Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal) // AlgoFyreThe Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal) indicator adjusts moving averages based on market conditions, using Hurst Exponent for trend persistence, CVaR for extreme risk assessment, and Fractal Dimension for market complexity. It enhances trend detection and risk management across various timeframes.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
🔶 ORIGINALITY 🔸Adaptive Mechanisms
🔸Multi-Faceted Analysis
🔸Versatility Across Timeframes
🔸Multi-Scale Combination
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY 🔸Hurst Exponent (H)
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔸Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔸Fractal Dimension (FD)
🞘 How it works
🞘 How to calculate
🞘 Code extract
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS 🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines
🞘 Setting Up the Indicator
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart
🞘 Possible Entry Signals
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels
🞘 Additional Tips
🔸Customize settings
🔶 CONCLUSION
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🔶 ORIGINALITY The Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal) indicator stands out due to its unique approach of dynamically adjusting moving averages based on advanced statistical measures, making it highly responsive to varying market conditions. Unlike traditional moving averages that rely on static periods, this indicator adapts in real-time using three distinct adaptive methods: Hurst Exponent, CVaR, and Fractal Dimension.
🔸Adaptive Mechanisms
Traditional MA indicators use fixed lengths, which can lead to lagging signals or over-sensitivity in volatile markets. The Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs employ adaptive methods to adjust the MA length dynamically, providing a more accurate reflection of current market conditions.
🔸Multi-Faceted Analysis
By integrating Hurst Exponent, CVaR, and Fractal Dimension, the indicator offers a comprehensive market analysis. It captures different aspects of market behavior, including trend persistence, risk of extreme movements, and complexity, which are often missed by standard MAs.
🔸Versatility Across Timeframes
The indicator’s ability to switch between different adaptive methods based on market conditions allows traders to analyze short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends with enhanced precision.
🔸Multi-Scale Combination
Utilizing multiple adaptive MAs in combination provides a more nuanced view of the market, allowing traders to see how short, medium, and long-term trends interact. This layered approach helps in identifying the strength and consistency of trends across different scales, offering more reliable signals and aiding in complex decision-making processes. When combined, these MAs can also signal key market shifts when they converge or diverge, offering deeper insights than a single MA could provide.
🔶 FUNCTIONALITY The indicator adjusts moving averages based on a variety of different choosable adaptives. The Hurst Exponent to identify trend persistence or mean reversion, adapting to market conditions for both short-term and long-term trends. Using CVaR, it evaluates the risk of extreme price movements, ensuring the moving average is more conservative during high-risk periods, protecting against potential large losses. By incorporating the Fractal Dimension, the indicator adapts to market complexity, adjusting to varying levels of price roughness and volatility, which allows it to respond more accurately to different market structures and patterns.
Let's dive into the details:
🔸Hurst Exponent (H)
Measures the degree of trend persistence or mean reversion.
By using the Hurst Exponent, the indicator adjusts to capture the strength and duration of trends, helping traders to stay in profitable trades longer and avoid false reversals in ranging markets.
It enhances the detection of trends, making it suitable for both short-term scalping and identifying long-term trends.
🞘 How it works Rescaled Range (R/S) Analysis Calculate the mean of the closing prices over a set window.
Determine the deviation of each price from the mean.
Compute the cumulative sum of these deviations over the window.
Calculate the range (R) of the cumulative deviations (maximum minus minimum).
Compute the standard deviation (S) of the price series over the window.
Obtain the R/S ratio as R/S.
Linear Regression for Hurst Exponent Calculate the logarithm of multiple window sizes and their corresponding R/S values.
Use linear regression to determine the slope of the line fitting the log(R/S) against log(window size).
The slope of this line is an estimate of the Hurst Exponent.
🞘 How to calculate Range (R)
Calculate the maximum cumulative deviation:
R=max(sum(deviation))−min(sum(deviation))
Where deviation is the difference between each price and the mean.
Standard Deviation (S)
Calculate the standard deviation of the price series:
S=sqrt((1/(n−1))∗sum((Xi−mean)2))
Rescaled Range (R/S)
Divide the range by the standard deviation:
R/S=R/S
Hurst Exponent
Perform linear regression to estimate the slope of:
log(R/S) versus log(windowsize)
The slope of this line is the Hurst Exponent.
🞘 Code extract // Hurst Exponent
calc_hurst(source_, adaptive_window_) =>
window_sizes = array.from(adaptive_window_/10, adaptive_window_/5, adaptive_window_/2, adaptive_window_)
float hurst_exp = 0.5
// Calculate Hurst Exponent proxy
rs_list = array.new_float()
log_length_list = array.new_float()
for i = 0 to array.size(window_sizes) - 1
len = array.get(window_sizes, i)
// Ensure we have enough data
if bar_index >= len * 2
mean = adaptive_sma(source_, len)
dev = source_ - mean
// Calculate cumulative deviations over the window
cum_dev = ta.cum(dev) - ta.cum(dev )
r = ta.highest(cum_dev, len) - ta.lowest(cum_dev, len)
s = ta.stdev(source_, len)
if s != 0
rs = r / s
array.push(rs_list, math.log(rs))
array.push(log_length_list, math.log(len))
// Linear regression to estimate Hurst Exponent
n = array.size(log_length_list)
if n > 1
mean_x = array.sum(log_length_list) / n
mean_y = array.sum(rs_list) / n
sum_num = 0.0
sum_den = 0.0
for i = 0 to n - 1
x = array.get(log_length_list, i)
y = array.get(rs_list, i)
sum_num += (x - mean_x) * (y - mean_y)
sum_den += (x - mean_x) * (x - mean_x)
hurst_exp := sum_den != 0 ? sum_num / sum_den : 0.5
else
hurst_exp := 0.5 // Default to 0.5 if not enough data
hurst_exp
🔸Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)
Assesses the risk of extreme losses by focusing on tail risk.
This method adjusts the moving average to account for market conditions where extreme price movements are likely, providing a more conservative approach during periods of high risk.
Traders benefit by better managing risk and avoiding major losses during volatile market conditions.
🞘 How it works Calculate Returns Determine the returns as the percentage change between consecutive closing prices over a specified window.
Percentile Calculation Identify the percentile threshold (e.g., the 5th percentile) for the worst returns in the dataset.
Average of Extreme Losses Calculate the average of all returns that are less than or equal to this percentile, representing the CVaR.
🞘 How to calculate Return Calculation
Calculate the return as the percentage change between consecutive prices:
Return = (Pt − Pt−1) / Pt−1
Where Pt is the price at time t.
Percentile Threshold
Identify the return value at the specified percentile (e.g., 5th percentile):
PercentileValue=percentile(returns,percentile_threshold)
CVaR Calculation
Compute the average of all returns below the percentile threshold:
CVaR = (1/n)∗sum(Return) for all Return≤PercentileValue
Where n is the total number of returns.
🞘 Code extract // Percentile
calc_percentile(data, percentile, window) =>
arr = array.new_float(0)
for i = 0 to window - 1
array.push(arr, data )
array.sort(arr)
index = math.floor(percentile / 100 * (window - 1))
array.get(arr, index)
// Conditional Value at Risk
calc_cvar(percentile_value, returns, window) =>
// Collect returns worse than the threshold
cvar_sum = 0.0
cvar_count = 0
for i = 0 to window - 1
ret = returns
if ret <= percentile_value
cvar_sum += ret
cvar_count += 1
// Calculate CVaR
cvar = cvar_count > 0 ? cvar_sum / cvar_count : 0.0
cvar
🔸Fractal Dimension (FD)
Evaluates market complexity and roughness by analyzing how price movements behave across different scales.
It enables the moving average to adapt based on the level of market noise or structure, allowing for smoother MAs during complex, volatile periods and more sensitive MAs during clear trends.
This adaptability is crucial for traders dealing with varying market states, improving the indicator's responsiveness to price changes.
🞘 How it works Total Distance (L) Calculation Sum the absolute price movements between consecutive periods over a given window.
Maximum Distance (D) Calculation Calculate the maximum displacement from the first to the last price point within the window.
Calculate Fractal Dimension Use Katz's method to estimate the Fractal Dimension as the ratio of the logarithms of L and D, divided by the logarithm of the number of steps (N).
🞘 How to calculate Total Distance (L)
Sum the absolute price changes over the window:
L=sum(abs(Pt−Pt−1)) for t from 2 to n
Where Pt is the price at time t.
