TrendPredator PRO

11 mar

The TrendPredator PRO

Stacey Burke, a seasoned trader and mentor, developed his trading system over the years, drawing insights from influential figures such as George Douglas Taylor, Tony Crabel, Steve Mauro, and Robert Schabacker. His popular system integrates select concepts from these experts into a consistent framework. While powerful, it remains highly discretionary, requiring significant real-time analysis, which can be challenging for novice traders.

The TrendPredator indicators support this approach by automating the essential analysis required to trade the system effectively and incorporating mechanical bias and a multi-timeframe concept. They provide value to traders by significantly reducing the time needed for session preparation, offering all relevant chart analysis and signals for live trading in real-time.

The PRO version offers an advanced pattern identification logic that highlights developing context as well as setups related to the constellation of the signals provided. It provides real-time interpretation of the multi-timeframe analysis table, following an extensive underlying logic with more than 150 different setup variations specifically developed for the system and indicator. These setups are constantly back- and forward-tested and updated according to the results. This version is tailored to traders primarily trading this system and following the related setups in detail.

The former TrendPredator ES version does not provide that option. It is significantly leaner and is designed for traders who want to use the multi-timeframe logic as additional confluence for their trading style. It is very well suited to support many other trading styles, including SMC and ICT.

The Multi-timeframe Master Pattern

Inspired by Taylor’s 3-day cycle and Steve Mauro’s work with “Beat the Market Maker,” Burke’s system views markets as cyclical, driven by the manipulative patterns of market makers. These patterns often trap traders at the extremes of moves above or below significant levels with peak formations, then reverse to utilize their liquidity, initiating the next phase. Breakouts away from these traps often lead to range expansions, as described by Tony Crabel and Robert Schabacker. After multiple consecutive breakouts, especially after the psychological number three, overextension might develop. A break in structure may then lead to reversals or pullbacks. The TrendPredator Indicator and the related multi-timeframe trading system are designed to track these cycles on the daily timeframe and provide signals and trade setups to navigate them.

Bias Logic and Multi-Timeframe Concept

The indicator covers the basic signals of Stacey Burke's system:
- First Red Day (FRD): Bearish break in structure, signalling weak longs in the market.
- First Green Day (FGD): Bullish break in structure signalling weak shorts in the markt.
- Three Days of Longs (3DL): Overextension signalling potential weak longs in the market.
- Three Days of Shorts (3DS): Overextension signalling potential weak shorts in the market.
- Inside Day (ID): Contraction, signalling potential impulsive reversal or range expansion move.

It enhances the original system by introducing:

Structured Bias Logic:
Tracks bias by following how price trades concerning the last previous candle high or low that was hit. For example if the high was hit, we are bullish above and bearish below.
- Bullish state: Breakout (BO), Fakeout Low (FOL)
- Bearish state: Breakdown (BD), Fakeout High (FOH)

Multi-Timeframe Perspective:
- Tracks all signals across H4, H8, D, W, and M timeframes, to look for alignment and follow trends and momentum in a mechanical way.

Developing Context:
- Identifies specific predefined context states based on the monthly, weekly and daily bias.

Developing Setups:
- Identifies specific predefined setups based on context and H8 bias as well as SB signals.

The indicator monitors the bias and signals of the system across all relevant timeframes and automates the related graphical chart analysis as well as context and setup zone identification. In addition to the master pattern, the system helps to identify the higher timeframe situation and follow the moves driven by other timeframe traders to then identify favourable context and setup situations for the trader.

Example: Full Bullish Cycle on the Daily Timeframe with Multi-Timeframe Signals

- The Trap/Peak Formation
The market breaks down from a previous day’s and maybe week’s low—potentially after multiple breakdowns—but fails to move lower and pulls back up to form a peak formation low and closes as a first green day.
MTF Signals: Bullish daily and weekly fakeout low; three consecutive breakdown days (1W Curr FOL, 1D Curr FOL, BO 3S).
Context: Reversal (REV)
Setup: Fakeout low continuation low of day (FOL Cont LOD)

- Pullback and Consolidation
The next day pulls further up after first green day signal, potentially consolidates inside the previous day’s range.
MTF Signals: Fakeout low and first green day closing as an inside day (1D Curr IS, Prev FOL, First G).
Context: Reversal continuation (REV Cont)
Setup: Previous fakeout low continuation low handing fruit (Prev FOL Cont LHF)

