War IndexIntroduction
Welcome to the War Index! This project aims to provide traders, investors, and analysts with a specialized financial indicator that tracks the performance of key defense and aerospace companies. By aggregating the percentage changes of selected stocks, the War Index offers insights into the defense sector's dynamics and its relationship with the broader market.
What is the War Index?
The War Index is a custom financial indicator designed to approximate the collective performance of major defense and aerospace companies. It aggregates the daily percentage changes of selected stocks within the defense sector to provide a singular metric that reflects the overall health and trends of this industry. Additionally, the index is compared against the S&P 500 (SPX) to contextualize its performance relative to the broader market.
Index Components
The War Index comprises the following 16 stocks, each representing a significant player in the defense and aerospace industries:
Lockheed Martin Corporation ( NYSE:LMT )
Northrop Grumman Corporation ( NYSE:NOC )
Boeing Company ( NYSE:BA )
Raytheon Technologies Corporation ( NYSE:RTX )
General Dynamics Corporation ( NYSE:GD )
BAE Systems plc ( OTC:BAESY )
L3Harris Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE:LHX )
Textron Inc. ( NYSE:TXT )
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. ( NYSE:HII )
Oshkosh Corporation ( NYSE:OSK )
Leidos Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:LDOS )
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. ( NASDAQ:KTOS )
Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:SPR )
Parsons Corporation ( NYSE:PSN )
CACI International Inc ( NYSE:CACI )
ViaSat, Inc. ( NASDAQ:VSAT )
Purpose of the War Index
The War Index serves several key purposes:
Sector Performance Tracking : By aggregating the performance of major defense and aerospace companies, the index provides a clear picture of the sector's overall health.
Investment Analysis : Investors can use the index to identify trends, evaluate sector strength, and make informed decisions regarding their portfolios.
Comparative Benchmarking : Comparing the War Index with broader market indices like the S&P 500 helps in understanding how the defense sector performs relative to the general market.
Disclaimer: This War Index is an approximated indicator intended for informational purposes only. It should not be construed as investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gestione portafoglio
Strategy Tester [Cometreon]Strategy Tester is a powerful backtesting engine designed to evaluate and optimize trading strategies built with the Strategy Builder or signals triggered by the Signal Tester.
It provides a full-featured environment for assessing strategy performance across symbols and timeframes, offering smart tools for risk management, capital allocation, and alert handling.
Whether you're refining a custom strategy or validating signals, Strategy Tester helps you test with confidence and clarity.
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Easily test strategies across different assets and timeframes to understand how they behave in diverse market conditions.
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Implement multiple Take Profit and Stop Loss combinations, break-even, trailing systems, and exit rules tailored to your style.
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Customize trading hours, session windows, and initial capital allocation for ultra-precise testing scenarios.
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Generate personalized alerts for entries, exits, and SL/TP adjustments to simulate real-time execution.
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1️⃣ Source Entry Long and Short - Select entry conditions for the strategy from the "Signal Tester" or "Strategy Builder".
2️⃣ Source Exit Long and Short - Select exit conditions for the strategy from the "Signal Tester" or "Strategy Builder".
3️⃣ Trading Session - Choose the period in which the strategy will enter positions, selecting from: Months, Days, up to 3 hourly sessions, and the strategy's activity range, i.e., start and end date.
4️⃣ Alert Message - Set custom messages for each type of Alert, such as Entry Long, Exit Short, or Change SL Long.
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1️⃣ Initial Capital - Set the starting capital for the strategy.
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3️⃣ Take Profit - Configure up to 4 Take Profits using one of the following types:
%: Percentage from the entry price
USD: Distance in dollars
Pip: Distance in Pips
ATR: Based on ATR multiplier
Swing: Uses swing length
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Execute the backtest and analyze the visual + data output for insight.
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Strategy Builder [Cometreon]Strategy Builder is a powerful tool that lets you create fully customized trading strategies directly within TradingView. With support for up to 5 entry conditions and 2 exit conditions, it gives you exceptional flexibility to build and refine your own trading logic—no coding required.
It’s the ideal choice for traders who want complete control over their signal structure and decision flow.
🔷 Key Features
🟩 Multi-Condition Strategy Creation
Design strategies using up to five entry conditions and two exit conditions to tailor behavior in any market scenario.
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Use any indicator on TradingView—including private and custom ones—to build your strategy inputs and triggers.
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Utilize advanced logic like previous-candle signals, confirmation filters, and multi-bar requirements to make your strategy more reactive and reliable.
🔷 Technical Details and Customizable Inputs
1️⃣ Activate Signal - Option to activate or deactivate the Long or Short condition.
2️⃣ Special Condition - Activate one of several advanced logic types:
Precedent Signal : Check the condition on a previous candle (e.g., 4 candles ago).
Check Signal : See if the condition occurred within a certain range (e.g., any of the last 6 candles).
[* ]Multiple Signal : Requires the condition to occur in several consecutive candles (e.g., 3 in a row).
Confirm Signal : Confirms that the condition has not occurred in a given range.
3️⃣ Source Long and Short - Choose the first value to compare, selecting any TradingView indicator—including Cometreon’s custom tools.
4️⃣ Type Long and Short - Define how the condition is calculated, with options like:
Cross Over Value
Cross Under Value
Greater Than
Lower Than
Equal To
Increase (vs previous candle)
Decrease
No Change
Change Value
5️⃣ Only First - Prevents repeated signals by ignoring the condition if it was already active in the previous candle.
6️⃣ Type Value - Sets the comparison value type:
Normal : Manually enter a fixed value (e.g., 20 or 50)
Choose : Select another indicator as the comparison value
🔍 How to Use Strategy Builder
⚙️ Define Conditions
Set your long and short entries using your favorite indicators and logic combinations.
📊 Configure Signal
Manage how and when signals are triggered using the advanced condition options provided.
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Once configured, test your strategy directly on the chart or in real backtest mode with Strategy Tester.
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Signal Tester [Cometreon]Signal Tester is a fast and intuitive tool designed to help you visualize and analyze up to 100 past trading signals directly on the TradingView chart. Whether your signals come from bots, communities, or your own strategies, this indicator is perfect for quick validation and real-time feedback.
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Display long and short entries directly on your chart for clear, immediate analysis of signal behavior.
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Mini PortfolioThis code is a simple portfolio tracker calculates the Net Asset Value (NAV) of a portfolio consisting of up to 6 tickers based on Binance prices. Users can input how much of each cryptocurrency they "own," and the script then fetches the opening price of each coin.
After calculating the values of BTC, ETH, and SOL, the code sums these individual values to determine the portfolio's total value, or NAV. This NAV is then plotted on a graph, allowing users to see the overall value of their selected cryptocurrency portfolio over time.
In essence, this code allows users to track the hypothetical value of a small crypto portfolio and see how price fluctuations affect the total portfolio value. It’s a useful tool for visualizing potential portfolio performance without actual investments.
AI x Meme Impulse Tracker [QuantraSystems]AI x Meme Impulse Tracker
Quantra Systems guarantees that the information created and published within this document and on the Tradingview platform is fully compliant with applicable regulations, does not constitute investment advice, and is not exclusively intended for qualified investors.
Important Note!
The system equity curve presented here has been generated as part of the process of testing and verifying the methodology behind this script.
Crucially, it was developed after the system was conceptualized, designed, and created, which helps to mitigate the risk of overfitting to historical data. In other words, the system was built for robustness, not for simply optimizing past performance.
This ensures that the system is less likely to degrade in performance over time, compared to hyper-optimized systems that are tailored to past data. No tweaks or optimizations were made to this system post-backtest.
Even More Important Note!!
The nature of markets is that they change quickly and unpredictably. Past performance does not guarantee future results - this is a fundamental rule in trading and investing.
While this system is designed with broad, flexible conditions to adapt quickly to a range of market environments, it is essential to understand that no assumptions should be made about future returns based on historical data. Markets are inherently uncertain, and this system - like all trading systems - cannot predict future outcomes.
Introduction
The AI x Meme Impulse Tracker is a cutting-edge, fast-acting rotational algorithm designed to capitalize on the strength of assets within pre-selected categories. Using a custom function built on top of the RSI Pulsar, the system measures momentum through impulses rather than traditional trend following methods. This allows for swifter reallocations based on short bursts of strength.
This system focuses on precision and agility - making it highly adaptable in volatile markets. The strategy is built around three independent asset categories - with allocations only made to the strongest asset in each - ensuring that capital movement (in particular between blockchains) is kept to a minimum for efficiency purposes while maintaining exposure to the highest performing tokens.
Legend
Token Inputs:
The Impulse Tracker is designed with dynamic asset selection - allowing traders to customize the inputs for each category. This feature enables flexible system management, as the number of active tokens within each category can be adjusted at any time. Whether the user chooses the default of 13 tokens per category, or fewer, the system will automatically recalibrate. This ensures that all calculations, from relative strength to individual performance assessments, adjust as required. Disabled tokens are treated by the system as if they don’t exist - seamlessly updating performance metrics and the Impulse Tracker’s allocation behavior to maintain the highest level of efficiency and accuracy.
System Equity Curve:
The Impulse Tracker plots both the rotational system’s equity and the Buy-and-Hold (or ‘HODL’) benchmark of Bitcoin for comparison. While the HODL approach allocates the entire portfolio to Bitcoin and functions as an index to compare to, the Impulse Tracker dynamically allocates based on strength impulses within the chosen tokens and categories. The system equity curve is representative of adding an equal capital split between the strongest assets of each category. The relative strength system does handle ‘ties’ of strength - in this situation multiple tokens from a single category can be included in the final equity curve, with the allocated weight to that category split between the tied assets.
TABLES:
Equity Stats:
This table is held in Quantra System's typical UI design language. It offers a comprehensive snapshot of the system’s performance, with key metrics organized to help traders quickly assess both short-term and cumulative results. The left side provides details on individual asset performance, while the right side presents a comparison of the system’s risk-adjusted metrics against a simple BTC Hodl strategy.
The leftmost column of the Equity Stats table showcases performance indicators for the system’s current allocations. This provides quick identification of the current strongest tokens, based on confirmed and non-repainting data as soon as the current opens and the last bar closes.