Maximum Distance (D)
Find the maximum absolute displacement from the first to the last price in the window:
D=max(abs(Pn-P1))
Fractal Dimension Calculation
Use Katz's method to estimate fractal dimension:
FD=log(L/D)/log(N)
Where N is the number of steps in the window.
🞘 Code extract // Fractal Dimension
calc_fractal(source_, adaptive_window_) =>
// Calculate the total distance (L) traveled by the price
L = 0.0
for i = 1 to adaptive_window_
L += math.abs(source_ - source_ )
// Calculate the maximum distance between first and last price
D = math.max(math.abs(source_ - source_ ), 1e-10) // Avoid division by zero
// Calculate the number of steps (N)
N = adaptive_window_
// Estimate the Fractal Dimension using Katz's formula
math.log(L / D) / math.log(N)
🔶 INSTRUCTIONS The Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs indicator can be set up by adding it to your TradingView chart and configuring the adaptive method (Hurst, CVaR, or Fractal) to match current market conditions. Look for price crossovers and changes in the slope for potential entry signals. Set take profit and stop-loss levels based on dynamic changes in the moving average, and consider combining it with other indicators for confirmation. Adjust settings and use adaptive strategies for enhanced trend detection and risk management.
🔸Step-by-Step Guidelines 🞘 Setting Up the Indicator Adding the Indicator to the Chart: Go to your TradingView chart.
Click on the "Indicators" button at the top.
Search for "Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs (Hurst, CVaR, Fractal)" in the indicators list.
Click on the indicator to add it to your chart.
Configuring the Indicator: Open the indicator settings by clicking on the gear icon next to its name on the chart.
Adaptive Method: Choose between "Hurst," "CVaR," and "Fractal" depending on the market condition and your trading style.
Length: Set the base length for the moving average (e.g., 20, 50, or 100). This length will be adjusted dynamically based on the selected adaptive method.
Other Parameters: Adjust any other parameters as needed, such as window sizes or scaling factors specific to each adaptive method.
Chart Setup: Ensure you have an appropriate timeframe selected (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, daily) based on your trading strategy.
Consider using additional indicators like volume or RSI to confirm signals.
🞘 Understanding What to Look For on the Chart Indicator Behavior: Observe how the adaptive moving average (AMA) behaves compared to standard moving averages, e.g. notice how it might change direction with strength (Hurst).
For example, the AMA may become smoother during high market volatility (CVaR) or more responsive during strong trends (Hurst).
Crossovers: Look for crossovers between the price and the adaptive moving average.
A bullish crossover occurs when the price crosses above the AMA, suggesting a potential uptrend.
A bearish crossover occurs when the price crosses below the AMA, indicating a possible downtrend.
Slope and Direction: Pay attention to the slope of the AMA. A rising slope suggests a bullish trend, while a declining slope indicates a bearish trend.
The slope’s steepness can give you clues about the trend's strength.
🞘 Possible Entry Signals Bullish Entry: Crossover Entry: Enter a long position when the price crosses above the AMA and the AMA has a positive slope.
Confirmation Entry: Combine the crossover with other indicators like RSI (above 50) or increasing volume for confirmation.
Bearish Entry: Crossover Entry: Enter a short position when the price crosses below the AMA and the AMA has a negative slope.
Confirmation Entry: Use additional indicators like RSI (below 50) or decreasing volume to confirm the bearish trend.
Adaptive Method Confirmation: Hurst: Enter when the AMA indicates a strong trend (steeper slope). Suitable for trend-following strategies.
CVaR: Be cautious during high-risk periods. Enter only if confirmed by other indicators, as the AMA may become more conservative.
Fractal: Ideal for capturing reversals in complex markets. Look for crossovers in volatile markets.
🞘 Possible Take Profit Strategies Static Take Profit Levels: Set take profit levels based on predefined ratios (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio).
Place take profit orders at recent swing highs (for long positions) or swing lows (for short positions).
Trailing Stop Loss: Use a trailing stop based on a percentage of the AMA value to lock in profits as the trend progresses.
Adjust the trailing stop dynamically to follow the AMA, allowing profits to run while protecting gains.
Adaptive Method Based Exits: Hurst: Exit when the AMA begins to flatten or turn in the opposite direction, signaling a potential trend reversal.
CVaR: Consider taking profits earlier during high-risk periods when the AMA suggests caution.
Fractal: Use the AMA to exit in complex markets when it smooths out, indicating reduced volatility.
🞘 Possible Stop-Loss Levels Initial Stop Loss: Place an initial stop loss below the AMA (for long positions) or above the AMA (for short positions) to protect against adverse movements.
Use a buffer (e.g., ATR value) to avoid being stopped out by normal price fluctuations.
Adaptive Stop Loss: Adjust the stop loss dynamically based on the AMA. Move the stop loss along the AMA as the trend progresses to minimize risk.
This helps in adapting to changing market conditions and avoiding premature exits.
Adaptive Method-Specific Stop Loss: Hurst: Use wider stops during trending markets to allow for minor pullbacks.
CVaR: Adjust stops in high-risk periods to avoid being stopped out prematurely during price fluctuations.
Fractal: Place stops at recent support/resistance levels in highly volatile markets.
🞘 Additional Tips Combine with Other Indicators: Enhance your strategy by combining the AMA with other technical indicators like MACD, RSI, or Bollinger Bands for better signal confirmation.
Backtesting and Practice: Backtest the indicator on historical data to understand how it performs in different market conditions.
Practice using the indicator on a demo account before applying it to live trading.
Market Awareness: Always be aware of market conditions and fundamental events that might impact price movements, as the AMA reacts to price action and may not account for sudden news-driven events.
🔸Customize settings 🞘 Time Override: Enables or disables the ability to override the default time frame for the moving averages. When enabled, you can specify a custom time frame for the calculations.
🞘 Time: Specifies the custom time frame to use when the Time Override setting is enabled.
🞘 Enable MA: Enables or disables the moving average. When disabled, MA will not be displayed on the chart.
🞘 Show Smoothing Line: Enables or disables the display of a smoothing line for the moving average. The smoothing line helps to reduce noise and provide a clearer trend.
🞘 Show as Horizontal Line: Displays the moving average as a horizontal line instead of a dynamic line that follows the price.
🞘 Source: Specifies the data source for the moving average calculation (e.g., close, open, high, low).
🞘 Length: Sets the period length for the moving average. A longer length will result in a smoother moving average, while a shorter length will make it more responsive to price changes.
🞘 Time: Specifies a custom time frame for the moving average, overriding the default time frame if Time Override is enabled.
🞘 Method: Selects the calculation method for the moving average (e.g., SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA).
🞘 Offset: Shifts the moving average forward or backward by the specified number of bars.
🞘 Color: Sets the color for the moving average line.
🞘 Adaptive Method: Selects the adaptive method to dynamically adjust the moving average based on market conditions (e.g., Hurst, CVaR, Fractal).
🞘 Window Size: Sets the window size for the adaptive method, determining how much historical data is used for the calculation.
🞘 CVaR Scaling Factor: Adjusts the influence of CVaR on the moving average length, controlling how much the length changes based on calculated risk.
🞘 CVaR Risk: Specifies the percentile cutoff for the worst-case returns used in the CVaR calculation to assess extreme losses.
🞘 Smoothing Method: Selects the method for smoothing the moving average (e.g., SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA).
🞘 Smoothing Length: Sets the period length for smoothing the moving average.
🞘 Fill Color to Smoothing Moving Average: Enables or disables the color fill between the moving average and its smoothing line.
🞘 Transparency: Sets the transparency level for the color fill between the moving average and its smoothing line.
🞘 Show Label: Enables or disables the display of a label for the moving average on the chart.
🞘 Show Label for Smoothing: Enables or disables the display of a label for the smoothing line of the moving average on the chart.
🔶 CONCLUSION The Multi-Scale Adaptive MAs indicator offers a sophisticated approach to trend analysis and risk management by dynamically adjusting moving averages based on Hurst Exponent, CVaR, and Fractal Dimension. This adaptability allows traders to respond more effectively to varying market conditions, capturing trends and managing risks with greater precision. By incorporating advanced statistical measures, the indicator goes beyond traditional moving averages, providing a nuanced and versatile tool for both short-term and long-term trading strategies. Its unique ability to reflect market complexity and extreme risks makes it an invaluable asset for traders seeking a deeper understanding of market dynamics.
Media Mobile Adattata (AMA)
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy [TradeDots]"The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) Strategy" is a trend-following system that leverages the adaptive qualities of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA). This strategy is distinguished by its ability to adjust dynamically to market volatility, enhancing trading accuracy by minimizing the effects of false and delayed signals often associated with the Simple Moving Average (SMA).