- Range Expansion/Trend
The following day breaks up through the previous day’s high, launching a range expansion away from the trap.
MTF Signals: Bullish daily breakout of an inside day (1D Curr BO, Prev IS).
Context: Uptrend healthy (UT)
Setup: Breakout continuation low hanging fruit (BO Cont LHF)

- Overextension
After multiple consecutive breakouts, the market reaches a state of overextension, signalling a possible reversal or pullback.
MTF Signals: Three days of breakout longs (1D Curr BO, Prev BO, BO 3L).
Context: Uptrend extended (UT)

- Reversal
After a breakout of previous days high that fails, price pulls away from the high showing a rollover of momentum across all timeframes and a potential short setup.
MTF Signals: Three days of breakout longs, daily fakeout high (1D 3L, FOH)
Context: Reversal countertrend (REV)
Setup: Fakeout high continuation high of day (FOH Cont HOD)

Note: This is only one possible illustrative scenario; there are many variations and combinations.

Example Chart: Full Bullish Cycle with Correlated Signals

Multi-Timeframe Signals examples:

Context and Setups examples:

Note: The signals shown along the move are manually added illustrations. The indicator shows these in realtime in the table at top and bottom right. This is only one possible scenario; there are many variations and combinations.

Due to the fractal nature of markets, this cycle can be observed across all timeframes. The strongest setups occur when there is multi-timeframe alignment. For example, a peak formation and potential reversal on the daily timeframe have higher probability and follow-through when they align with bearish signals on higher timeframes (e.g., weekly/monthly BD/FOH) and confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/H8 FOH/BD). With this perspective, the system enables the trader to follow the trend and momentum while identifying rollover points in a highly differentiated and precise way.

Using the Indicator for Trading

The automated analysis provided by the indicator can be used for thesis generation in preparation for a session as well as for live trading, leveraging the real-time updates as well as the context and setup indicated or alerted. It is recommended to customize the settings deeply, such as hiding the lower timeframes for thesis generation or the specific alert time window and settings to the specific trading schedule and playbook of the trader.

1. Context Assessment:
Evaluate alignment of higher timeframes (e.g., Month/Week, Week/Day). More alignment → Stronger setups.
- The context table offers an interpretation of the higher timeframe automatically. See below for further details.

2. Setup Identification:
Follow the bias of daily and H8 timeframes. A setup mostly requires alignment of these.
Setup Types:
- Trend Trade: Trade in alignment with the previous day’s trend.
Example: Price above the previous day’s high → Focus on long setups (dBO, H8 FOL) until overextension or reversal signs appear (H8 BO 3L, First R).
- Reversal Trade: Identify reversal setups when lower timeframes show rollovers after higher timeframe weakness.
Example: Price below the previous day’s high → Look for reversal signals at the current high of day (H8 FOH, BO 3L, First R).
- The setup table shows potential setups for the specific price zone in the table automatically. See below for further details.

3. Entry Confirmation:
Confirm entries based on H8 and H4 alignment, candle closes and lower timeframe fakeouts.
- H8 and H4 should always align for a final confirmation, meaning the breach lines should be both in the back of a potential trade setup.
- M15/ 5 candle close can be seen as acceptance beyond a level or within the setup zone.
- M15/5 FOH/ FOL signals lower timeframe traps potentially indicating further confirmation.

Example Chart Reversal Trade:


Context: REV (yellow), Reversal counter trend, Month in FOL with bearish First R, Week in BO but bearishly overextended with BO 3L, Day in Fakeout high reversing bearishly.
Setup: FOH Cont HOD (red), Day in Fakeout high after BO 3L overextension, confirmed by H8 FOH high of day, First R as further confluence. Two star quality and countertrend.
Entry: H4 BD, M15 close below followed by M15 FOH.

Detailed Features and Options

1. Context and Setup table

The Context and Setup Table is the core feature of the TrendPredator PRO indicator. It delivers real-time interpretation of the multi-timeframe analysis based on an extensive underlying logic table with over 150 variations, specifically developed for this system and indicator. This logic is continuously updated and optimized to ensure accuracy and performance.