The right-hand side compares the performance differences between the system and Hodl profits, both on a cumulative basis and analyzing only the previous bar. The total number of position changes is also tracked in this table - an important metric when calculating total slippage and should be used to determine how ‘hands-on’ the strategy will be on the current timeframe.
The lower part of the table highlights a direct comparison of the AI x Memes Impulse strategy with buy-and-hold Bitcoin. The risk adjusted performance ratios, Sharpe, Sortino and Omega, are shown side by side, as well as the maximum drawdown experienced by both strategies within the set testing window.
Screener Table:
This table provides a detailed breakdown of the performance for each asset that has been the strongest in its category at some point and thus received an allocation. The table tracks several key metrics for each asset - including returns, volatility, Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio, Omega ratio, and maximum drawdown. It also displays the signals for both current and previous periods, as well as the assets weight in the theoretical portfolio. Assets that have never received a signal are also included, giving traders an overview of which assets have contributed to the portfolio's performance and which have not played a role so far.
The position changes cell also offers important insights, as it shows the frequency of not just total position changes, but also rebalancing events.
Detailed Slippage Table:
The Detailed Slippage Table provides a comprehensive breakdown of the calculated slippage and fees incurred throughout the strategy’s operations. It contains several key metrics that give traders a granular view of the costs associated with executing the system:
Selected Slippage - Displays the current slippage rate, as defined in the input menu.
Removal Slippage - This accounts for any slippage or fees incurred when removing an allocation from a token.
Reallocation Slippage - Tracks the slippage or fees when reallocating capital to existing positions.
Addition Slippage - Measures the slippage or fees incurred when allocating capital to new tokens.
Final Slippage - Is the sum of all the individual slippage points and provides a quick view of the total slippage accounted for by the system.
The table is also divided into two columns:
Last Transaction Slippage + Fees - Displays any slippage or fees incurred based on position changes within the current bar.
Total Slippage + Fees - Shows the cumulative slippage and fees incurred since the portfolio’s selected start date.
Visual Customization:
Several customizable features are included within the input menu to enhance user experience. These include custom color palettes, both preloaded and user-selectable. This allows traders to personalize the visual appearance of the tables, ensuring clarity and consistency with their preferred interface themes and background coloring.
Additionally, users can adjust both the position and sizes of all the tables - enabling complete tailoring to the trader’s layout and specific viewing preferences and screen configurations. This level of customization ensures a more intuitive and flexible interaction with the system’s data.
Core Features and Methodologies
Advanced Risk Management - A Unique Filtering Approach:
The Equity Curve Activation Filter introduces an innovative way to dynamically manage capital allocation, aligning with periods of market trend strength. This filter is rooted in the understanding that markets move cyclically - altering between periods trending and mean-reverting periods. This cycle is especially pronounced in the crypto markets, where strong uptrends are often followed by prolonged periods of sideways movements or corrections as participants take profits and momentum fades.
The Cyclical Nature of Markets and Trend Following:
Financial markets do not trend indefinitely. Each uptrend or downtrend, whether over high and low timeframes, tends to culminate in a phase where momentum exhausts - leading to the sideways or corrective phases. This cycle results from the natural dynamics of market participants: during extended trends, more participants jump in, riding the momentum until profit taking causes the trend to slow down or reverse. This cyclical behavior occurs across all timeframes and in all markets - making it essential to adapt trading strategies in attempt to minimize losses during less favorable conditions.
In a trend following system, profitability often mirrors this cyclical pattern. Trend following strategies thrive when markets are moving directionally, capturing gains as price moves with strength in a single direction. However in phases where the market chops sideways, trend following strategies will usually experience drawdowns and reduced returns due to the impersistent nature of any trends. This fluctuation in trend following profitability can actually serve as one of the best coincident indicators of broader market regime change - when profitability begins to fade, it often signals a transition to drawn out unfavorable trend trading conditions.
The Equity Curve as a Market Signal
Within the Impulse Tracker, a continuous equity curve is calculated based upon the system's allocation to the strongest tokens. This equity curve effectively tracks the system’s performance under all market conditions. However, instead of solely relying on the direct performance of the selected tokens, the system applies additional filters to analyze the trend strength of this equity curve itself.
In the same way you only want to purchase an asset that is moving up in price, you only want to allocate capital to a strategy whose equity curve is trending upwards!
The Equity Curve Activation Filter consistently monitors the trend of this equity curve through various filter indicators, such as the “Wave Pendulum Trend”, the “Quasar QSM” and the “MAQSM” (an aggregate of multiple types of averages). These filters help determine whether the equity curve is trending upwards, signaling a favorable period for trend following. When the equity curve is in a positive trend, capital is allocated to the system as normal - allowing it to capture gains during favorable market conditions, Conversely, when the trend weakens and the equity curves begins to stagnate or decline, the activation filter shifts the system into a “cash” positions - temporarily halting allocations in order to prevent market exposure during choppy or mean reverting phases.
Timing Allocation With Market Conditions
This unique filtering approach ensures that the system is primarily active during periods when market trends are most supportive. By aligning capital allocations with the uptrend in trend following profitability, the system is designed to enter during periods of strong momentum and move to cash when momentum with the equity curve wanes. This approach reduces the risk of overtrading in less favorable conditions and preserves capital for the next favorable trend.
In essence the Equity Curve Allocation Filter serves as a dynamic risk management layer that leverages the cyclicality of trend following profitability in order to navigate shifting market phases.
Sensitivity and Signal Responsiveness:
The Quasar Sensitivity Setting allows users to fine-tune the system’s responsiveness to asset signals. High sensitivity settings lead to quicker position changes, making the system highly reactive to short term strength impulses. This is especially useful in fast moving markets where token strength can shift rapidly. The Sensitive setting might be more applicable to higher volatility or lower market cap assets - as the increased volatility increases the necessity of faster position cutting in order to front run the crowd. Of course - a balanced approach is ideal, as if the signals are too fast there will be too many whips and false signals. (And extra fees + slippage!)
The benefit of this script is because of the advanced slippage calculations, false signals are sufficiently punished (unlike systems without fees or slippage) - so it will become immediately apparent if the false signals have a significantly detrimental impact on the system’s equity curve.
Asset specific signals within each category are re-evaluated after the close of each bar to ensure that capital is always allocated to the highest performing asset. If a token’s momentum begins to fade the system swiftly reallocates to the next strongest asset within that category.
Category Filter - Allocates only to the Strongest Asset per group
One of the core innovations of the AI x Meme Impulse Tracker is the customizable Category Filter, which ensures that only the strongest-performing asset within each predefined group receives capital allocation. This approach not only increases the precision of asset selection but also allows traders to tailor the system to specific token narratives or categories. Sectors can include trending themes such as high-attention meme tokens, AI-driven tokens, or even categorize assets by blockchain ecosystems like Ethereum, Solana, or Base chain. This flexibility enables users to align their strategies with the latest market narratives or to optimize for specific groups, focusing on high-beta tokens within well defined sectors for a more targeted exposure. By keeping the focus on category leaders, the system avoids diluting its impact across underperforming assets, thereby maximizing capital efficiency and reducing unnecessary trading costs.
Dynamic Asset Reallocation:
Dynamic reallocation ensures that the system remains nimble and adapts to changing market conditions. Unlike slower systems, the Quasar method continually monitors for changes in asset strength and reallocates capital accordingly - ensuring that the system is always positioned in the highest performing assets within each category.
Position Changes and Slippage:
The Impulse Tracker places a strong emphasis on realistic simulation, prioritizing accuracy over inflated backtest results. This approach ensures that slippage is accounted for in a more aggressive manner than what may be experienced in real-world execution.
Each position change within the system - whether it’s buying, selling, reallocating, or rebalancing between assets - incurs slippage. Slippage is applied to both ends of every transaction: when a position is entered and exited, and when reallocating capital from one token to another. This dynamic behavior is further enhanced by a customizable slippage/fees input, allowing users to simulate realistic transaction costs based on their own market conditions and execution behaviors.
The slippage model works by applying a weighted slippage to the equity curve, taking into account the actual amount of capital being moved. Slippage is not applied in a blanket manner but rather in proportion to the allocation changes. For example, if the system reallocates from a single 100% position to two 50% allocations, slippage will be applied to the 50% removed from the first asset and the 50% added to the new asset, resulting in a 1x slippage multiplier.
This process becomes more granular when multiple assets are involved. For instance, if reallocating from two 50% positions to three 33% positions, slippage will be incurred on each of the changes, but at a reduced rate (⅔ x slippage), reflecting the smaller percentage of portfolio equity being moved. The slippage model accounts for all types of allocation shifts, whether increasing or decreasing the number of tokens held, providing a realistic assessment of system costs.
Here are some detailed examples to illustrate how slippage is calculated based on different scenarios:
100% → 50% / 50%: 1x slippage applied to both position changes (2 allocation changes).
50% / 50% → 33% / 33% / 33%: ⅔ x slippage multiplier applied across 3 allocation changes.
33% / 33% / 33% → 100%: 4/3 x slippage multiplier applied across 3 allocation changes.
In practice, not every position change will be rebalanced perfectly, leading to a lower number of transactions and lower costs in practice. Additionally, with the use of limit orders, a trader can easily reduce the costs of entering a position, as well as ensuring a competitive entry price.
By simulating slippage in this granular manner, the system captures the absolute maximum level of fees and slippage, in order to ensure that backtest results lean towards an underrepresentation - opposed to inflated results compared with practical execution.
A Special Note on Slippage
In the image above, the system has been applied to four different timeframes - 20h, 15h, 10h, and 5h - using identical settings and a selected slippage amount of 2%. By isolating a recent trend leg, we can illustrate an important concept: while the 15h timeframe is more profitable than the 20h timeframe, this difference stems from a core trading principle. Lower timeframes typically provide more data points and allow for quicker entries and exits in a robust system. This often results in reduced downside and compounding of gains.