HOW IT WORKS
This strategy is centered around use of the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) indicator, which refines the principles of the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a superior smoothing technique.
KAMA distinguishes itself by its responsiveness to changes in market prices through an "Efficiency Ratio (ER)." This ratio is computed by dividing the recent absolute net price change by the cumulative sum of the absolute price changes over a specified period. The resulting ER value ranges between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates high market noise and 1 reflects stronger market momentum.
Using ER, we could get the smoothing constant (SC) for the moving average derived using the following formula:
fastest = 2/(fastma_length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowma_length + 1)
SC = math.pow((ER * (fastest-slowest) + slowest), 2)
The KAMA line is then calculated by applying the SC to the difference between the current price and the previous KAMA.
APPLICATION
For entering long positions, this strategy initializes when there is a sequence of 10 consecutive rising KAMA lines. Conversely, a sequence of 10 consecutive falling KAMA lines triggers sell orders for long positions. The same logic applies inversely for short positions.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Users are advised to adjust and personalize this trading strategy to better match their individual trading preferences and style.
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Signals (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Adaptive Moving Average (AMA) Signals indicator, enhances the classic concept of moving averages by making them adaptive to the market's volatility. This adaptability makes the AMA particularly useful in identifying market trends with varying degrees of volatility.
The core of the AMA's adaptability lies in its Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the directionality of the market over a given period. The ER is calculated by dividing the absolute change in price over a period by the sum of the absolute differences in daily prices over the same period.
⚪ Why It's Useful
The AMA Signals indicator is particularly useful because of its adaptability to changing market conditions. Unlike static moving averages, it dynamically adjusts, providing more relevant signals that can help traders capture trends earlier or identify reversals with greater accuracy. Its configurability makes it suitable for various trading strategies and timeframes, from day trading to swing trading.
█ How It Works
The AMA Signals indicator operates on the principle of adapting to market efficiency through the calculation of the Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the directionality of the market over a specified period. By comparing the net price change to total price movements, the AMA adjusts its sensitivity, becoming faster during trending markets and slower during sideways markets. This adaptability is enhanced by a gamma parameter that filters signals for either trend continuation or reversal, making it versatile across different market conditions.
change = math.abs(close - close )
volatility = math.sum(math.abs(close - close ), n)
ER = change / volatility
Efficiency Ratio (ER) Calculation: The AMA begins with the computation of the Efficiency Ratio (ER), which measures the market's directionality over a specified period. The ER is a ratio of the net price change to the total price movements, serving as a measure of the efficiency of price movements.
Adaptive Smoothing: Based on the ER, the indicator calculates the smoothing constants for the fastest and slowest Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). These constants are then used to compute a Scaled Smoothing Coefficient (SC) that adapts the moving average to the market's efficiency, making it faster during trending periods and slower in sideways markets.
Signal Generation: The AMA applies a filter, adjusted by a "gamma" parameter, to identify trading signals. This gamma influences the sensitivity towards trend or reversal signals, with options to adjust for focusing on either trend-following or counter-trend signals.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification: Use the AMA to identify the direction of the trend. An upward moving AMA indicates a bullish trend, while a downward moving AMA suggests a bearish trend.
Trend Trading: Look for buy signals when the AMA is trending upwards and sell signals during a downward trend. Adjust the fast and slow EMA lengths to match the desired sensitivity and timeframe.
Reversal Trading: Set the gamma to a positive value to focus on reversal signals, identifying potential market turnarounds.
█ Settings
Period for ER calculation: Defines the lookback period for calculating the Efficiency Ratio, affecting how quickly the AMA responds to changes in market efficiency.
Fast EMA Length and Slow EMA Length: Determine the responsiveness of the AMA to recent price changes, allowing traders to fine-tune the indicator to their trading style.
Signal Gamma: Adjusts the sensitivity of the filter applied to the AMA, with the ability to focus on trend signals or reversal signals based on its value.
AMA Candles: An innovative feature that plots candles based on the AMA calculation, providing visual cues about the market trend and potential reversals.
█ Alerts
The AMA Signals indicator includes configurable alerts for buy and sell signals, as well as positive and negative trend changes.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Optimal Length BackTester [YinYangAlgorithms]This Indicator allows for a ‘Optimal Length’ to be inputted within the Settings as a Source. Unlike most Indicators and/or Strategies that rely on either Static Lengths or Internal calculations for the length, this Indicator relies on the Length being derived from an external Indicator in the form of a Source Input.
This may not sound like much, but this application may allows limitless implementations of such an idea. By allowing the input of a Length within a Source Setting you may have an ‘Optimal Length’ that adjusts automatically without the need for manual intervention. This may allow for Traditional and Non-Traditional Indicators and/or Strategies to allow modifications within their settings as well to accommodate the idea of this ‘Optimal Length’ model to create an Indicator and/or Strategy that adjusts its length based on the top performing Length within the current Market Conditions.
This specific Indicator aims to allow backtesting with an ‘Optimal Length’ inputted as a ‘Source’ within the Settings.
This ‘Optimal Length’ may be used to display and potentially optimize multiple different Traditional Indicators within this BackTester. The following Traditional Indicators are included and available to be backtested with an ‘Optimal Length’ inputted as a Source in the Settings:
Moving Average; expressed as either a: Simple Moving Average, Exponential Moving Average or Volume Weighted Moving Average
Bollinger Bands; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Donchian Channels; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Envelopes; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
Envelopes Adjusted; expressed based on the Moving Average Type
All of these Traditional Indicators likewise may be displayed with multiple ‘Optimal Lengths’. They have the ability for multiple different ‘Optimal Lengths’ to be inputted and displayed, such as:
Fast Optimal Length
Slow Optimal Length
Neutral Optimal Length
By allowing for the input of multiple different ‘Optimal Lengths’ we may express the ‘Optimal Movement’ of such an expressed Indicator based on different Time Frames and potentially also movement based on Fast, Slow and Neutral (Inclusive) Lengths.
This in general is a simple Indicator that simply allows for the input of multiple different varieties of ‘Optimal Lengths’ to be displayed in different ways using Tradition Indicators. However, the idea and model of accepting a Length as a Source is unique and may be adopted in many different forms and endless ideas.
Tutorial:
You may add an ‘Optimal Length’ within the Settings as a ‘Source’ as followed in the example above. This Indicator allows for the input of a:
Neutral ‘Optimal Length’
Fast ‘Optimal Length’
Slow ‘Optimal Length’
It is important to account for all three as they generally encompass different min/max length values and therefore result in varying ‘Optimal Length’s’.
For instance, say you’re calculating the ‘Optimal Length’ and you use:
Min: 1
Max: 400
This would therefore be scanning for 400 (inclusive) lengths.
As a general way of calculating you may assume the following for which lengths are being used within an ‘Optimal Length’ calculation:
Fast: 1 - 199
Slow: 200 - 400
Neutral: 1 - 400
This allows for the calculation of a Fast and Slow length within the predetermined lengths allotted. However, it likewise allows for a Neutral length which is inclusive to all lengths alloted and may be deemed the ‘Most Accurate’ for these reasons. However, just because the Neutral is inclusive to all lengths, doesn’t mean the Fast and Slow lengths are irrelevant. The Fast and Slow length inputs may be useful for seeing how specifically zoned lengths may fair, and likewise when they cross over and/or under the Neutral ‘Optimal Length’.
This Indicator features the ability to display multiple different types of Traditional Indicators within the ‘Display Type’.
We will go over all of the different ‘Display Types’ with examples on how using a Fast, Slow and Neutral length would impact it:
Simple Moving Average:
In this example above have the Fast, Slow and Neutral Optimal Length formatted as a Slow Moving Average. The first example is on the 15 minute Time Frame and the second is on the 1 Day Time Frame, demonstrating how the length changes based on the Time Frame and the effects it may have.
Here we can see that by inputting ‘Optimal Lengths’ as a Simple Moving Average we may see moving averages that change over time with their ‘Optimal Lengths’. These lengths may help identify Support and/or Resistance locations. By using an 'Optimal Length' rather than a static length, we may create a Moving Average which may be more accurate as it attempts to be adaptive to current Market Conditions.