1.1. Developing Context

States for developing higher timeframe context are determined based on signals from the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes.
- Green and Red indicate alignment and potentially interesting developing setups.
- Yellow signals a mixed or conflicting bias, suggesting caution when taking trades.
The specific states are:

- UT (yellow): Uptrend extended
- UT (green): Uptrend healthy
- REV (yellow): Reversal day counter trend
- REV (green): Reversal day mixed trend
- REV Cont (green): Reversal continuation mixed trend
- REV Cont (yellow): Reversal continuation counter trend
- REV into UT (green): Reversal day into uptrend
- REV Cont into UT (green): Reversal continuation into uptrend
- UT Pullback (yellow): Counter uptrend breakdown day
- Conflicting (yellow): Conflicting signals
- Consolidating (yellow): Consolidating sideways
- Inside (yellow): Trading inside after an inside week
- DT Pullback (yellow): Counter downtrend breakout day
- REV Cont into DT (red): Reversal continuation into downtrend
- REV into DT (red): Reversal day into downtrend
- REV Cont (yellow): Reversal continuation counter trend
- REV Cont (red): Reversal continuation mixed trend
- REV (red): Reversal day mixed trend
- REV (yellow): Reversal day countertrend
- DT (red): Downtrend healthy
- DT (yellow): Downtrend extended

Example: Uptrend

The Uptrend Context (UT, green) indicates a healthy uptrend with all timeframes aligning bullishly. In this case, the monthly is in a Fakeout Low (FOL) and currently inside the range, while the weekly and daily are both in Breakout (BO) states. This context is favorable for developing long setups in the direction of the trend.

Example: Uptrend pullback

The Uptrend Pullback Context (UT Pullback, yellow) indicates a Breakdown (BD) on the daily timeframe against a higher timeframe uptrend. In this case, the monthly is in a Fakeout Low (FOL) and currently inside its range, the weekly is in Breakout (BO) and also currently inside, while the daily is in Breakdown (BD). This context reflects a conflicting situation—potentially signaling either an early reversal back into the uptrend or, if the breakdown extends, the beginning of a possible trend change.

Example: Reversal into Uptrend

The Reversal into Uptrend Context (REV into UT, green) indicates a lower timeframe reversal aligning with a higher timeframe uptrend. In this case, the monthly is in Breakout (BO), the weekly is in Breakout (BO) and currently inside its range, while the daily is showing a bullish Fakeout Low (FOL) reversal. This context is potentially very favorable for long setups, as it signals a strong continuation of the uptrend supported across multiple timeframes.

Example: Reversal

The Bearish Reversal Context indicates a lower timeframe rollover within an ongoing higher timeframe uptrend. In this case, the monthly remains in Breakout (BO), the weekly has shifted into a Fakeout High (FOH) after three weeks of breakout longs, and the daily is already in Breakdown (BD). This context suggests a potentially favorable developing short setup, as early signs of weakness appear across timeframes.

1.2. Developing Setup

The states for specific setups are based on the context and the signals from the daily timeframe and H8, indicating that price is in the zone of alignment. The setup description refers to the state of the daily timeframe, while the suffix relates to the H8 timeframe. For example, "prev FOH Cont LHF" means that the previous day is in FOH (Fakeout High) relative to yesterday's breakout level, currently trading inside, and we are in an H8 breakdown, indicating a potential LHF (Lower High Formation) short trade if the entry confirms. The suffix HOD means that H8 is in FOH or BO (Breakout).
The specific states are:

- REV HOD (red): Reversal high of day
- REV Cont LHF (red): Reversal continuation low hanging fruit
- BO Cont LHF (green): Breakout continuation low hanging fruit
- BO Cont LOD (green): Breakout continuation low of day
- FOH Cont HOD (red): Fakeout high continuation high of day
- FOH Cont LHF ((red): Fakeout high continuation low hanging fruit
- prev BD Cont HOD (red): Previous breakdown continuation high of day
- prev BD Cont LHF (red): Previous breakdown continuation low hanging fruit
- prev FOH Cont HOD (red): Previous fakeout high continuation high of day
- prev FOH Cont LHF (red): Previous fakeout high continuation low hanging fruit
- prev FOL Cont LOD (green): Previous fakeout low continuation low of day
- prev FOL Cont LHF (green): Previous fakeout low continuation low hanging fruit
- prev BO Cont LOD (green): Previous breakout continuation low of day
- prev BO Cont LHF (green): Previous breakout continuation low hanging fruit
- FOL Cont LHF (green): Fakeout low continuation low hanging fruit
- FOL Cont LOD (green): Fakeout low continuation low of day
- BD Cont LHF (red): BD continuation low hanging fruit
- BD Cont LOD (red): Breakdown continuation low of day
- REV Cont LHF (green): Reversal continuation low hanging fruit
- REV LOD (green): Reversal low of day
- Inside: Trading inside after an inside day