However, slippage, fees, and execution constraints are limiting factors, especially in volatile, low-cap cryptocurrencies. Although lower timeframes can improve performance by increasing trade frequency, each trade incurs heavy slippage costs that accumulate - impacting the portfolio’s capital at a compounding rate. In this example, the chosen slippage rate of 2% per trade is designed to reflect the realistic trading costs, emphasizing how lower timeframe trading comes at the cost of increased slippage and fees
Finding the optimal balance between timeframe and slippage impact requires careful consideration of factors such as portfolio size, liquidity of selected tokens, execution speed, and the fee rate of the exchange you execute trades on.
Equity Curve and Performance Calculations
To provide a benchmark, the script also generates a Buy-and-Hold (or "HODL") equity curve that represents a complete allocation to Bitcoin. This allows users to easily compare the performance of the dynamic rotation system with that more traditional benchmark strategy.
The script tracks key performance metrics for both the dynamic portfolio and the HODL strategy, including:
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe Ratio is a key metric that evaluates a portfolio’s risk-adjusted return by comparing its ‘excess’ return to its volatility. Traditionally, the Sharpe Ratio measures returns relative to a risk-free rate. However, in our system’s calculation, we omit the risk-free rate and instead measure returns above a benchmark of 0%. This adjustment provides a more universal comparison, especially in the context of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, where a traditional risk-free benchmark, such as the usual 3-month T-bills, is often irrelevant or too distant from the realities of the crypto market.
By using 0% as the baseline, we focus purely on the strategy's ability to generate raw returns in the face of market risk, which makes it easier to compare performance across different strategies or asset classes. In an environment like cryptocurrency, where volatility can be extreme, the importance of relative return against a highly volatile backdrop outweighs comparisons to a risk-free rate that bears little resemblance to the risk profile of digital assets.
Sortino Ratio
The Sortino Ratio improves upon the Sharpe Ratio by specifically targeting downside risk and leaves the upside potential untouched. In contrast to the Sharpe Ratio (which penalizes both upside and downside volatility), the Sortino Ratio focuses only on negative return deviations. This makes it a more suitable metric for evaluating strategies like the AI x Meme Impulse Tracker - that aim to minimize drawdowns without restricting upside capture. By measuring returns relative to a 0% baseline, the Sortino ratio provides a clearer assessment of how well the system generates gains while avoiding substantial losses in highly volatile markets like crypto.
Omega Ratio
The Omega Ratio is calculated as the ratio of gains to losses across all return thresholds, providing a more complete view of how the system balances upside and downside risk even compared to the Sortino Ratio. While it achieves a similar outcome to the Sortino Ratio by emphasizing the system's ability to capture gains while limiting losses, it is technically a mathematically superior method. However, we include both the Omega and Sortino ratios in our metric table, as the Sortino Ratio remains more widely recognized and commonly understood by traders and investors of all levels.
Usage Summary:
While the backtests in this description are generated as if a trader held a portfolio of just the strongest tokens, this was mainly designed as a method of logical verification and not a recommended investment strategy. In practice, this system can be used in multiple ways.
It can be used as above, or as a factor in forming part of a broader asset selection system, or even a method of filtering tokens by strength in order to inform a day trader which tokens might be optimal to look for long-only trading setups on an intrabar timeframe.
Final Summary:
The AI x Meme Impulse Tracker is a powerful algorithm that leverages a unique strength and impulse based approach to asset allocation within high beta token categories. Built with a robust risk management framework, the system’s Equity Curve Activation Filter dynamically manages capital exposure based on the cyclical nature of market trends, minimizing exposure during weaker phases.
With highly customizable settings, the Impulse Tracker enables precise capital allocation to only the strongest assets, informed by real-time metrics and rigorous slippage modeling in order to provide the best view of historical profitability. This adaptable design, coupled with advanced performance analytics, makes it a versatile tool for traders seeking an edge in fast moving and volatile crypto markets.
Bullrun Profit Maximizer [QuantraSystems]Bullrun Profit Maximizer
Quantra Systems guarantees that the information created and published within this document and on the Tradingview platform is fully compliant with applicable regulations, does not constitute investment advice, and is not exclusively intended for qualified investors.
Important Note!
The system equity curve presented here has been generated as part of the process of testing and verifying the methodology behind this script.
Crucially, it was developed after the system was conceptualized, designed, and created, which helps to mitigate the risk of overfitting to historical data. In other words, the system was built for robustness, not for simply optimizing past performance.
This ensures that the system is less likely to degrade in performance over time, compared to hyper optimized systems that are tailored to past data. No tweaks or optimizations were made to this system post backtest.
Even More Important Note!!
The nature of markets is that they change quickly and unpredictably. Past performance does not guarantee future results - this is a fundamental rule in trading and investing.
While this system is designed with broad, flexible conditions to adapt quickly to a range of market environments, it is essential to understand that no assumptions should be made about future returns based on historical data. Markets are inherently uncertain, and this system - like all trading systems - cannot predict future outcomes.
Introduction
The "Adaptive Pairwise Momentum System" is not a prototype to the Bullrun Profit Maximizer (BPM) . The Bullrun Profit Maximizer is a fully re-engineered, higher frequency momentum system.
The Bullrun Profit Maximizer (BPM) uses a completely different filter logic and refines momentum calculations, specifically to support higher frequency trading on Crypto's Blue Chip assets. It correctly calculates fees and slippage by compounding them against System Profit before plotting the equity curve.
Unlike prior systems, this script utilizes a completely new filter logic and refined momentum calculation, specifically built to support higher frequency trading on blue-chip assets, while minimizing the impact of fees and slippage.
While the APMS focuses on Macro Trend Alignment, the BPM instead applies an equity curve based filter, allowing for targeted precision on the current asset’s trend without relying on broader market conditions. This approach delivers more responsive and asset specific signals, enhancing agility in today’s fast paced crypto markets.
The BPM dynamically optimizes capital allocation across up to four high performing assets, ensuring that the portfolio adapts swiftly to changing market conditions. The system logic consists of sophisticated quantitative methods, rapid momentum analysis and alpha cyclicality/seasonality optimizations. The overarching goal is to ensure that the portfolio is always invested in the highest performing asset based on dynamic market conditions, while at the same time managing risk through rapid asset filters and internal mechanisms like alpha cyclicality, volatility and beta analysis.
In addition to these core functionalities, the BPM comes with the typical Quantra Systems UI design, structured to reduce data clutter and provide users with only the most essential, impactful information. The BPM UI format delivers clear and easy to read signals. It enables rapid decision making in a high frequency environment without compromising on depth or accuracy.
Bespoke Logic Filtering with Equity Curve Precision
The BPM script utilizes a completely new methodology and focuses on intraday rotations of blue-chip crypto assets, while previously built systems were designed with a longer term focus in mind.
In response to the need for more precise signal generation, the BPM replaces the previous macro trend filter with a new, highly specific equity curve activation filter. This unique logic filter is driven solely by the performance trends of the asset currently held by the system. By analyzing the equity curve directly, this system can make more targeted, timely allocations based on asset specific momentum, allowing for quick adjustments that are more relevant to the held asset rather than general market conditions.
The benefits of this new, unique approach are twofold: first, it avoids premature allocation shifts based on broader macro movements, and second, it enables the system to adapt dynamically to the performance of each asset individually. This asset specific filtering allows traders to capitalize on localized strength within individual blue-chip cryptoassets without being affected by lags in the overall market trend.
High Frequency Momentum Calculation for Enhanced Flexibility
The BPM incorporates a newly designed momentum calculation that increases its suitability across lower timeframes. This new momentum indicator captures and processes more data points within a shorter window than ever before, rather than extending bar intervals and potentially losing high frequency detail. This creates a smooth, data rich featureset that is especially suited for blue-chip assets, where liquidity reduces slippage and fees, making higher frequency trading viable.
By retaining more data, this system captures subtle shifts in momentum more effectively than traditional approaches, offering higher resolution insights. These modifications result in a system capable of generating highly responsive signals on faster timeframes, empowering traders to act quickly in volatile markets.
User Interface and Enhanced Readability
The BPM also features a reimagined, streamlined user interface, making it easier than ever to monitor essential signals at a glance. The new layout minimizes extraneous data points in the tables, leaving only the most actionable information for traders. This cleaner presentation is purpose built to help traders identify the strongest asset in real time, with clear, color coded signals to facilitate swift decision making in fast moving markets.
Equity Stats Table : Designed for clarity, the stats table focuses on the current allocation’s performance metrics, emphasizing the most critical metrics without unnecessary clutter.
Color Coded Highlights : The interface includes the option to highlight both the current top performing asset, and historical allocations - with indicators of momentum shifts and performance metrics readily accessible.
Clear Signals : Visual cues are presented in an enhanced way to improve readability, including simplified line coloring, and improve visualization of the outperforming assets in the allocation table.
Dynamic Asset Reallocation
The BPM dynamically allocates capital to the strongest performing asset in a selected pool. This system incorporates a re-engineered, pairwise momentum measurement designed to operate at higher frequencies. The system evaluates each asset against others in real time, ensuring only the highest momentum asset receives allocation. This approach keeps the portfolio positioned for maximum efficiency, with an updated weighting logic that favors assets showing both strength and sustainability.
Position Changes and Slippage Calculation
Position changes are optimized for faster reallocation, with realistic slippage and fee calculations factored into each trade. The system’s structure minimizes the impact of these costs on blue-chip assets, allowing for more active management on short timeframes without incurring significant drag on performance.
A Special Note on Fees + Slippage
In the image above, the system has been applied to four different timeframes - 12h, 8h, 4h and 1h - using identical settings and a selected slippage and fees amount of 0.2%. In this stress test, we isolate the choppy downwards period from the previous Bitcoin all time high - set in March 2024, to the current date where Bitcoin is currently sitting at around the same level.
This illustrates an important concept: starting at the 12h, the system performed better as the timeframes decreased. In fact, only on the 4hr chart did the system equity curve make a new all time high alongside Bitcoin. It is worth noting that market phases that are “non-trending” are generally the least profitable periods to use a momentum/trend system - as most systems will get caught by false momentum and will “buy the top,” and then proceed to “sell the bottom.”