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are a way to see a Simple Moving Average (SMA) that then uses Standard Deviation to identify how much deviation has occurred. This Deviation is then Added and Subtracted from the SMA to create the Bollinger Bands which help Identify possible movement zones that are ‘within range’. This may mean that the price may face Support / Resistance when it reaches the Outer / Inner bounds of the Bollinger Bands. Likewise, it may mean the Price is ‘Overbought’ when outside and above or ‘Underbought’ when outside and below the Bollinger Bands.
By applying All 3 different types of Optimal Lengths towards a Traditional Bollinger Band calculation we may hope to see different ranges of Bollinger Bands and how different lookback lengths may imply possible movement ranges on both a Short Term, Long Term and Neutral perspective. By seeing these possible ranges you may have the ability to identify more levels of Support and Resistance over different lengths and Trading Styles.
Donchian Channels:
Above you’ll see two examples of Machine Learning: Optimal Length applied to Donchian Channels. These are displayed with both the 15 Minute Time Frame and the 1 Day Time Frame.
Donchian Channels are a way of seeing potential Support and Resistance within a given lookback length. They are a way of withholding the High’s and Low’s of a specific lookback length and looking for deviation within this length. By applying a Fast, Slow and Neutral Machine Learning: Optimal Length to these Donchian Channels way may hope to achieve a viable range of High’s and Low’s that one may use to Identify Support and Resistance locations for different ranges of Optimal Lengths and likewise potentially different Trading Strategies.
Envelopes / Envelopes Adjusted:
Envelopes are an interesting one in the sense that they both may be perceived as useful; however we deem that with the use of an ‘Optimal Length’ that the ‘Envelopes Adjusted’ may work best. We will start with examples of the Traditional Envelope then showcase the Adjusted version.
Envelopes:
As you may see, a Traditional form of Envelopes even produced with a Machine Learning: Optimal Length may not produce optimal results. Unfortunately this may occur with some Traditional Indicators and they may need some adjustments as you’ll notice with the ‘Envelopes Adjusted’ version. However, even without the adjustments, these Envelopes may be useful for seeing ‘Overbought’ and ‘Oversold’ locations within a Machine Learning: Optimal Length standpoint.
Envelopes Adjusted:
By adding an adjustment to these Envelopes, we may hope to better reflect our Optimal Length within it. This is caused by adding a ratio reflection towards the current length of the Optimal Length and the max Length used. This allows for the Fast and Neutral (and potentially Slow if Neutral is greater) to achieve a potentially more accurate result.
Envelopes, much like Bollinger Bands are a way of seeing potential movement zones along with potential Support and Resistance. However, unlike Bollinger Bands which are based on Standard Deviation, Envelopes are based on percentages +/- from the Simple Moving Average.
We will conclude our Tutorial here. Hopefully this has given you some insight into how useful adding a ‘Optimal Length’ within an external (secondary) Indicator as a Source within the Settings may be. Likewise, how useful it may be for automation sake in the sense that when the ‘Optimal Length’ changes, it doesn’t rely on an alert where you need to manually update it yourself; instead it will update Automatically and you may reap the benefits of such with little manual input needed (aside from the initial setup).
If you have any questions, comments, ideas or concerns please don't hesitate to contact us.
HAPPY TRADING!
SOFEX Strong Volatility Trend Follower + BacktestingWhat is the SOFEX Strong Volatility Trend Follower + Backtesting script?
🔬 Trading Philosophy
This script is trend-following, attempting to avoid choppy markets.
It has been developed for Bitcoin and Ethereum trading, on 1H timeframe.
The strategy does not aim to make a lot of trades, or to always remain in a position and switch from long to short. Many times there is no direction and the market is in "random walk mode", and chasing trades is futile.
Expectations of performance should be realistic.
The script focuses on a balanced take-profit to stop-loss ratio. In the default set-up of the script, that is a 2% : 2% (1:1) ratio. A relatively low stop loss and take profit build onto the idea that positions should be exited promptly. There are many options to edit these values, including enabling trailing take profit and stop loss. Traders can also completely turn off TP and SL levels, and rely on opposing signals to exit and enter new trades.
Extreme scenarios can happen on the cryptocurrency markets, and disabling stop-loss levels completely is not recommended. The position size should be monitored since all of it is at risk with no stop-loss.
⚙️ Logic of the indicator
The Strong Volatility Trend Follower indicator aims at evading ranging market conditions. It does not seek to chase volatile, yet choppy markets. It aims at aggressively following confirmed trends. The indicator works best during strong, volatile trends, however, it has the downside of entering trades at trend tops or bottoms.
This indicator also leverages proprietary adaptive moving averages to identify and follow strong trend volatility effectively. Furthermore, it uses the Average Directional Index, Awesome Oscillator, ATR and a modified version of VWAP, to categorize trends into weak or strong ones. The VWAP indicator is used to identify the monetary (volume) inflow into a given trend, further helping to avoid short-term manipulations. It also helps to distinguish choppy-market volatility with a trending market one.
📟 Parameters Menu
The script has a comprehensive parameter menu:
Preset Selection : Choose between Bitcoin or Ethereum presets to tailor the indicator to your preferred cryptocurrency market.
Indicator Sensitivity Parameter : Adjust the sensitivity to adapt the indicator, particularly to make it seek higher-strength trends.
Indicator Signal Direction : Set the signal direction as Long, Short, or Both, depending on your preference.
Exit of Signals : You have options regarding Take-Profit (TP) and Stop-Loss (SL) levels. Enable TP/SL levels to exit trades at predetermined levels, or disable them to rely on direction changes for exits. Be aware that removing stop losses can introduce additional risk, and position sizing should be carefully monitored.
By enabling Trailing TP/SL, the system switches to a trailing approach, allowing you to:
- Place an initial customizable SL.
- Specify a level (%) for the Trailing SL to become active.
- When the activation level is reached, the system moves the trailing stop by a given Offset (%).
Additionally, you can enable exit at break-even, where the system places an exit order when the trail activation level is reached, accounting for fees and slippage.
Alert Messages : Define the fields for alert messages based on specific conditions. You can set up alerts to receive email, SMS, and in-app notifications. If you use webhooks for alerts, exercise caution, as these alerts can potentially execute trades without human supervision.
Backtesting : Default backtesting parameters are set to provide realistic backtesting performance:
- 0.04% Commission per trade (for both entries and exits)
- 3 ticks Slippage (highly dependent on exchange)
- Initial capital of $1000
- Order size of $1000
While the order size is equal to the initial capital, the script employs a 2% stop-loss order to limit losses and attempts to prevent risky trades from creating big losses. The order size is a set dollar value, so that the backtesting performance is linear, instead of using % of capital which may result in unrealistic backtesting performance.
Risk Disclaimer
Please be aware that backtesting results, while valuable for statistical overview, do not guarantee future performance in any way. Cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile and risky. Always trade responsibly and do not risk more than you can afford to lose.
Volume-Weighted Kaufman's Adaptive Moving AverageThe Volume-Weighted Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (VW-KAMA) is a technical indicator that combines the Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) and the Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) to create a more responsive and adaptable moving average.
Advantages:
Volume-Weighted: It takes into account the volume of trades, giving more weight to periods with higher trading volume, which can help filter out periods of low activity.
Adaptive: The indicator adjusts its smoothing constant based on market conditions, becoming more sensitive in trending markets and less sensitive in choppy or sideways markets.
Versatility: VW-KAMA can be used for various purposes, including trend identification, trend following, and determining potential reversal points and act as dynamic support and resistance level.
T3 JMA KAMA VWMAEnhancing Trading Performance with T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator
Introduction
In the dynamic world of trading, staying ahead of market trends and capitalizing on volume-driven opportunities can greatly influence trading performance. To address this, we have developed the T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator, an innovative tool that modifies the traditional Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) formula to increase responsiveness and exploit high-volume market conditions for optimal position entry. This article delves into the idea behind this modification and how it can benefit traders seeking to gain an edge in the market.
The Idea Behind the Modification
The core concept behind modifying the VWMA formula is to leverage more responsive moving averages (MAs) that align with high-volume market activity. Traditional VWMA utilizes the Simple Moving Average (SMA) as the basis for calculating the weighted average. While the SMA is effective in providing a smoothed perspective of price movements, it may lack the desired responsiveness to capitalize on short-term volume-driven opportunities.
To address this limitation, our T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator incorporates three advanced moving averages: T3, JMA, and KAMA. These MAs offer enhanced responsiveness, allowing traders to react swiftly to changing market conditions influenced by volume.
