ํํธ๋์ด ์์ด, ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ผ๋ก ํ์ ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ์ค๊ณ๋์์ต๋๋ค (๊ฐ์ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์กฐ์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ).
ํนํ S&P500 ๋ฑ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ง์ ํ๋ฆ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ๋ถ์ํ ์ ์๋๋ก ๋ง์ถคํ๋์์ผ๋ฉฐ, ์์ฅ ์ฌ์ดํด์ ์ดํดํ๋ ๋ฐ์๋ ํฐ ๋์์ด ๋ฉ๋๋ค.
๐ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ์ ์ผ๋ก ์ด ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ ์ ํธ๋ ์ค์ ์์ฅ์ ์ฝ 1~2๋ ๋ค์ ์ํฅ์ ๋ฏธ์น๋ ๊ฒฝํฅ์ด ์์ผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ณธ ์งํ๋ ๊ทธ ์ ํธ๋ฅผ ๋ฏธ๋ฆฌ ๋น๊ฒจ์ ํ๋์ ๋ณผ ์ ์๋๋ก ๋์์ค๋๋ค.
โ ์ค๋ช
์ง์ ํ ๋กค๋ง ์๋์ฐ ๊ธธ์ด(๊ธฐ๋ณธ: 500๋ด)๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ์ค์ผ๋ก ์คํ๋ ๋๋ฅผ ์ ๊ทํํฉ๋๋ค.
์ ๊ทํ ๊ธธ์ด์ ์คํ์ (์ํํธ) ๋ชจ๋ ์์ ๋กญ๊ฒ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๋ฅ
์ดํ ํ์ฌ ์ฐจํธ์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ๋ ์ธ์ง์ ๋ง๊ฒ ์ค์ผ์ผ๋งํด, ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ๊ณผ ํจ๊ป ํ๋ฆ์ ์ง๊ด์ ์ผ๋ก ๋น๊ตํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
์ฅ๋จ๊ธฐ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ์ฐจ์ ์ญ์ (์ญ์) ์๊ทธ๋, ์ปค๋ธ ์คํฐํ๋ ๋ฑ๊ณผ ์ค์ ๊ฐ๊ฒฉ ์์ง์์ ๊ด๊ณ๋ฅผ ํ๋์ ํ์ธํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
โก ๊ฑฐ์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ์ ํธ๋ฅผ ํตํด ์ธ์ ํญ๋ฝ์ด ์ฌ์ง, ์ธ์ ํญ๋ฑ์ด ํฐ์ง์ง ๋ฏธ๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ์งํ ์ ์์ต๋๋ค.
โก ์์ฅ์ ์ ํ์ ์ ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒ ์บ์นํ๊ณ ์ถ์ ๋งคํฌ๋ก ํธ๋ ์ด๋์ ๊ธ๋ฆฌ ๋ถ์๊ฐ์๊ฒ ์๋ฒฝํ ๋๊ตฌ!
copyright invest_hedgeway
source : fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1K08i
Note di rilascio
Final update explanation complete.Main update: Changed to emphasize that it impacts the market 1โ2 years later.
์ต์ข ์ ๋ฐ์ดํธ ์ค๋ช ๋
์ฃผ์ ์ ๋ฐ์ดํธ : 1~2๋ ํ์ ๋ฏธ์น๋ ์ํฅ์ผ๋ก ๋ณ๊ฒฝ
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Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Script protetto
Questo script รจ pubblicato come codice protetto. Tuttavia, รจ possibile utilizzarlo liberamente e senza alcuna limitazione โ per saperne di piรน clicca qui.
Declinazione di responsabilitร
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.