Lower timeframes typically offer more data points for the algorithm to compute over, and enable quicker entries and exits within a robust system, often reducing downside risk and compounding gains more effectively - in all market environments.
However, slippage, fees, and execution constraints are still limiting factors. Although blue-chip cryptocurrencies are more liquid and can be traded with lower fees compared to low cap assets, frequent trading on lower timeframes incurs cumulative slippage costs. With the BPM system set to a realistic slippage rate of 0.2% per trade, this example emphasizes how even lower fees impact performance as trade frequency increases.
Finding the optimal balance between timeframe and slippage impact requires careful consideration of factors such as portfolio size, liquidity of selected tokens, execution speed, and the fee rate of the exchange you execute trades on.
Number of Position Changes
Understanding the number of position changes in a strategy is critical to assessing its feasibility in real world trading. Frequent position changes can lead to increased costs due to slippage and fees. Monitoring the number of position changes provides insight into the system’s behavior - helping to evaluate how active the strategy is and whether it aligns with the trader's desired time input for position management.
Equity Curve and Performance Calculations
To provide a benchmark, the script also generates a Buy-and-Hold (or "HODL") equity curve that represents a 100% allocation to Bitcoin, the highest market cap cryptoasset. This allows users to easily compare the performance of the dynamic rotation system with that of a more traditional investment strategy.
The script tracks key performance metrics for both the dynamic portfolio and the HODL strategy, including:
Sharpe Ratio
The Sharpe Ratio is a key metric that evaluates a portfolio’s risk adjusted return by comparing its ‘excess’ return to its volatility. Traditionally, the Sharpe Ratio measures returns relative to a risk-free rate. However, in our system’s calculation, we omit the risk-free rate and instead measure returns above a benchmark of 0%. This adjustment provides a more universal comparison, especially in the context of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies, where a traditional risk-free benchmark, such as the usual 3-month T-bills, is often irrelevant or too distant from the realities of the crypto market.
By using 0% as the baseline, we focus purely on the strategy's ability to generate raw returns in the face of market risk, which makes it easier to compare performance across different strategies or asset classes. In an environment like cryptocurrency, where volatility can be extreme, the importance of relative return against a highly volatile backdrop outweighs comparisons to a risk-free rate that bears little resemblance to the risk profile of digital assets.
Sortino Ratio
The Sortino Ratio improves upon the Sharpe Ratio by specifically targeting downside risk and leaves the upside potential untouched. In contrast to the Sharpe Ratio (which penalizes both upside and downside volatility), the Sortino Ratio focuses only on negative return deviations. This makes it a more suitable metric for evaluating strategies like the Bullrun Profit Maximizer - that aim to minimize drawdowns without restricting upside capture. By measuring returns relative to a 0% baseline, the Sortino ratio provides a clearer assessment of how well the system generates gains while avoiding substantial losses in highly volatile markets like crypto.
Omega Ratio
The Omega Ratio is calculated as the ratio of gains to losses across all return thresholds, providing a more complete view of how the system balances upside and downside risk even compared to the Sortino Ratio. While it achieves a similar outcome to the Sortino Ratio by emphasizing the system's ability to capture gains while limiting losses, it is technically a mathematically superior method. However, we include both the Omega and Sortino ratios in our metric table, as the Sortino Ratio remains more widely recognized and commonly understood by traders and investors of all levels.
Usage Summary:
While the backtests in this description are generated as if a trader held a portfolio of just the strongest tokens, this was mainly designed as a method of logical verification and not a recommended investment strategy. In practice, this system can be used in multiple ways.
It can be used as above, or as a factor in forming part of a broader asset selection tool, or even a method of filtering tokens by strength in order to inform a day trader which tokens might be optimal to look at, for long-only trading setups on an intrabar timeframe.
Summary
The Bullrun Profit Maximizer is an advanced tool tailored for traders, offering the precision and agility required in today’s markets. With its asset specific equity curve filter, reworked momentum analysis, and streamlined user interface, this system is engineered to maximize gains and minimize risk during bullmarkets, with a strong focus on risk adjusted performance.
Its refined approach, focused on high resolution data processing and adaptive reallocation, makes it a powerful choice for traders looking to capture high quality trends on clue-chip assets, no matter the market’s pace.
Simplest Strategy Crossover with Labels Buy/Sell to $1000This Pine Script code, titled Custom Moving Average Crossover with Labels, is a trading indicator developed for the TradingView platform. It enables traders to visualize potential buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two moving averages, offering customizable settings for enhanced flexibility. Here’s a breakdown of its key features:
Key Features
User-Defined Moving Averages:
The script includes two moving averages: a fast and a slow one. Users can adjust the periods of each average (default values are 10 for the fast MA and 100 for the slow MA), allowing them to adapt the indicator to various market conditions and trading styles.
Time-Restricted Signal Validity:
The indicator includes settings for active trading hours, defined in UTC time. Users specify a start and end hour, making it possible to limit buy and sell signals to certain times of the day. This is especially useful for traders who wish to avoid signals outside their preferred trading hours or during periods of high volatility.
Crossover-Based Buy and Sell Signals:
Buy Signal: A "Buy" label is triggered and displayed when the fast moving average crosses above the slow moving average within the user-defined trading hours, signifying a potential upward trend.
Sell Signal: A "Sell" label is generated when the fast moving average crosses below the slow moving average, indicating a possible downtrend. Labels are displayed on the chart, color-coded for easy identification: green for buys and red for sells.
Profit Target Labels (+100 Points):
After each buy or sell entry, the indicator tracks price movements. When the price increases by 100 points from a buy entry or decreases by 100 points from a sell entry, a +100 label appears to signify a 100-point movement.
These labels serve as checkpoints to help traders assess performance and decide on further actions, such as taking profits or adjusting stop losses.
Visual Customization:
The moving averages are color-coded (blue for fast MA, red for slow MA) for easy distinction, and label text appears in white to enhance visibility against various chart backgrounds.
Benefits for Traders
Efficient Trade Identification: The moving average crossover combined with time-based restrictions allows traders to capture key market trends within chosen hours.
Clear Profit Checkpoints: The +100 point label alerts traders to significant price movement, useful for those looking for set profit targets.
Flexibility: Customizable inputs give users control over the indicator’s behavior, making it suitable for both day trading and swing trading.
This indicator is designed for traders looking to enhance their technical analysis with reliable, user-defined buy/sell signals, helping to increase confidence and improve trade timing based on objective data.
Forex Heatmap█ OVERVIEW
This indicator creates a dynamic grid display of currency pair cross rates (exchange rates) and percentage changes, emulating the Cross Rates and Heat Map widgets available on our Forex page. It provides a view of realtime exchange rates for all possible pairs derived from a user-specified list of currencies, allowing users to monitor the relative performance of several currencies directly on a TradingView chart.
█ CONCEPTS
Foreign exchange
The Foreign Exchange (Forex/FX) market is the largest, most liquid financial market globally, with an average daily trading volume of over 5 trillion USD. Open 24 hours a day, five days a week, it operates through a decentralized network of financial hubs in various major cities worldwide. In this market, participants trade currencies in pairs , where the listed price of a currency pair represents the exchange rate from a given base currency to a specific quote currency . For example, the "EURUSD" pair's price represents the amount of USD (quote currency) that equals one unit of EUR (base currency). Globally, the most traded currencies include the U.S. dollar (USD), Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), and Australian dollar (AUD), with USD involved in over 87% of all trades.
Understanding the Forex market is essential for traders and investors, even those who do not trade currency pairs directly, because exchange rates profoundly affect global markets. For instance, fluctuations in the value of USD can impact the demand for U.S. exports or the earnings of companies that handle multinational transactions, either of which can affect the prices of stocks, indices, and commodities. Additionally, since many factors influence exchange rates, including economic policies and interest rate changes, analyzing the exchange rates across currencies can provide insight into global economic health.
█ FEATURES
Requesting a list of currencies
This indicator requests data for every valid currency pair combination from the list of currencies defined by the "Currency list" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab. The list can contain up to six unique currency codes separated by commas, resulting in a maximum of 30 requested currency pairs.
For example, if the specified "Currency list" input is "CAD, USD, EUR", the indicator requests and displays relevant data for six currency pair combinations: "CADUSD", "USDCAD", "CADEUR", "EURCAD", "USDEUR", "EURUSD". See the "Grid display" section below to understand how the script organizes the requested information.
Each item in the comma-separated list must represent a valid currency code. If the "Currency list" input contains an invalid currency code, the corresponding cells for that currency in the "Cross rates" or "Heat map" grid show "NaN" values. If the list contains empty items, e.g., "CAD, ,EUR, ", the indicator ignores them in its data requests and calculations.
NOTE: Some uncommon currency pair combinations might not have data feeds available. If no available symbols provide the exchange rates between two specified currencies, the corresponding table cells show "NaN" results.
Realtime data
The indicator retrieves realtime market prices, daily price changes, and minimum tick sizes for all the currency pairs derived from the "Currency list" input. It updates the retrieved information shown in its grid display after new ticks become available to reflect the latest known values.
NOTE: Pine scripts execute on realtime bars only when new ticks are available in the chart's data feed. If no new updates are available from the chart's realtime feed, it may cause a delay in the data the indicator receives.
Grid display
This indicator displays the requested data for each currency pair in a table with cells organized as a grid. Each row name corresponds to a pair's base currency , and each column name corresponds to a quote currency . The cell at the intersection of a specific row and column shows the value requested from the corresponding currency pair.
For example, the cell at the intersection of a "EUR" row and "USD" column shows the data retrieved for the "EURUSD" currency pair, and the cell at the "USD" row and "EUR" column shows data for the inverse pair ("USDEUR").
Note that the main diagonal cells in the table, where rows and columns with the same names intersect, are blank. The exchange rate from one currency to itself is always 1, and no Forex symbols such as "EUREUR" exist.
The dropdown input at the top of the "Settings/Inputs" tab determines the type of information displayed in the table. Two options are available: "Cross rates" and "Heat map" . Both modes color their cells for light and dark themes separately based on the inputs in the "Colors" section.