T3 (T3 New and T3 Normal):
The T3 moving average, one of the components of our indicator, applies a proprietary algorithm that provides smoother and more responsive trend signals. By utilizing T3, we ensure that the VWMA calculation aligns with the dynamic nature of high-volume markets, enabling traders to capture price movements accurately.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average):
The JMA component further enhances the indicator's responsiveness by incorporating phase shifting and power adjustment. This adaptive approach ensures that the moving average remains sensitive to changes in volume and price dynamics. As a result, traders can identify turning points and anticipate potential trend reversals, precisely timing their position entries.
KAMA (Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average):
KAMA is an adaptive moving average designed to dynamically adjust its sensitivity based on market conditions. By incorporating KAMA into our VWMA modification, we ensure that the moving average adapts to varying volume levels and captures the essence of volume-driven price movements. Traders can confidently enter positions during periods of high trading volume, aligning their strategies with market activity.
Benefits and Usage
The modified T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator offers several advantages to traders looking to exploit high-volume market conditions for position entry:
Increased Responsiveness: By incorporating more responsive moving averages, the indicator enables traders to react quickly to changes in volume and capture short-term opportunities more effectively.
Enhanced Entry Timing: The modified VWMA aligns with high-volume periods, allowing traders to enter positions precisely during price movements influenced by significant trading activity.
Improved Accuracy: The combination of T3, JMA, and KAMA within the VWMA formula enhances the accuracy of trend identification, reversals, and overall market analysis.
Comprehensive Market Insights: The T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator provides a holistic view of market conditions by considering both price and volume dynamics. This comprehensive perspective helps traders make informed decisions.
Analysis and Interpretation
The modified VWMA formula with T3, JMA, and KAMA offers traders a valuable tool for analyzing volume-driven market conditions. By incorporating these advanced moving averages into the VWMA calculation, the indicator becomes more responsive to changes in volume, potentially providing deeper insights into price movements.
When analyzing the modified VWMA, it is essential to consider the following points:
Identifying High-Volume Periods:
The modified VWMA is designed to capture price movements during high-volume periods. Traders can use this indicator to identify potential market trends and determine whether significant trading activity is driving price action. By focusing on these periods, traders may gain a better understanding of the market sentiment and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Confirmation of Trend Strength:
The modified VWMA can serve as a confirmation tool for assessing the strength of a trend. When the VWMA line aligns with the overall trend direction, it suggests that the current price movement is supported by volume. This confirmation can provide traders with additional confidence in their analysis and help them make more informed trading decisions.
Potential Entry and Exit Points:
One of the primary purposes of the modified VWMA is to assist traders in identifying potential entry and exit points. By capturing volume-driven price movements, the indicator can highlight areas where market participants are actively participating, indicating potential opportunities for opening or closing positions. Traders can use this information in conjunction with other technical analysis tools to develop comprehensive trading strategies.
Interpretation of Angle and Gradient:
The modified VWMA incorporates an angle calculation and color gradient to further enhance interpretation. The angle of the VWMA line represents the slope of the indicator, providing insights into the momentum of price movements. A steep angle indicates strong momentum, while a shallow angle suggests a slowdown. The color gradient helps visualize this angle, with green indicating bullish momentum and purple indicating bearish momentum.
Conclusion
By modifying the VWMA formula to incorporate the T3, JMA, and KAMA moving averages, the T3 JMA KAMA VWMA Indicator offers traders an innovative tool to exploit high-volume market conditions for optimal position entry. This modification enhances responsiveness, improves timing, and provides comprehensive market insights.
Enjoy checking it out!
---
Credits to:
◾ @cheatcountry – Hann Window Smoothing
◾ @loxx – T3
◾ @everget – JMA
Adaptive Gaussian Moving AverageThe Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average (AGMA) is a versatile technical indicator that combines the concept of a Gaussian Moving Average (GMA) with adaptive parameters based on market volatility. The indicator aims to provide a smoothed trend line that dynamically adjusts to different market conditions, offering a more responsive analysis of price movements.
Calculation:
The AGMA is calculated by applying a weighted moving average based on a Gaussian distribution. The length parameter determines the number of bars considered for the calculation. The adaptive parameter enables or disables the adaptive feature. When adaptive is true, the sigma value, which represents the standard deviation, is dynamically calculated using the standard deviation of the closing prices over the volatilityPeriod. When adaptive is false, a user-defined fixed value for sigma can be input.
Interpretation:
The AGMA generates a smoothed line that follows the trend of the price action. When the AGMA line is rising, it suggests an uptrend, while a declining line indicates a downtrend. The adaptive feature allows the indicator to adjust its sensitivity based on market volatility, making it more responsive during periods of high volatility and less sensitive during low volatility conditions.
Potential Uses in Strategies:
-- Trend Identification : Traders can use the AGMA to identify the direction of the prevailing trend. Buying opportunities may arise when the price is above the AGMA line during an uptrend, while selling opportunities may be considered when the price is below the AGMA line during a downtrend.
-- Trend Confirmation : The AGMA can be used in conjunction with other technical indicators or trend-following strategies to confirm the strength and sustainability of a trend. A strong and steady AGMA line can provide additional confidence in the prevailing trend.
-- Volatility-Based Strategies : Traders can utilize the adaptive feature of the AGMA to build volatility-based strategies. By adjusting the sigma value based on market volatility, the indicator can dynamically adapt to changing market conditions, potentially improving the accuracy of entry and exit signals.
Limitations:
-- Lagging Indicator : Like other moving averages, the AGMA is a lagging indicator that relies on historical price data. It may not provide timely signals during rapidly changing market conditions or sharp price reversals.
-- Whipsaw in Sideways Markets : During periods of low volatility or when the market is moving sideways, the AGMA may generate false signals or exhibit frequent crossovers around the price, leading to whipsaw trades.
-- Subjectivity of Parameters : The choice of length, adaptive parameters, and volatility period requires careful consideration and customization based on individual preferences and trading strategies. Traders need to adjust these parameters to suit the specific market and timeframe they are trading.
Overall, the Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average can be a valuable tool in trend identification and confirmation, especially when combined with other technical analysis techniques. However, traders should exercise caution, conduct thorough analysis, and consider the indicator's limitations when incorporating it into their trading strategies.
TASC 2023.05 Cong Adaptive Moving Average█ OVERVIEW
TASC's May 2023 edition of Traders' Tips features an article titled "An Adaptive Moving Average For Swing Trading" by Scott Cong. The article presents a new adaptive moving average (AMA) that adjusts its parameters automatically based on market volatility. The AMA tracks price closely during trending movements and remains flat during congestion areas.
█ CONCEPTS
Conventional moving averages (MAs) use a fixed lookback period, which may lead to limited performance in constantly changing market conditions. Perry Kaufman's adaptive moving average , first described in his 1995 book Smarter Trading, is a great example of how an AMA can self-adjust to adapt to changing environments. Scott Cong draws inspiration from Kaufman's approach and proposes a new way to calculate the AMA smoothing factor.
█ CALCULATIONS
Following Perry Kaufman's approach, Scott Cong's AMA is calculated progressively as:
AMA = α * Close + (1 − α) * AMA(1),
where:
Close = Close of the current bar
AMA(1) = AMA value of the previous bar
α = Smoothing factor between 0 and 1, defined by the lookback period
The smoothing factor determines the performance of AMA. In Cong's approach, it is calculated as:
α = Result / Effort,
where:
Result = Highest price of the n period − Lowest price of the n period
Effort = Sum(TR, n ), where TR stands for Wilder’s true range values of individual bars of the n period
n = Lookback period
As the price range is always no greater than the total journey, α is ensured to be between 0 and 1.
kama
█ Description
An adaptive indicator could be defined as market conditions following indicator, in summary, the parameter of the indicator would be adjusted to fit its optimum value to the current price action. KAMA, Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average, an adaptive trendline indicator developed by Perry J. Kaufman, with the notion of using the fastest trend possible based on the smallest calculation period for the existing market conditions, by applying an exponential smoothing formula to vary the speed of the trend (changing smoothing constant each period), as cited from Trading Systems and Methods p.g. 780 (Perry J. Kaufman). In this indicator, the proposed notion is on the Efficiency Ratio within the computation of KAMA, which will use a Dominant Cycle instead, an adaptive filter developed by John F. Ehlers, on determining the n periods, aiming to achieve an optimum lookback period, with respect to the original Efficiency Ratio calculation period of less than 14, and 8 to 10 is preferable.
█ Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average
kama_ = kama + smoothing_constant * (price - kama )
where:
price = current price (source)
smoothing_constant = (efficiency_ratio * (fastest - slowest) + slowest)^2
fastest = 2/(fastest length + 1)
slowest = 2/(slowest length + 1)
efficiency_ratio = price - price /sum(abs(src - src , int(dominant_cycle))
█ Feature
The indicator will have a specified default parameter of: length = 14; fast_length = 2; slow_length = 30; hp_period = 48; source = ohlc4
KAMA trendline i.e. output value if price above the trendline and trendline indicates with green color, consider to buy/long position
while, if the price is below the trendline and the trendline indicates red color, consider to sell/short position
Hysteresis Band
Bar Color
other example
Another New Adaptive Moving Average [CC]The New Adaptive Moving Average was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Mar 2023) and this is a companion indicator to my previous script . This indicator still works off of the same concept as before with effort vs results but this indicator takes a slightly different approach and instead defines results as the absolute difference between the closing price and a closing price x bars ago. As you can see in my chart example, this indicator works great to stay with the current trend and provides either a stop loss or take profit target depending on which direction you are going in. As always, I use darker colors to show stronger signals and lighter colors to show normal signals. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicator scripts you would like to see me publish!
A New Adaptive Moving Average [CC]The New Adaptive Moving Average was created by Scott Cong (Stocks and Commodities Mar 2023) and his idea was to focus on the Adaptive Moving Average created by Perry Kaufman and to try to improve it by introducing a concept of effort vs results. In this case the effort would be the total range of the underlying price action since each bar is essentially a war of the bulls vs the bears. The result would be the total range of the close so we are looking for the highest close and lowest close in that same time period. This gives us an alpha that we can use to plug into the Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average algorithm which gives us a brand new indicator that can hug the price just enough to allow us to ride the stock up or down. I have color coded it to be darker colors when it is a strong signal and lighter colors when it is a normal signal. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
Better Heiken-Ashi Candles w/ Expanded Source Types [Loxx]Better Heiken-Ashi Candles w/ Expanded Source Types is an indicator to compare regular candles to traditional Heiken-Ashi candles to "better" Heiken Ashi candles. This indicator and comparison study appears an oscillator. The purpose of this indicator is to demonstrate a better way to calculate HA candles and also to demonstrate expanded source types. This indicator is meant to be used by advanced Pine Coders who wish to add fine-tuning to their indicators and strategies.
What are Heiken Ashi "better" candles?
The "better formula" was proposed in an article/memo by BNP-Paribas (In Warrants & Zertifikate, No. 8, August 2004 (a monthly German magazine published by BNP Paribas, Frankfurt), there is an article by Sebastian Schmidt about further development (smoothing) of Heikin-Ashi chart.)
They proposed to use the following :
(Open+Close)/2+(((Close-Open)/(High-Low))*ABS((Close-Open)/2))
instead of using :
haClose = (O+H+L+C)/4
According to that document the HA representation using their proposed formula is better than the traditional formula.
What are traditional Heiken-Ashi candles?
The Heikin-Ashi technique averages price data to create a Japanese candlestick chart that filters out market noise.
Heikin-Ashi charts, developed by Munehisa Homma in the 1700s, share some characteristics with standard candlestick charts but differ based on the values used to create each candle. Instead of using the open, high, low, and close like standard candlestick charts, the Heikin-Ashi technique uses a modified formula based on two-period averages. This gives the chart a smoother appearance, making it easier to spots trends and reversals, but also obscures gaps and some price data.
What's going on with this indicator?
- First, we have the options to select the candlestick type: Regular, HA, HA Better
- Next, and to demonstrate the expanded source types, I've added a simple moving average. In the drop down for the SMA source you'll notice something very different from the typical TradingView source selector. Here's how to decode the new names for the sources:
Close = close
Open = open
High = high
Low = low
Median = hl2
Typical = hlc3
Weighted = hlcc4
Average = ohlc4
Average Median Body = (open+close)/2
Trend Biased = (see code, too complex to explain here)
Trend Biased (extreme) = (see code, too complex to explain here)
... for HA and HA better, see the same set up as above but with different open and close values to calcualate the other source types
- For the HA better calculations, we run the close value through either an Adaptive, Kaufman, or T3 smoothing filter. The length for these smoothing filters, either 2 or 3, can be found in the code and is a constant value that shouldn't be changed. This smoothing is in inline with what is described in the article mentioned above
- Lastly, I've placed an SMA over the oscillator so that the user can test out the various sources explained above
Included:
- Toggle on/off bar coloring
Greedy MA & Greedy Bollinger Bands This moving average takes all of the moving averages between 1 and 700 and takes the average of them all. It also takes the min/max average (donchian) of every one of those averages. Also included is Bollinger Bands calculated in the same way. One nice feature I have added is the option to use geometric calculations for. I also added regular bb calculations because this can be a major hog. Use this default setting on 1d or 1w. Enjoy!
ps, I call it greedy because the default settings wont work on lower time frames
Ehlers Median Average Adaptive Filter [CC]The Median Average Adaptive Filter was created by John Ehlers and this is another in my current series of undiscovered gems. I'm sure you are all saying but Franklin, Ehlers doesn't have any undiscovered gems but in this case you would be wrong. This was actually an indicator so buried on the internet that I had to use the wayback machine to find the original source code. Ehlers notoriously hates adaptive moving averages which is funny because he has made a decent amount of them. This is a very unique indicator that uses a while loop to adjust the length and I thought it deserved some extra recognition from the TV community. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so strong signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts or indicators you would like to see me publish!
+ Ultimate MAWhat is the "Ultimate MA" exactly, you ask? Simple. It actually takes as its influence the Rex Dog Moving Average (which I have included as an MA in some of my other indicators), an invention by xkavalis that is simply an average of different length moving averages.
It's available for free on his account, so take a look at it.
I've recently become drawn to using fibonacci sequence numbers as lookbacks for moving averages, and they work really well (I'm honestly beginning to think the number doesn't matter).
You can see where this is going. The Ultimate MA is an average of several (eight) moving averages of varying lengths (5 - 144) all of fibonacci numbers. Sounds pretty basic, right? That's not actually the case, however.
If you were to take all these numbers, add them up, then average them by eight you'd get ~46. Now, stick a 46 period moving average on the chart and compare it to this one and see what you get. They track price very differently. Still, this all sort of sounds like I'm copying the RDMA, which isn't a sin in itself but is hardly grounds for releasing a new MA into the wild.
The actual initial problem I wanted to tackle was how to take in to account for the entire range of price action in a candle in a moving average. ohlc4 sort of does this, but it's still just one line that is an average of all these prices, and I thought there might be a better way not claiming that what I came upon is, but I like it).
My solution was to plot two moving averages: one an average of price highs, and the other an average of lows, thus creating a high/low price channel. Perhaps this is not a new thing at all. I don't know. This is just an idea I had that I figured I could implement easily enough.
Originally I had just applied this to a 21 period EMA, but then the idea sort of expanded into what you see here. I kept thinking "is 21 the best?" What about faster or slower? Then I thought about the RDMA and decided on this implimentation.
Further, I take the high and low moving averages and divide them by two in order to get a basis. You can turn all this stuff on or off, though I do like the default settings.
After that I wanted to add bands to it to measure volatility. There is an RDMA version that utilizes ATR bands, but I could never find myself happy with these.
I just wanted something... else. I also, actually made my own version of xkavalis' RDMA bands with some of the extra stuff I included here, but obviously didn't feel comfortable releasing it as an indicator as I hadn't changed it enough significantly in my mind to fairly do so. I eventually settled on Bollinger Bands as an appropriate solution to apply to the situation. I really like them. It took some fiddling because I had to create a standard deviation for both the high and low MAs instead of just one, and then figure out the best combination of moving averages and standard deviations to add and subtract to get the bands right.
Then I decided I wanted to add a few different moving averages to choose from instead of just an EMA even though I think it's the "best." I didn't want to make things too complicated, so I just went with the standards--EMA, SMA, WMA, HMA-- + 1, the ALMA (which gives some adjustability with its offset and sigma).
Also, you can run more than one moving average at a time (try running an HMA with a slower one).
Oh yeah, the bands? You can set them, in a dropdown box, to be based on which ever moving average you want.
Furthermore, this is a multi-timeframe indicator, so if you want to run it on a higher time frame than the one you are trading on, it's great for that.
ALSO, I actually have the basis color setup as multi-timeframe. What this means is that if you are looking at an hourly chart, you can set the color to a 4h (or higher) chart if you want, and if the current candle is above or below the previous close of the basis on that higher timeframe you will know simply by looking at the color of it ((while still being on the hourly chart). It's just a different way of utilizing higher timeframe information, but without the indicator itself plotted as higher timeframe.