Type: Indicates the situation of the indicated setup concerning:
- Trend: Following higher timeframe trend
- Mixed: Mixed higher timeframe signals
- Counter: Against higher timeframe bias

Quality: Indicates the quality of the indicated setup according to the specified logic table
No star: Very low quality
* One star: Low quality
** Two star: Medium quality
*** Three star: High quality

Example: Breakout Continuation Trend Setup

This setup highlights a healthy uptrend where the month is in a breakout, the week is in a fakeout low, and the day is in a breakout after a first green day. As the H8 breaks out to the upside, a long setup zone is triggered, presenting a breakout continuation low-hanging fruit trade. This is a trend trade in an overextended situation on the H8, with an H8 3L, resulting in an overall quality rating of one star.


Example: Fakeout Low Continuation Trend Setup

This setup shows a reversal into uptrend, with the month in a breakout, the week in a breakout, and the day in a fakeout low after breaking down the previous day and now reversing back up. As H8 breaks out to the upside, a long setup zone is triggered, presenting a previous fakeout low continuation, low-hanging fruit trade. This is a medium-quality trend trade.


Example: Reversal Setup - Mixed Trend

This setup shows a reversal setup in line with the weekly trend, with the month in a fakeout low, the week in a fakeout high, and the day in a fakeout high after breaking out earlier in the day and now reversing back down. As H8 loses the previous breakout level after 3 breakouts (with H8 3L), a short setup zone is triggered, presenting a fakeout high continuation at the high of the day. This is a high-quality trade in a mixed trend situation.

Setup Alerts:
Alerts can be activated for setups freshly triggered on the chart within your trading window.
Detailed filter logic for setup alerts:
- Setup quality: 1-3 star
- Setup type: Counter, Mixed and Trend
- Setup category: e.g. Reversal Bearish, Breakout, Previous Fakeout High
- 1D BO and First signals: 3DS, 3DL, FRD, FGD, ID

Options:
- Alerts on/ off
- Alert time window (from/ to)
- Alert filter customization

Note: To activate alerts from a script in TradingView, some settings need to be adjusted. Open the "Create Alert" dialog and select the option "Any alert() function call" in the "Condition" section. Choose "TrendPredator PRO" to ensure that alerts trigger properly from the code. Alerts can be activated for entire watchlists or individual pairs. Once activated, the alerts run in the background and notify the user whenever a setup is freshly triggered according to the filter settings.

2. Multi-Timeframe Table

Provides a real-time view of system signals, including:

Current Timeframe (Curr): Bias states.
- Breakout (green BO): Bullish after breaking above the previous high.
- Fakeout High (red FOH): Bearish after breaking above the previous high but pulling back down.
- Breakdown (red BD): Bearish after breaking below the previous low.
- Fakeout Low (green FOL): Bullish after breaking below the previous low but pulling back up.
- Inside (IS): Price trading neutral inside the previous range, taking the previous bias (color indicates the previous bias).

Previous Timeframe (Prev): Tracks last candle bias state and transitions dynamically.
- Bias for last candle: BO, FOH, BD, FOL in respective colors.
- Inside bar (yellow IS): Indicated as standalone signal.

Note: Also previous timeframes get constantly updated in real time to track the bias state in relation to the level that was hit. This means a BO can still lose the level and become a FOH, and vice versa, and a BD can still become a FOL, and vice versa. This is critical to see for example if traders that are trapped in that timeframe with a FOH or FOL are released. An inside bar stays fixed, though, since no level was hit in that timeframe.

Breakouts (BO): Breakout count 3 longs and 3 shorts.
- 3 Longs (red 3L): Bearish after three breakouts without hitting a previous low.
- 3 Shorts (green 3S): Bullish after three breakdowns without hitting a previous high.

First Countertrend Close (First): Tracks First Red or Green Day.
- First Green (G): After two consecutive red closes.
- First Red (R): After two consecutive green closes.

Options: Customizable font size and label colors.