Cross rates
When a user selects the "Cross rates" display mode, the table's cells show the latest available exchange rate for each currency pair, emulating the behavior of the Cross Rates widget. Each cell's value represents the amount of the quote currency (column name) that equals one unit of the base currency (row name). This display allows users to compare cross rates across currency pairs, and their inverses.
The background color of each cell changes based on the most recent update to the exchange rate, allowing users to monitor the direction of short-term fluctuations as they occur. By default, the background turns green (positive cell color) when the cross rate increases from the last recorded update and red (negative cell color) when the rate decreases. The cell's color reverts to the chart's background color after no new updates are available for 200 milliseconds.
Heat map
When a user selects the "Heat map" display mode, the table's cells show the latest daily percentage change of each currency pair, emulating the behavior of the Heat Map widget.
In this mode, the background color of each cell depends on the corresponding currency pair's daily performance. Heat maps typically use colors that vary in intensity based on the calculated values. This indicator uses the following color coding by default:
• Green (Positive cell color): Percentage change > +0.1%
• No color: Percentage change between 0.0% and +0.1%
• Bright red (Negative cell color): Percentage change < -0.1%
• Lighter/darker red (Minor negative cell color): Percentage change between 0.0% and -0.1%
█ FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
• This script utilizes dynamic requests to iteratively fetch information from multiple contexts using a single request.security() instance in the code. Previously, `request.*()` functions were not allowed within the local scopes of loops or conditional structures, and most `request.*()` function parameters, excluding `expression`, required arguments of a simple or weaker qualified type. The new `dynamic_requests` parameter in script declaration statements enables more flexibility in how scripts can use `request.*()` calls. When its value is `true`, all `request.*()` functions can accept series arguments for the parameters that define their requested contexts, and `request.*()` functions can execute within local scopes. See the Dynamic requests section of the Pine Script™ User Manual to learn more.
• Scripts can execute up to 40 unique `request.*()` function calls. A `request.*()` call is unique only if the script does not already call the same function with the same arguments. See this section of the User Manual's Limitations page for more information.
• Typically, when requesting higher-timeframe data with request.security() using barmerge.lookahead_on as the `lookahead` argument, the `expression` argument should use the history-referencing operator to offset the series, preventing lookahead bias on historical bars. However, the request.security() call in this script uses barmerge.lookahead_on without offsetting the `expression` because the script only displays results for the latest historical bar and all realtime bars, where there is no future information to leak into the past. Instead, using this call on those bars ensures each request fetches the most recent data available from each context.
• The request.security() instance in this script includes a `calc_bars_count` argument to specify that each request retrieves only a minimal number of bars from the end of each symbol's historical data feed. The script does not need to request all the historical data for each symbol because it only shows results on the last chart bar that do not depend on the entire time series. In this case, reducing the retrieved bars in each request helps minimize resource usage without impacting the calculated results.
Look first. Then leap.
Universal Trend and Valuation System [QuantAlgo]Universal Trend and Valuation System 📊🧬
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo is an advanced indicator designed to assess asset valuation and trends across various timeframes and asset classes. This system integrates multiple advanced statistical indicators and techniques with Z-score calculations to help traders and investors identify overbought/sell and oversold/buy signals. By evaluating valuation and trend strength together, this tool empowers users to make data-driven decisions, whether they aim to follow trends, accumulate long-term positions, or identify turning points in mean-reverting markets.
💫 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo provides a unique framework for assessing market valuation and trend dynamics through a blend of Z-score analysis and trend-following algorithm. Unlike traditional indicators that only reflect price direction, this system incorporates multi-layered data to reveal the relative value of an asset, helping users determine whether it’s overvalued, undervalued, or approaching a trend reversal. By combining high quality trend-following tools, such as Dynamic Score Supertrend, DEMA RSI, and EWMA, it evaluates trend stability and momentum quality, while Z-scores of performance ratios like Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega standardize deviations from historical trends, enabling traders and investors to spot extreme conditions. This dual approach allows users to better identify accumulation (undervaluation) and distribution (overvaluation) phases, enhancing strategies like Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) and overall timing for entries and exits.
📊 Technical Composition and Calculation
The Universal Trend-Following Valuation System is composed of several trend-following and valuation indicators that create a dynamic dual scoring model:
Risk-Adjusted Ratios (Sharpe, Sortino, Omega): These ratios assess trend quality by analyzing an asset’s risk-adjusted performance. Sharpe and Sortino provide insight into trend consistency and risk/reward, while Omega evaluates profitability potential, helping traders and investors assess how favorable a trend or an asset is relative to its associated risk.
Dynamic Z-Scores: Z-scores are applied to various metrics like Price, RSI, and RoC, helping to identify statistical deviations from the mean, which indicate potential extremes in valuation. By combining these Z-scores, the system produces a cumulative score that highlights when an asset may be overbought or oversold.
Aggregated Trend-Following Indicators: The model consolidates multiple high quality indicators to highlight probable trend shifts. This helps confirm the direction and strength of market moves, allowing users to spot reversals or entry points with greater clarity.
📈 Key Indicators and Features
The Universal Trend and Valuation System combines various technical and statistical tools to deliver a well-rounded analysis of market trends and valuation:
The indicator utilizes trend-following indicators like RSI with DEMA smoothing and Dynamic Score Supertrend to minimize market noise, providing clearer and more stable trend signals. Sharpe, Sortino, and Omega ratios are calculated to assess risk-adjusted performance and volatility, adding a layer of analysis for evaluating trend quality. Z-scores are applied to these ratios, as well as Price and Rate of Change (RoC), to detect deviations from historical trends, highlighting extreme valuation levels.
The system also incorporates multi-layered visualization with gradient color coding to signal valuation states across different market conditions. These adaptive visual cues, combined with threshold-based alerts for overbought and oversold zones, help traders and investors track probable trend reversals or continuations and identify accumulation or distribution zones, adding reliability to both trend-following and mean-reversion strategies.
⚡️ Practical Applications and Examples
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Universal Trend-Following Valuation System to your favourites and to your chart.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts and Valuation Levels: Watch the average Z score, trend probability state and gradient colors to identify overbought and oversold conditions. During undervaluation, consider using a DCA strategy to gradually accumulate positions (buy), while overvaluation may signal distribution or profit-taking phases (sell).
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts for significant trend or valuation changes, ensuring you can act on market movements promptly, even when you’re not actively monitoring the charts.
🌟 Summary and Usage Tips
The Universal Trend and Valuation System by QuantAlgo is a highly adaptable tool, designed to support both trend-following and valuation analysis across different market environments. By combining valuation metrics with high quality trend-following indicators, it helps traders and investors identify the relative value of an asset based on historical norms, providing more reliable overbought/sell and oversold/buy signals. The tool’s flexibility across asset types and timeframes makes it ideal for both short-term trading and long-term investment strategies like DCA, allowing users to capture meaningful trends while minimizing noise.
Market Stats Panel [Daveatt]█ Introduction
I've created a script that brings TradingView's watchlist stats panel functionality directly to your charts. This isn't just another performance indicator - it's a pixel-perfect (kidding) recreation of TradingView's native stats panel.
Important Notes
You might need to adjust manually the scaling the firs time you're using this script to display nicely all the elements.
█ Core Features
Performance Metrics
The panel displays key performance metrics (1W, 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y) in real-time, with color-coded boxes (green for positive, red for negative) for instant performance assessment.
Display Modes
Switch seamlessly between absolute prices and percentage returns, making it easy to compare assets across different price scales.
Absolute mode
Percent mode
Historical Comparison
View year-over-year performance with color-coded lines, allowing for quick historical pattern recognition and analysis.
Data Structure Innovation
Let's talk about one of the most interesting challenges I faced. PineScript has this quirky limitation where request.security() can only return 127 tuples at most. £To work around this, I implemented a dual-request system. The first request handles indices 0-63, while the second one takes care of indices 64-127.
This approach lets us maintain extensive historical data without compromising script stability.
And here's the cool part: if you need to handle even more years of historical data, you can simply extend this pattern by adding more request.security() calls.
Each additional call can fetch another batch of monthly open prices and timestamps, following the same structure I've used.
Think of it as building with LEGO blocks - you can keep adding more pieces to extend your historical reach.
Flexible Date Range
Unlike many scripts that box you into specific timeframes, I've designed this one to be completely flexible with your date selection. You can set any start year, any end year, and the script will dynamically scale everything to match. The visual presentation automatically adjusts to whatever range you choose, ensuring your data is always displayed optimally.
█ Customization Options
Visual Settings
The panel's visual elements are highly customizable. You can adjust the panel width to perfectly fit your workspace, fine-tune the line thickness to match your preferences, and enjoy the pre-defined year color scheme that makes tracking historical performance intuitive and visually appealing.
Box Dimensions
Every aspect of the performance boxes can be tailored to your needs. Adjust their height and width, fine-tune the spacing between them, and position the entire panel exactly where you want it on your chart. The goal is to make this tool feel like it's truly yours.
█ Technical Challenges Solved
Polyline Precision
Creating precise polylines was perhaps the most demanding aspect of this project.
The challenge was ensuring accurate positioning across both time and price axes, while handling percentage mode scaling with precision.
The script constantly updates the current year's data in real-time, seamlessly integrating new information as it comes in.
Axis Management
Getting the axes right was like solving a complex puzzle. The Y-axis needed to scale dynamically whether you're viewing absolute prices or percentages.
The X-axis required careful month labeling that stays clean and readable regardless of your selected timeframe.
Everything needed to align perfectly while maintaining proper spacing in all conditions.
█ Final Notes
This tool transforms complex market data into clear, actionable insights. Whether you're day trading or analyzing long-term trends, it provides the information you need to make informed decisions. And remember, while we can't predict the future, we can certainly be better prepared for it with the right tools at hand.
A word of warning though - seeing those red numbers in a beautifully formatted panel doesn't make them any less painful! 😉
---
Happy Trading! May your charts be green and your stops be far away!
Daveatt
Watchlist & Symbols Distribution [Daveatt]TLDR;
I got bored so I just coded the TradingView watchlist interface in Pinescript :)
TLDR 2:
Sharing it open-source what took me 1 full day to code - haven't coded in Pinescript in a long time, so I'm a bit slow for now :)
█ OVERVIEW
This script offers a comprehensive market analysis tool inspired by TradingView's native watchlist interface features.