I'm nearly finished. Almost last thing is a 233 period moving average. It's plotted as an average of the SMA, EMA, and Kijun-sen.
Lastly, there are alerts for price crossing the inner border of the bands, or the 233 MA.
Below is a zoomed in look at a chart.
Much credit and gratitude to xkavalis for coming up with the idea of an average of moving averages.
Ehlers Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average [CC]The Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average was created by Perry Kaufman and this is a variation of that original formula created by John Ehlers. I have included a side by side with an original script (blue line) done by @HPotter that shows that Ehlers version is slightly more reactive compared to the original version. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones and so darker colors are strong signals and lighter colors are normal ones. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other scripts you would like to see me publish!
Advance AMA with Sylvain BandsMany traders believe that the moving averages are favorite tools and analysts have spent decades trying to improve moving averages partiularly the simple moving average. One way to address the disadvantages of moving averages is to multiply the weighting factor by a volatility ratio which is called Adaptive moving averages.
This indicator uses an special adaptive moving averages which is developed by John Ehlers. The model adapts to price movement “based on the rate change of phase as measured by the Hilbert Transform Discriminator”. This method of adaptation features a fast and a slow moving average so that the composite moving average swiftly responds to price changes and holds the average value until the next bars close. In addition, the smoothed Volatility Bands were created by Sylvain Vervoort is included.
Professor Snipe: A superadaptive moving average. Prof. Snipe is a superadaptive, multi-purpose indicator I developed in order to judge market trend strength and show high probability entry points.
The indicator is focused around a zero lag moving average algorithm (SUPER-MA, ), that changes its parameters depending on the volatility (ATR) and trend strength (ADX).
If the price (black 3 period MA) is above the Super-MA, this indicates market momentum and strength. If price is below the Super-MA, price and momentum are showing weakness.
Micro-Signals are given based on smaller lag-free moving average crossovers (blue and red arrows), but entries will depend on the location of price, with respect to the super-MA.
Furthermore, to judge the current price position with respect to high timeframe averages, the algo will automatically show the location of the nearest moving averages for support and resistance.
/////////////////////////
Entry Conditions example.:
For Longs:
Wait until the 4 hour trend flips bullish, price above Super-MA. Once it does, it will often retest the Super-MA as support. When that happens, use the next entry signal to go long.
For further safety, check the safety net (dotted hull moving average) to see if price has broken above that too, for an optimal long.
-- use caution when entering longs if: price is floating around the super-ma (very weak trend) and if price is below super-ma.
For Shorts:
Wait until the 4 hour trend flips bearish, price below Super-MA. Once it does, use lower timeframes to find short entry points using the MA signals.
-- use caution when entering shorts if: price is floating around the super-ma (very weak trend) and if price is above super-ma.
DYOR and test it yourself to find what works for you.
BE AWARE!
Just following the entry and exit signals (arrows) will not give you perfect results.
Summary:
Overall, this is probably the best indicator I have ever created, and has a very high success rate when used properly.
Best,
MM
The Trend Oracle - The Ultimate Position ToolThe Trend Oracle is a superadaptive multi-timeframe Indicator
Ideal timeframes are 4H, and 1D
It is based on a combination of several other indicators including:
- The Superstrength Index - An adaptive indicator using volume weighted average of the traditional RSI, MFI and OBV
- The Superfast MACD - An adaptive zero lag MACD
- ADX Trend - A tweaked version of the ADX
- Chop Zones - A combination of 2 Chop indexes to identify trending and non trending conditions.
- The Adaptive Supertrend - An adaptive version of the Supertrend, (switching multipliers based on the market trend)
- Breakout & Breakdown - An algorithm computing volume compression and expansion to indicate breakout & breakdown signals.
- [bBullish and Bearish Divergences - Confirmed Bull and Bear divs shown as green and red dots at the top and bottom of the indicator.
Areas highlighted in Aqua are bullish, red are bearish.
Use this indicator as a tool to position yourself over longer timeframes.
Enjoy!
MM :)
Rainbow Adaptive RSI [LuxAlgo]The following oscillator uses an adaptive moving average as an input for another RSI oscillator and aims to provide a way to minimize the impact of retracements over the oscillator output without introducing significant lag.
An additional trigger line is present in order to provide entry points from the crosses between the oscillator and the trigger line. More details are given below.
Settings
Length : period of the oscillator
Power : controls the sensitivity of the oscillator to retracements, with higher values minimizing the sensitivity to retracements.
Src : source input of the indicator
The indicator also includes the following graphical settings:
Gradient : Determines the color mode to use for the gradient, options include "Red To Green", "Red To Blue" and "None", with "None" displaying no gradient.
Color fill : Determines whether to fill the area between the oscillator and the trigger line or not, by default "On".
Circles : Determines whether to show circles highlighting the crosses between the oscillator and the trigger line.
Usage
The indicator can be used like any normalized oscillator, but unlike a classical RSI, it does not converge toward 50 with higher length values. This is caused by the RSI using a smooth input.
The power setting will minimize the impact of certain variations on the oscillator:
Here the oscillator at the bottom uses a power value of 1.5.
The trigger line is a smoothed RSI using an EMA as input, and it won't remain as near to 100 and 0 as the main oscillator. Using a moving average of the main oscillator as a trigger line would create faster crosses, but this approach allows us to have no crosses when a retracement is present.
Details
As previously discussed the main oscillator uses an adaptive moving average as input; this adaptive moving average is computed using a smoothing factor derived from an RSI oscillator, a similar adaptive moving average known as ARSI, but unlike ARSI which uses a classical RSI of the closing price for the calculation of the smoothing factor, our smoothing factor makes use of RSI on the adaptive moving average error, which provides a higher level of adaptiveness.
Trend Regularity Adaptive Moving Average [LuxAlgo]The following moving average adapt to the average number of highest high/lowest low made over a specific period, thus adapting to trend strength. Interesting results can be obtained when using the moving average in a MA crossover system or as a trailing support/resistance.
Settings
Length : Period of the indicator, with higher values returning smoother results.
Src : Source input of the indicator.
Usage
The trend regularity adaptive moving average (TRAMA) can be used like most moving averages, with the advantage of being smoother during ranging markets.
Notice how the moving closer to the price the longer a trend last, such effect can be practical to have early entry points when using the moving average in a MA crossover system, such effect is due to the increasing number of average highest high/lowest low made during longer trends. Note that in the case of a significant uptrend followed by a downtrend, the moving average might penalize the start of the downtrend (and vice versa).
The moving average can also act as an interesting trailing support/resistance.
Details
The moving average is calculated using exponential averaging, using as smoothing factor the squared simple moving average of the number of highest high/lowest low previously made, highest high/lowest low are calculated using rolling maximums/minimums.
Using higher values of length will return fewer highest high/lowest low which explains why the moving average is smoother for higher length values. Squaring allows the moving average to penalize lower values, thus appearing more stationary during ranging markets, it also allows to have some consistency regarding the length setting.
🧙 this moving average would not be possible without the existence of corn syrup 🦎
Fractal Trend Trading System [DW]This is an advanced utility that uses fractal dimension and trend information to generate useful insights about price activity and potential trade signals.
In this script, my Advanced FDI algorithm is used to estimate the fractal dimension of the dataset over a user defined period.
Fractal dimension, unlike spatial or topological dimension, measures how complexity or detail in an "object" changes as its unit of measurement changes, rather than the number of axes it occupies.
Many forms of time series data (seismic data, ECG data, financial data, etc.) have been theoretically shown to have limited fractal properties.
Consequently, we can estimate the fractal dimension from this data to get an approximate measure of how rough or convoluted the data stream is.
Financial data's fractal dimension is limited to between 1 and 2, so it can also be used to roughly approximate the Hurst Exponent by the relationship H = 2 - D.
When D=1.5, data statistically behaves like a random walk. D above 1.5 can be considered more rough or "mean reverting" due to the increase in complexity of the series.
D below 1.5 can be considered more prone to trending due to the decrease in complexity of the series.
In this script, you are given the option to apply my Band Shelf EQ algorithm to the dataset before estimating dimension.
This enables you to transform your data and observe how its newly measured complexity changes the outputs.
Whether you want to give emphasis to some frequencies, isolate specific bands, or completely alter the shape of your waveform, EQ filtration makes for an interesting experience.
