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[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy

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█ STRATEGY DESCRIPTION
The "Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy" is a contrarian trading system aimed at exploiting overextended bullish moves in stocks and ETFs. It monitors the number of consecutive bars that close above a chosen short-term moving average (which can be either a Simple Moving Average or an Exponential Moving Average). Once the count reaches a preset threshold and the current bar’s close exceeds the previous bar’s high within a designated trading window, a short entry is initiated. An optional EMA filter further refines entries by requiring that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, helping to ensure that trades are taken in a bearish environment.

█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy utilizes a counter variable, `bullCount`, to track consecutive bullish bars based on their relation to the short-term moving average. Here’s how the count is determined:
  1. Initialize the Counter
    The counter is initialized at the start:
  2. Bullish Bar Detection
    For each bar, if the close is above the selected moving average (either SMA or EMA, based on user input), the counter is incremented:
  3. Reset on Non-Bullish Condition
    If the close does not exceed the moving average, the counter resets to zero, indicating a break in the consecutive bullish streak.


█ SIGNAL GENERATION

1. SHORT ENTRY
A short signal is generated when:
  • The number of consecutive bullish bars (i.e., bars closing above the short-term MA) meets or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
  • The current bar’s close is higher than the previous bar’s high.
  • The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
  • Additionally, if the EMA filter is enabled, the entry is only executed when the current close is below the 200-period EMA.


2. EXIT CONDITION
  • An exit signal is triggered when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low, prompting the strategy to close the short position.


█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
  • Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish bars required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
  • Trading Window: The Start Time and End Time inputs define when the strategy is active.
  • Moving Average Settings: Choose between SMA and EMA, and set the MA length (default is 5), which is used to assess each bar’s bullish condition.
  • EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, this filter requires that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, supporting entries in a downtrend.


█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
  • This strategy is designed for stocks and ETFs and can be applied across various timeframes.
  • It seeks to capture mean reversion by shorting after a series of bullish bars suggests an overextended move.
  • The approach employs a contrarian short entry by waiting for a breakout (close > previous high) following consecutive bullish bars.
  • The adjustable moving average settings and optional EMA filter allow for further optimization based on market conditions.
  • Comprehensive backtesting is recommended to fine-tune the threshold, moving average parameters, and filter settings for optimal performance.

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