It combines an interactive watchlist with powerful distribution visualization capabilities and a performance comparison panel.
The script was developed with a focus on providing multiple visualization methods while working within PineScript's limitations.
█ DEVELOPMENT BACKGROUND
The pie chart implementation was greatly inspired by the ( "Crypto Map Dashboard" script / )
adapting its circular visualization technique to create dynamic distribution charts. However, due to PineScript's 500-line limitation per script, I had to optimize the code to allow users to switch between pie chart analysis and performance comparison modes rather than displaying both simultaneously.
█ SETUP AND DISPLAY
For optimal visualization, users need to adjust the chart's display settings manually.
This involves:
Expanding the indicator window vertically to accommodate both the watchlist and graphical elements
Adjusting the Y-axis scale by dragging it to ensure proper spacing for the comparison panel grid
Modifying the X-axis scale to achieve the desired time window display
Fine-tuning these adjustments whenever switching between pie chart and comparison panel modes
These manual adjustments are necessary due to PineScript's limitations in controlling chart scaling programmatically. While this requires some initial setup, it allows users to customize the display to their preferred viewing proportions.
█ MAIN FEATURES
Distribution Analysis
The script provides three distinct distribution visualization modes through a pie chart.
Users can analyze their symbols by exchanges, asset types (such as Crypto, Forex, Futures), or market sectors.
If you can't see it well at first, adjust your chart scaling until it's displayed nicely.
Asset Exchanges
www.tradingview.com
Asset Types
Asset Sectors
The pie charts feature an optional 3D effect with adjustable depth and angle parameters. To enhance visual customization, four different color schemes are available: Default, Pastel, Dark, and Neon.
Each segment of the pie chart includes interactive tooltips that can be configured to show different levels of detail. Importantly, the pie chart only visualizes the distribution of selected assets (those marked with a checkmark in the watchlist), providing a focused view of the user's current interests.
Interactive Watchlist
The watchlist component displays real-time data for up to 10 user-defined symbols. Each entry shows current price, price changes (both absolute and percentage), volume metrics, and a comparison toggle.
The table is dynamically updated and features color-coded entries that correspond to their respective performance lines in the comparison chart. The watchlist serves as both an information display and a control panel for the comparison feature.
Performance Comparison
One of the script's most innovative features is its performance comparison panel.
Using polylines for smooth visualization, it tracks the 30-day performance of selected symbols relative to a 0% baseline.
The comparison chart includes a sophisticated grid system with 5% intervals and a dynamic legend showing current performance values.
The polyline implementation allows for fluid, continuous lines that accurately represent price movements, providing a more refined visual experience than traditional line plots. Like the pie charts, the comparison panel only displays performance lines for symbols that have been selected in the watchlist, allowing users to focus on their specific assets of interest.
█ TECHNICAL IMPLEMENTATION
The script utilizes several advanced PineScript features:
Dynamic array management for symbol tracking
Polyline-based charting for smooth performance visualization
Real-time data processing with security calls
Interactive tooltips and labels
Optimized drawing routines to maintain performance
Selective visualization based on user choices
█ CUSTOMIZATION
Users can personalize almost every aspect of the script:
Symbol selection and comparison preferences
Visual theme selection with four distinct color schemes
Pie chart dimensions and positioning
Tooltip information density
Component visibility toggles
█ LIMITATIONS
The primary limitation stems from PineScript's 500-line restriction per script.
This constraint necessitated the implementation of a mode-switching system between pie charts and the comparison panel, as displaying both simultaneously would exceed the line limit. Additionally, the script relies on manual chart scale adjustments, as PineScript doesn't provide direct control over chart scaling when overlay=false is enabled.
However, these limitations led to a more focused and efficient design approach that gives users control over their viewing experience.
█ CONCLUSION
All those tools exist in the native TradingView watchlist interface and they're better than what I just did.
However, now it exists in Pinescript... so I believe it's a win lol :)
Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) v1.0Description
The Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to provide real-time correlation analysis between multiple assets. It offers a comprehensive view of market relationships through correlation coefficients, technical indicators, and visual representations.
Key Features
- Multi-asset correlation tracking (up to 5 symbols)
- Dynamic correlation strength categorization
- Integrated technical indicators (RSI, MACD, DX)
- Customizable visualization options
- Real-time price change monitoring
- Flexible timeframe selection
## Use Cases
1. **Portfolio Diversification**
- Identify highly correlated assets to avoid concentration risk
- Find negatively correlated assets for hedging strategies
- Monitor correlation changes during market events
2. Pairs Trading
- Detect correlation breakdowns for potential trading opportunities
- Track correlation strength for pair selection
- Monitor technical indicators for trade timing
3. Risk Management
- Assess portfolio correlation risk in real-time
- Monitor correlation shifts during market stress
- Identify potential portfolio vulnerabilities
4. **Market Analysis**
- Study sector relationships and rotations
- Analyze cross-asset correlations (e.g., stocks vs. commodities)
- Track market regime changes through correlation patterns
Components
Input Parameters
- **Timeframe**: Custom timeframe selection for analysis
- **Length**: Correlation calculation period (default: 20)
- **Source**: Price data source selection
- **Symbol Selection**: Up to 5 customizable symbols
- **Display Options**: Table position, text color, and size settings
Technical Indicators
1. **Correlation Coefficient**
- Range: -1 to +1
- Strength categories: Strong/Moderate/Weak (Positive/Negative)
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- 14-period default setting
- Momentum comparison across assets
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Standard settings (12, 26, 9)
- Trend direction indicator
4. **DX (Directional Index)**
- Trend strength measurement
- Based on DMI calculations
Visual Components
1. **Correlation Table**
- Symbol identifiers
- Correlation coefficients
- Correlation strength descriptions
- Price change percentages
- Technical indicator values
2. **Correlation Plot**
- Real-time correlation visualization
- Multiple correlation lines
- Reference levels at -1, 0, and +1
- Color-coded for easy identification
Installation and Setup
1. Load the indicator on TradingView
2. Configure desired symbols (up to 5)
3. Adjust timeframe and calculation length
4. Customize display settings
5. Enable/disable desired components (table, plot, RSI)
Best Practices
1. **Symbol Selection**
- Choose related but distinct assets
- Include a mix of asset classes
- Consider market cap and liquidity
2. **Timeframe Selection**
- Match timeframe to trading strategy
- Consider longer timeframes for strategic analysis
- Use shorter timeframes for tactical decisions
3. **Interpretation**
- Monitor correlation changes over time
- Consider multiple timeframes
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
- Account for market conditions and volatility
Performance Notes
- Calculations update in real-time
- Resource usage scales with number of active symbols
- Historical data availability may affect initial calculations
Version History
- v1.0: Initial release with core functionality
- Multi-symbol correlation analysis
- Technical indicator integration
- Customizable display options
Future Enhancements (Planned)
- Additional technical indicators
- Advanced correlation algorithms
- Enhanced visualization options
- Custom alert conditions
- Statistical significance testing
RS+ Majors Allocation | viResearchRS+ Majors Allocation | viResearch
Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
The "RS+ Majors Allocation" script is a comprehensive strategy for managing a crypto portfolio focused on BTC, ETH, and SOL. By dynamically rotating between these major assets, the strategy aims to identify the strongest performer in real-time and allocate capital accordingly. The script incorporates a relative strength (RS) model that leverages price movements and a custom scoring system to rank each asset's performance. This allows the strategy to maintain positions in favorable market conditions while moving to cash during periods of weakness.
The script also includes a trend regime filter to further refine allocations. This filter ensures that an asset's own trend aligns with the market’s trend before committing to an allocation, adding another layer of protection against downturns. The approach is designed to outperform traditional buy-and-hold strategies by minimizing risk exposure during unfavorable market conditions.
Technical Composition and Calculation
The "RS+ Majors Allocation" script combines several technical elements to execute the strategy:
Relative Strength Model: Each asset (BTC, ETH, SOL) is evaluated through a ratio matrix, comparing their performance relative to one another. A scoring system is applied to these ratios to rank the assets, determining which is outperforming. This dynamic evaluation is central to the strategy's decision-making process.
Trend Regime Filter: This filter uses trend indicators to assess whether the market and individual assets are in a favorable state. If an asset’s trend score does not meet the criteria, it won't be allocated capital, thus avoiding exposure to potential downturns.
Equity Tracking and Allocation: The script tracks the portfolio's equity performance over time, plotting it against a traditional buy-and-hold strategy for comparison. Allocation decisions are based on the scores of BTC, ETH, and SOL, with the system selecting the top-performing asset and moving to cash if no asset meets the criteria.
Performance Metrics: To evaluate the effectiveness of the strategy, the script calculates several key performance indicators:
Sharpe Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns.
Sortino Ratio: Focuses on downside risk by considering only negative fluctuations.
Omega Ratio: Analyzes returns relative to risk.
Maximum Drawdown: Shows the largest peak-to-trough decline, indicating potential loss exposure.
Features and User Inputs
The script offers a range of customizable parameters to tailor the strategy to individual preferences and market conditions:
Asset Selection: Users can choose the specific assets to include in the rotation, with the script currently focusing on BTC, ETH, and SOL. The trend regime filter is optional, allowing for a more aggressive or conservative approach.
Equity Visualization: The script provides real-time equity tracking, comparing the portfolio's performance with individual assets. Users can adjust visualization settings to focus on specific assets or the overall strategy.
Starting Date: The backtesting period can be set to begin at a specific date, helping to analyze the strategy’s performance over different timeframes.
Bar Colors and Alerts: Visual cues, including colored bars, indicate the active trend direction of the selected asset. Additionally, alerts notify traders when the system rotates between assets or moves to cash.
Practical Applications
The "RS+ Majors Allocation" script is designed for traders who want to manage a crypto portfolio with a focus on risk-adjusted returns. It is particularly effective in several scenarios:
Asset Rotation: The dynamic scoring system allows the script to rotate between BTC, ETH, and SOL based on relative strength, capitalizing on the strongest performer at any given time.