The default EQ preset in this script removes the low shelf, then attenuates low end and high end oscillations.
The dominant cyclical components (bands 3 - 5 on default settings) are passed at 100%, keeping emphasis on 8 to 64 sample per cycle oscillations.
The estimated dimension is then used to calculate the High Dimension Zone and the Error Bands.
Both of these components are great for analyzing trends and for estimating support and resistance values.
The High Dimension Zone is composed of a high line, low line, and midline that update their values when D is at or above the user defined zone activation threshold.
The zone is then averaged over a user defined amount of updates and zone width is multiplied by a user defined value.
The Error Bands are composed of a high, low, and middle band that are calculated using an error adjusted adaptive filter algorithm that utilizes dimension as the smoothing constant modulator.
The basis filter for the error bands has two calculation types built in:
-> MA - Calculates the filters as adaptive moving averages modulated by D.
-> WAP - Calculates the filters as adaptive weighted average prices modulated by D.
The WAP starting point can be based on the High Dimension Zone being moved or a user defined interval.
You can also define the WAP's minimum and maximum periods for additional control of the initial and decayed sensitivity states.
The alpha (smoothing constant) modulator can be fine tuned using the designated dimension thresholds.
When D is at or below the low dimension threshold, the filter is most responsive, and vice-versa for the high dimension threshold.
Alpha is then multiplied by a user defined amount for additional control of sensitivity.
Band width is then multiplied by a user defined value.
A Hull transformation can be optionally performed on the zone averaging and band filter algorithms as well, which will alter the frequency and phase responses at the cost of some overshoot.
This transformation is the same as a typical Hull equation, but with custom filters being used instead of WMA.
The calculated outputs are then used to gauge the trend for signal and color scheme calculations.
First, a dominant trend indication is selected from its designated dropdown tab.
The available built in indications to choose from are:
-> Band Trend (Outer) - Detects band breakouts and saves their direction to gauge trend.
-> Band Trend (Median) - Uses disparity between source and the band median to gauge trend.
-> Zone Trend (Expansion) - Detects when the high fractal zone expands and saves its direction to gauge trend.
-> Zone Trend (Outer Levels) - Detects zone breakouts and saves their direction to gauge trend.
-> Zone Trend (Median) - Uses disparity between source and the zone median to gauge trend.
Then the trend output is optionally filtered before triggering signals.
There are multiple trend filtration options built into this script that can be used individually or in unison:
-> Filter Trend With High Fractal Zone - Filters the trend using the specified zone level or combination of levels with either disparity or crossover conditions.
There is a set of options for bullish and bearish trends.
-> Filter Trend With Error Bands - Filters the trend using the specified band level or combination of levels with either disparity or crossover conditions.
There is a set of options for bullish and bearish trends.
-> Filter Trend With Band - Zone Disparity Condition - Filters the trend using the specified band level, zone level, and disparity direction.
There is a set of options for bullish and bearish trends.
-> Filter By Zone That Moves With The Trend - Filters the specified trend by detecting when the high fractal zone’s direction correlates.
-> Filter By Bands That Move With The Trend - Filters the specified trend by detecting when the error bands’ direction correlates.
-> Filter Using Wave Confirmation - Filters the specified trend by detecting when source is in a correlating wave with user defined length.
You can also choose separate lengths for bullish and bearish trends.
-> Filter By Bars With Decreasing Dimension - Filters the specified trend by detecting when fractal dimension is decreasing, suggesting source is approaching more linear movement.
The filtered trend output is then used to generate entry and exit signals.
There are multiple options included to fine tune how these signals behave.
For entries, you have the following options built in:
-> Limit Entry Dimension - Limits the range of dimensional values that are acceptable for entry with user defined thresholds.
This can be incredibly useful for filtering out entries taken when price is moving in a more complex pattern,
or when price is approaching a peak and you’re a little late to the party.
-> Enable Position Increase Signals - Enables more entry signals to fire up to a user defined number of times when a position is active.
This is helpful for those who incrementally increase their positions, or for those who want to see additional signals as reference.
-> Limit Number Of Consecutive Trades - Limits the number of consecutive trades that can be opened in a single direction to a user defined maximum.
This is especially useful for markets that only trend for brief durations.
By limiting the amount of trades you take in one direction, you have more control over your market exposure.
There is a set of these options for both bullish and bearish entries.
For exits, you have the following options built in:
-> Include Exit Signals From High Fractal Zone - Enables exit signals generated from either crossover or disparity conditions between price and a specified zone level.
-> Include Exit Signals From Error Bands - Enables exit signals generated from either crossover or disparity conditions between price and a specified zone level.
-> Include Inactive Trend Output For Exits - Triggers exit signals when the filtered trend output is an inactive value.
-> Dimension Target Exit Method - Triggers exit signals based on fractal dimension hitting a user defined threshold.
You can either choose for the exit to trigger instantly, or after dimension reverts from the target by a user specified amount.
-> Exit At Maximum Entry Dimension - Triggers exit signals when dimension exceeds the maximum entry limit.
-> Number Of Signals Required For 100% Exit - Controls the number of exit signals required to close the position.
You can also choose whether or not to include partial exits.
Enabling them will fire a partial signal when an exit occurs, but the position is not 100% closed.
Of course, there is a set of these options for bullish and bearish exits.
In my opinion, no system is complete without some sort of risk management protocol in place.
So in this script, bullish and bearish trades come equipped with optional protective SL and TP levels with signals.
The levels can be fixed or trailing, and are calculated with a user defined scale.
The available scales for SL and TP distances are ticks, pips, points, % of price, ATR, band range, zone range, or absolute numerical value.
Now what if you have some awesome signals of your own that you’d like to use in conjunction with this script?
Well good news. You can!
In addition to all of the customizable features built into the script, you can integrate your own signals into the system using the external data inputs and linking your script.
This adds a whole new layer of customization to the system.
With external signals, you can use your own custom dominant trend indication, filter the dominant trend, and trigger exits and protective stops using custom signals.
The signal input is an integer format. 1=Bull Signal, -1=Bear Signal, 2=Bull Exit, -2=Bear Exit, 3=Bull SL Hit, -3=Bear SL Hit, 4=Bull TP Hit, -4=Bear TP Hit.
You can also use the external input as a custom source value for either dimension or global sources to further tailor the system to your liking.
The color scheme in this script utilizes two custom gradients that can be chosen for bar and background colors:
-> Trend (Dominant or Filtered) - A polarized gradient that shows green scaled values for bullish trend and red scaled values for bearish trend.
The colors are brighter and more vibrant as perceived trend strength increases.
-> Dimension - A thermal gradient that shows cooler colors when dimension is higher, and hotter colors when dimension is lower.
Both color schemes are dependent on the designated dimension thresholds.
The script comes equipped with alerts for entries, additional entries, exits, partial exits, and protective stops so you can automate more and stare at your charts less.
And lastly, the script comes equipped with additional external outputs to further your analysis:
-> Entry And Exit Signals - Outputs in the same format as the external signal input with these additions: 5=Bull Increase, -5=Bear Increase, 6=Bull Reduce, -6=Bear Reduce.
You can use these to send to other scripts, including strategy types so you can backtest your performance on TV’s engine.
-> Dominant Trend - Outputs 1 for bullish and -1 for bearish. Can be used to send trend signals to another script.
I designed this tool with individuality in mind.
Every trader has a different situation. We trade on different schedules, markets, perspectives, etc.
Analytical systems of basically any type are very seldom (if ever) “one size fits all” and usually require a fair amount of modification to achieve desirable results.
That’s why this system is so freely customizable.
Your system should be flexible enough to be tailored to your analytical style, not the other way around.
When a system is limited in what you can control, it limits your experience, analytical potential, and possibly even profitability.
This is not your typical pre-set system. If you're looking for just another "buy, sell" script that requires minimal thought, look elsewhere.
If you’re ready to dive into a powerful technical system that allows you to tailor the experience to your style, welcome!
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This is a premium script, and access is granted on an invite-only basis.
To gain access, get a copy of the system overview, or for additional inquiries, send me a direct message.
I look forward to hearing from you!
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General Disclaimer:
Trading stocks, futures, Forex, options, ETFs, cryptocurrencies or any other financial instrument has large potential rewards, but also large potential risk.
You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in stocks, futures, Forex, options, ETFs or cryptocurrencies.
Don’t trade with money you can’t afford to lose.
This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell stocks, futures, Forex, options, ETFs, cryptocurrencies or any other financial instrument.
No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses of any kind.
The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
