[SHORT ONLY] Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy

The "Consecutive Bars Above MA Strategy" is a contrarian trading system aimed at exploiting overextended bullish moves in stocks and ETFs. It monitors the number of consecutive bars that close above a chosen short-term moving average (which can be either a Simple Moving Average or an Exponential Moving Average). Once the count reaches a preset threshold and the current bar’s close exceeds the previous bar’s high within a designated trading window, a short entry is initiated. An optional EMA filter further refines entries by requiring that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, helping to ensure that trades are taken in a bearish environment.
█ HOW ARE THE CONSECUTIVE BULLISH COUNTS CALCULATED?
The strategy utilizes a counter variable, `bullCount`, to track consecutive bullish bars based on their relation to the short-term moving average. Here’s how the count is determined:
- Initialize the Counter
The counter is initialized at the start:Pine Script®var int bullCount = na - Bullish Bar Detection
For each bar, if the close is above the selected moving average (either SMA or EMA, based on user input), the counter is incremented:Pine Script®bullCount := close > signalMa ? (na(bullCount) ? 1 : bullCount + 1) : 0 - Reset on Non-Bullish Condition
If the close does not exceed the moving average, the counter resets to zero, indicating a break in the consecutive bullish streak.
█ SIGNAL GENERATION
1. SHORT ENTRY
A short signal is generated when:
- The number of consecutive bullish bars (i.e., bars closing above the short-term MA) meets or exceeds the defined threshold (default: 3).
- The current bar’s close is higher than the previous bar’s high.
- The signal occurs within the specified trading window (between Start Time and End Time).
- Additionally, if the EMA filter is enabled, the entry is only executed when the current close is below the 200-period EMA.
2. EXIT CONDITION
- An exit signal is triggered when the current close falls below the previous bar’s low, prompting the strategy to close the short position.
█ ADDITIONAL SETTINGS
- Threshold: The number of consecutive bullish bars required to trigger a short entry (default is 3).
- Trading Window: The Start Time and End Time inputs define when the strategy is active.
- Moving Average Settings: Choose between SMA and EMA, and set the MA length (default is 5), which is used to assess each bar’s bullish condition.
- EMA Filter (Optional): When enabled, this filter requires that the current close is below the 200-period EMA, supporting entries in a downtrend.
█ PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
- This strategy is designed for stocks and ETFs and can be applied across various timeframes.
- It seeks to capture mean reversion by shorting after a series of bullish bars suggests an overextended move.
- The approach employs a contrarian short entry by waiting for a breakout (close > previous high) following consecutive bullish bars.
- The adjustable moving average settings and optional EMA filter allow for further optimization based on market conditions.
- Comprehensive backtesting is recommended to fine-tune the threshold, moving average parameters, and filter settings for optimal performance.
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Script open-source
In pieno spirito TradingView, il creatore di questo script lo ha reso open-source, in modo che i trader possano esaminarlo e verificarne la funzionalità. Complimenti all'autore! Sebbene sia possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ricorda che la ripubblicazione del codice è soggetta al nostro Regolamento.
Per un accesso rapido a un grafico, aggiungi questo script ai tuoi preferiti: per saperne di più clicca qui.