Downside Protection: The trend regime filter helps avoid exposure during market-wide downturns by staying in cash, minimizing drawdowns during periods of high volatility.
Active Portfolio Management: By using real-time data to make allocation decisions, the script offers a more hands-on approach to portfolio management compared to passive holding strategies.
Advantages and Strategic Value
This script brings a structured and disciplined approach to portfolio management, combining trend analysis, relative strength, and performance metrics to optimize returns. The use of a scoring system for asset rotation, along with the trend filter, makes it versatile and adaptable to different market environments. The script aims to outperform traditional buy-and-hold strategies by focusing on the strongest assets while reducing risk during unfavorable conditions.
The visual and performance feedback provided by the script allows traders to gain deeper insights into their portfolio’s behavior, helping to make data-driven decisions.
Summary and Usage Tips
The "RS+ Majors Allocation" script is a powerful tool for managing a crypto portfolio with a focus on performance optimization and risk management. By incorporating this strategy, traders can dynamically allocate capital to the top-performing assets while protecting their portfolio from significant downturns. Adjust the trend regime filter, threshold settings, and asset choices to fit your market outlook and trading goals. The script's equity tracking and performance metrics will provide clear insights into how well the strategy is performing compared to a traditional buy-and-hold approach.
Remember to use backtesting to assess the script's effectiveness over different timeframes and market conditions. Keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results, so consider using this strategy in conjunction with other analysis tools for a comprehensive approach to trading.
PortfolioThe "Portfolio" indicator is a specialized tool designed exclusively for European investors who utilize euro-denominated ETFs to invest in the S&P 500 index. This unique instrument provides valuable insights into individual stock allocations within the S&P 500, offering a precise breakdown of each company's weight in the portfolio when viewing the chart of a particular symbol.
Key Features
Real-time Portfolio Composition: The indicator calculates and displays the exact Euro value and percentage of an investor's portfolio allocated to the currently viewed stock. As stock prices fluctuate, it dynamically adjusts to show up-to-date allocation information.
Automatic Currency Conversion: All values are automatically converted to Euros, providing a clear picture of portfolio allocation in the investor's home currency. This feature is particularly useful for European investors who need to consider currency exchange rates when investing in U.S. stocks.
Performance Tracking: The indicator includes a feature that shows the daily change in Euro value for the specific stock holding, helping investors quickly assess performance without the need for manual calculations.
Tailored for Euro-based S&P 500 ETF Investors
This indicator is designed with a specific audience in mind: European investors using euro-denominated ETFs to gain exposure to the S&P 500. It's particularly relevant for those using UCITS-compliant ETFs that track the S&P 500, which are widely available to European investors.
The tool takes into account the nuances of investing in U.S. stocks through European financial products, including considerations of currency hedging that some ETFs offer to protect against EUR/USD fluctuations.
Limited Scope
It's important to note that this indicator has a narrow focus and may not be relevant for investors using other currencies, those not invested in S&P 500 ETFs, or traders focused on short-term strategies. However, for its target audience, it offers a powerful tool for portfolio management and allocation tracking, providing insights that are typically difficult to obtain in real-time for Euro-based S&P 500 ETF investors.
By offering a clear, real-time view of portfolio allocation and performance in Euros, this indicator empowers European investors to make informed decisions about their S&P 500 ETF investments. It bridges the gap between U.S. market data and European investment needs, making it an invaluable tool for its specific user base.
aPortfolioaPortfolio can be overlayed on any chart with any timeframe. It provides a way to keep track of your portfolio(s) real-time and dynamically. Tool tips provide information about each input item.
Up to 8 customizable assets can be defined using 2 exchanges. The amount owned, the exchange used and the amount spent (in Euro or US Dollar) can be entered per asset.
Furthermore, available Euros and US Dollars can be entered as part of your portfolio.
The output consists of a label and a table , which can both be configured or switched off.
The label is being displayed at the current bar and price on the chart. It can show various totals and a total profit percentage.
The table display position can be set to “AUTO” or to a fixed customizable position. Per used asset, it can show the amount, value in BTC, value in Euro, value in US Dollar and value in a customizable currency. Also, the profit percentage and the percentage of the total portfolio value of an asset can be shown.
The total line shows the values and the profit percentage of the whole portfolio.
In the VIEW options, on the bottom of the settings/inputs window, the coloring can be customized. The profit percentages provide dynamic coloring.
It is also possible to use the EU (#.###,#) format in stead of the US format for numbers.
Although it has its limitations, aPortfolio might be useful and conveniently provides real-time insight.
GuidoN - October 2024
Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion by Kevin Davey Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy Description
The Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion Strategy is a popular trading approach based on the concept of volatility and market overreaction. The strategy leverages Bollinger Bands, which consist of an upper and lower band plotted around a central moving average, typically using standard deviations to measure volatility. When the price moves beyond these bands, it signals potential overbought or oversold conditions, and the strategy seeks to exploit a reversion back to the mean (the central band).
Strategy Components:
1. Bollinger Bands:
The bands are calculated using a 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a multiple (usually 2.0) of the standard deviation of the asset’s price over the same period. The upper band represents the SMA plus two standard deviations, while the lower band is the SMA minus two standard deviations. The distance between the bands increases with higher volatility and decreases with lower volatility.
2. Mean Reversion:
Mean reversion theory suggests that, over time, prices tend to move back toward their historical average. In this strategy, a buy signal is triggered when the price falls below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a potential oversold condition. Conversely, the position is closed when the price rises back above the upper Bollinger Band, signaling an overbought condition.
Entry and Exit Logic:
Buy Condition: The strategy enters a long position when the price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, anticipating a mean reversion to the central band (SMA).
Sell Condition: The long position is exited when the price closes above the upper Bollinger Band, implying that the market is likely overbought and a reversal could occur.
This approach uses mean reversion principles, aiming to capitalize on short-term price extremes and volatility compression, often seen in sideways or non-trending markets. Scientific studies have shown that mean reversion strategies, particularly those based on volatility indicators like Bollinger Bands, can be effective in capturing small but frequent price reversals  .
Scientific Basis for Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands, developed by John Bollinger, are widely regarded in both academic literature and practical trading as an essential tool for volatility analysis and mean reversion strategies. Research has shown that Bollinger Bands effectively identify relative price highs and lows, and can be used to forecast price volatility and detect potential breakouts . Studies in financial markets, such as those by Fernández-Rodríguez et al. (2003), highlight the efficacy of Bollinger Bands in detecting overbought or oversold conditions in various assets .
Who is Kevin Davey?
Kevin Davey is an award-winning algorithmic trader and highly regarded expert in developing and optimizing systematic trading strategies. With over 25 years of experience, Davey gained significant recognition after winning the prestigious World Cup Trading Championships multiple times, where he achieved triple-digit returns with minimal drawdown. His success has made him a key figure in algorithmic trading education, with a focus on disciplined and rule-based trading systems.
Dynamic Score Supertrend [QuantAlgo]Dynamic Score Supertrend 📈🚀
The Dynamic Score Supertrend by QuantAlgo introduces a sophisticated trend-following tool that combines the well-known Supertrend indicator with an innovative dynamic trend scoring technique . By tracking market momentum through a scoring system that evaluates price behavior over a customizable window, this indicator adapts to changing market conditions. The result is a clearer, more adaptive tool that helps traders and investors detect and capitalize on trend shifts with greater precision.
💫 Conceptual Foundation and Innovation
At the core of the Dynamic Score Supertrend is the dynamic trend score system , which measures price movements relative to the Supertrend’s upper and lower bands. This scoring technique adds a layer of trend validation, assessing the strength of price trends over time. Unlike traditional Supertrend indicators that rely solely on ATR calculations, this system incorporates a scoring mechanism that provides more insight into trend direction, allowing traders and investors to navigate both trending and choppy markets with greater confidence.
✨ Technical Composition and Calculation
The Dynamic Score Supertrend utilizes the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the upper and lower Supertrend bands. The dynamic trend scoring technique then compares the price to these bands over a customizable window, generating a trend score that reflects the current market direction.
When the score exceeds the uptrend or downtrend thresholds, it signals a possible shift in market direction. By adjusting the ATR settings and window length, the indicator becomes more adaptable to different market conditions, from steady trends to periods of higher volatility. This customization allows users to refine the Supertrend’s sensitivity and responsiveness based on their trading or investing style.
📈 Features and Practical Applications
Customizable ATR Settings: Adjust the ATR length and multiplier to control the sensitivity of the Supertrend bands. This allows the indicator to smooth out noise or react more quickly to price shifts, depending on market conditions.
Window Length for Dynamic Scoring: Modify the window length to adjust how many data points the scoring system considers, allowing you to tailor the indicator’s responsiveness to short-term or long-term trends.
Uptrend/Downtrend Thresholds: Set thresholds for identifying trend signals. Increase these thresholds for more reliable signals in choppy markets, or lower them for more aggressive entry points in trending markets.
Bar and Background Coloring: Visual cues such as bar coloring and background fills highlight the direction of the current trend, making it easier to spot potential reversals and trend shifts.
Trend Confirmation: The dynamic trend score system provides a clearer confirmation of trend strength, helping you identify strong, sustained movements while filtering out false signals.
⚡️ How to Use
✅ Add the Indicator: Add the Dynamic Score Supertrend to your favourites, then apply it to your chart. Adjust the ATR length, multiplier, and dynamic score settings to suit your trading or investing strategy.
👀 Monitor Trend Shifts: Track price movements relative to the Supertrend bands and use the dynamic trend score to confirm the strength of a trend. Bar and background colors make it easy to visualize key trend shifts.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts when the dynamic trend score crosses key thresholds, so you can act on significant trend changes without constantly monitoring the charts.
🌟 Summary and Usage Tips
The Dynamic Score Supertrend by QuantAlgo is a robust trend-following tool that combines the power of the Supertrend with an advanced dynamic scoring system. This approach provides more adaptable and reliable trend signals, helping traders and investors make informed decisions in trending markets. The customizable ATR settings and scoring thresholds make it versatile across various market conditions, allowing you to fine-tune the indicator for both short-term momentum and long-term trend following. To maximize its effectiveness, adjust the settings based on current market volatility and use the visual cues to confirm trend shifts. The Dynamic Score Supertrend offers a refined, probabilistic approach to trading and investing, making it a valuable addition to your toolkit.