3. Historic Highs and Lows

Displays historic highs and lows per timeframe for added context, enabling users to track sequences over time.
Timeframes: H4, H8, D, W, M
Options: Customize for timeframes shown, number of historic candles per timeframe, colors, formats, and labels.


4. Previous High and Low Extensions

Displays extended previous levels (high, low, and close) for each timeframe to assess how price trades relative to these levels.
H4: P4H, P4L, P4C
H8: P8H, P8L, P8C
Daily: PDH, PDL, PDC
Weekly: PWH, PWL, PWC
Monthly: PMH, PML, PMC
Options: Fully customizable for timeframes shown, colors, formats, and labels.


5. Breach Lines

Tracks live market reactions (e.g., breakouts or fakeouts) per timeframe for the last previous high or low that was hit, highlighting these levels originating at the breached candle to indicate bias (color-coded).
Red: Bearish below
Green: Bullish above
H4: 4FOL, 4FOH, 4BO, 4BD
H8: 8FOL, 8FOH, 8BO, 8BD
D: dFOL, dFOH, dBO, dBD
W: wFOL, wFOH, wBO, wBD
M: mFOL, mFOH, mBO, mBD
Options: Fully customizable for timeframes shown, colors, formats, and labels.


Overall Options:
Toggle single feature groups on/off.
Customize H8 open/close time as an offset to UTC to be provider independent.
Colour settings con be adjusted for dark or bright backgrounds.

Higher Timeframe Use Case Examples

Example Use Case: Weekly Template Analysis

The Weekly Template is a core concept in Stacey Burke’s trading style. The analysis is conducted on the daily timeframe, focusing on the higher timeframe bias and identifying overextended conditions within the week—such as multiple breakouts and peak formations signaling potential reversals.

In this example, the candles are colored by the TrendPredator FO indicator, which highlights the state of individual candles. This allows for precise evaluation of both the trend state and the developing weekly template. It is a valuable tool for thesis generation before a trading session and for backtesting purposes.


Example Use Case: High Timeframe 5-Star Setup Analysis (Stacey Burke "ain't coming back" ACB Template)

This analysis identifies high-probability trade opportunities when daily breakout or breakdown closes occur near key monthly levels mid-week, signaling overextensions and potentially large parabolic moves. The key signal to look for is a breakout or breakdown close on a Wednesday. This is useful for thesis generation before a session and also for backtesting.

In this example, the TrendPredator FO indicator colors the candles to highlight individual candle states, particularly those that close in breakout or breakdown. Additionally, an indicator is shown on the chart shading every Wednesday, making it easier to visually identify the signals.


5 Star Alerts:
Alerts can be activated for this potential 5-Star setup constellation. The alert is triggered when there is a breakout or breakdown close on a Wednesday.

Further recommendations:

- Higher timeframe context: TPO or volume profile indicators can be used to gain an even better overview.
- Late session trading: Entries later in the session, such as during the 3rd hour of the NY session, offer better analysis and follow-through on setups.
- Entry confirmation: Momentum indicators like VWAP, Supertrend, or EMA are helpful for increasing precision. Additionally, tracking lower timeframe fakeouts can provide powerful confluence. To track those the TrendPredator Fakeout Highlighter (FO), that has been specifically developed for this can be of great help:

Limitations:

Data availability using TradingView has its limitations. The indicator leverages only the real-time data available for the specific timeframe being used. This means it cannot access data from timeframes lower than the one displayed on the chart. For example, if you are on a daily chart, it cannot use H8 data. Additionally, on very low timeframes, the historical availability of data might be limited, making higher timeframe signals unreliable.

To address this, the indicator automatically hides the affected columns in these specific situations, preventing false signals.

Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee profits.
None of the information provided shall be considered financial advice.
The indicator does not provide final buy or sell signals but highlights zones for potential setups.
Users are fully responsible for their trading decisions and outcomes.

14 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

Fixing issues with gaps

Including option to limit calculated bars to save memory

17 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

17 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

17 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

20 mar

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Setups update

20 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

24 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

24 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update

25 mar

Note di rilascio

Bug fix
Setups update

26 mar

Note di rilascio

Setups update
Removed workaround

27 mar

Note di rilascio

Bug fix
Setups update

1 apr

Note di rilascio

Setups update

3 apr

Note di rilascio

Setups update

15 apr

Note di rilascio

Setups update

Offset default adjusted for DLS