Lot Size CalculatorThis Pine Script indicator, "Lot Size Calculator", is designed to help traders effectively manage their risk by calculating the optimal lot size for a given position based on account balance, risk percentage, and the distance to Stop Loss. The script also visually plots key price levels such as Entry Price, Stop Loss, and multiple Take Profit targets (1R, 2R, 3R).
Key Features:
Risk Management: Enter your account balance, risk percentage, entry price, and stop loss price to calculate the optimal lot size for your trade. The lot size is computed based on the risk amount you are willing to take.
Take Profit Levels: The script calculates and plots Take Profit levels for 1R, 2R, and 3R multiples of the risk, providing a structured approach to setting targets and managing rewards.
Visual Representation: The indicator plots horizontal lines on the chart for Entry Price, Stop Loss, and Take Profit levels. The Take Profit levels are styled as dotted lines for easy differentiation, and all lines extend infinitely in both directions for clarity.
Convenient Information Table: A table displayed in the top-right corner of the chart provides key information such as account balance, lot size, entry price, stop loss price, and risk details. The lot size value is highlighted for better visibility.
This tool is ideal for traders looking to maintain disciplined risk management and to visually identify key levels directly on the chart.
RiskMosaic | QuantEdgeBRisk On/Off System
This indicator acts as a comprehensive framework that integrates a diverse range of indicators—spanning liquidity, sentiment, market volatility, and macroeconomic factors—to construct a holistic view of risk.
By blending these varied components, the system identifies shifts in risk-on and risk-off environments, providing a complete and dynamic assessment of global market conditions.
This allows for more informed decision-making by capturing both localized and broad market influences in real time, enabling proactive risk management and the ability to adapt to rapidly changing conditions.
Composition :
4 different categories - each one equal weight
-> Mix of Global & U.S Liquidity
-> Mix of different macro factors
-> Mix of Crypto and Commodities
-> Mix of Volatility & Risk Indicators
Colors description:
- Green = strong = full risk on sentiment/environment
- Red = weak = full risk off sentiment/environment
- Blue = recovery = medium risk on sentiment/environment
- Purple = contraction = medium risk of sentiment/environment
-> Colors are based on oscillator line:
- crossing over 0 or 0.4 = green
- crossing under 0 or -0.5 = red
- crossing over -0.35 = blue
- crossing under 0.35 = purple
Value at Risk [OmegaTools]The "Value at Risk" (VaR) indicator is a powerful financial risk management tool that helps traders estimate the potential losses in a portfolio over a specified period of time, given a certain level of confidence. VaR is widely used by financial institutions, traders, and risk managers to assess the probability of portfolio losses in both normal and volatile market conditions. This TradingView script implements a comprehensive VaR calculation using several models, allowing users to visualize different risk scenarios and adjust their trading strategies accordingly.
Concept of Value at Risk
Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistical technique used to measure the likelihood of losses in a portfolio or financial asset due to market risks. In essence, it answers the question: "What is the maximum potential loss that could occur in a given portfolio over a specific time horizon, with a certain confidence level?" For instance, if a portfolio has a one-day 95% VaR of $10,000, it means that there is a 95% chance the portfolio will not lose more than $10,000 in a single day. Conversely, there is a 5% chance of losing more than $10,000. VaR is a key risk management tool for portfolio managers and traders because it quantifies potential losses in monetary terms, allowing for better-informed decision-making.
There are several ways to calculate VaR, and this indicator script incorporates three of the most commonly used models:
Historical VaR: This approach uses historical returns to estimate potential losses. It is based purely on past price data, assuming that the past distribution of returns is indicative of future risks.
Variance-Covariance VaR: This model assumes that asset returns follow a normal distribution and that the risk can be summarized using the mean and standard deviation of past returns. It is a parametric method that is widely used in financial risk management.
Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) VaR: In this model, recent data points are given more weight than older data. This dynamic approach allows the VaR estimation to react more quickly to changes in market volatility, which is particularly useful during periods of market stress. This model uses the Exponential Weighted Moving Average Volatility Model.
How the Script Works
The script starts by offering users a set of customizable input settings. The first input allows the user to choose between two main calculation modes: "All" or "OCT" (Only Current Timeframe). In the "All" mode, the script calculates VaR using all available methodologies—Historical, Variance-Covariance, and EWMA—providing a comprehensive risk overview. The "OCT" mode narrows the calculation to the current timeframe, which can be particularly useful for intraday traders who need a more focused view of risk.
The next input is the lookback window, which defines the number of historical periods used to calculate VaR. Commonly used lookback periods include 21 days (approximately one month), 63 days (about three months), and 252 days (roughly one year), with the script supporting up to 504 days for more extended historical analysis. A longer lookback period provides a more comprehensive picture of risk but may be less responsive to recent market conditions.
The confidence level is another important setting in the script. This represents the probability that the loss will not exceed the VaR estimate. Standard confidence levels are 90%, 95%, and 99%. A higher confidence level results in a more conservative risk estimate, meaning that the calculated VaR will reflect a more extreme loss scenario.
In addition to these core settings, the script allows users to customize the visual appearance of the indicator. For example, traders can choose different colors for "Bullish" (Risk On), "Bearish" (Risk Off), and "Neutral" phases, as well as colors for highlighting "Breaks" in the data, where returns exceed the calculated VaR. These visual cues make it easy to identify periods of heightened risk at a glance.
The actual VaR calculation is broken down into several models, starting with the Historical VaR calculation. This is done by computing the logarithmic returns of the asset's closing prices and then using linear interpolation to determine the percentile corresponding to the desired confidence level. This percentile represents the potential loss in the asset over the lookback period.
Next, the script calculates Variance-Covariance VaR using the mean and standard deviation of the historical returns. The standard deviation is multiplied by a z-score corresponding to the chosen confidence level (e.g., 1.645 for 95% confidence), and the resulting value is subtracted from the mean return to arrive at the VaR estimate.
The EWMA VaR model uses the EWMA for the sigma parameter, the standard deviation, obtaining a specific dynamic in the volatility. It is particularly useful in volatile markets where recent price behavior is more indicative of future risk than older data.
For traders interested in intraday risk management, the script provides several methods to adjust VaR calculations for lower timeframes. By using intraday returns and scaling them according to the chosen timeframe, the script provides a dynamic view of risk throughout the trading day. This is especially important for short-term traders who need to manage their exposure during high-volatility periods within the same day. The script also incorporates an EWMA model for intraday data, which gives greater weight to the most recent intraday price movements.
In addition to calculating VaR, the script also attempts to detect periods where the asset's returns exceed the estimated VaR threshold, referred to as "Breaks." When the returns breach the VaR limit, the script highlights these instances on the chart, allowing traders to quickly identify periods of extreme risk. The script also calculates the average of these breaks and displays it for comparison, helping traders understand how frequently these high-risk periods occur.
The script further visualizes the risk scenario using a risk phase classification system. Depending on the level of risk, the script categorizes the market as either "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral." In "Risk On" mode, the market is considered bullish, and the indicator displays a green background. In "Risk Off" mode, the market is bearish, and the background turns red. If the market is neither strongly bullish nor bearish, the background turns neutral, signaling a balanced risk environment.
Traders can customize whether they want to see this risk phase background, along with toggling the display of the various VaR models, the intraday methods, and the break signals. This flexibility allows traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs, whether they are day traders looking for quick intraday insights or longer-term investors focused on historical risk analysis.
The "Risk On" and "Risk Off" phases calculated by this Value at Risk (VaR) script introduce a novel approach to market risk assessment, offering traders an advanced toolset to gauge market sentiment and potential risk levels dynamically. These risk phases are built on a combination of traditional VaR methodologies and proprietary logic to create a more responsive and intuitive way to manage exposure in both normal and volatile market conditions. This method of classifying market conditions into "Risk On," "Risk Off," or "Risk Neutral" is not something that has been traditionally associated with VaR, making it a groundbreaking addition to this indicator.
How the "Risk On" and "Risk Off" Phases Are Calculated
In typical VaR implementations, the focus is on calculating the potential losses at a given confidence level without providing an overall market outlook. This script, however, introduces a unique risk classification system that takes the output of various VaR models and translates it into actionable signals for traders, marking whether the market is in a Risk On, Risk Off, or Risk Neutral phase.
The Risk On and Risk Off phases are primarily determined by comparing the current returns of the asset to the average VaR calculated across several different methods, including Historical VaR, Variance-Covariance VaR, and EWMA VaR. Here's how the process works:
1. Threshold Setting and Effect Calculation: The script first computes the average VaR using the selected models. It then checks whether the current returns (expressed as a negative value to signify loss) exceed the average VaR value. If the current returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold, this indicates that the actual market risk is higher than expected, signaling a potential shift in market conditions.
2. Break Analysis: In addition to monitoring whether returns exceed the average VaR, the script counts the number of instances within the lookback period where this breach occurs. This is referred to as the "break effect." For each period in the lookback window, the script checks whether the returns surpass the calculated VaR threshold and increments a counter. The percentage of periods where this breach occurs is then calculated as the "effect" or break percentage.
3. Dual Effect Check (if "Double" Risk Scenario is selected): When the user chooses the "Double" risk scenario mode, the script performs two layers of analysis. First, it calculates the effect of returns exceeding the VaR threshold for the current timeframe. Then, it calculates the effect for the lower intraday timeframe as well. Both effects are compared to the user-defined confidence level (e.g., 95%). If both effects exceed the confidence level, the market is deemed to be in a high-risk situation, thus triggering a Risk Off phase. If both effects fall below the confidence level, the market is classified as Risk On.
4. Risk Phases Determination: The final risk phase is determined by analyzing these effects in relation to the confidence level:
- Risk On: If the calculated effect of breaks is lower than the confidence level (e.g., fewer than 5% of periods show returns exceeding the VaR threshold for a 95% confidence level), the market is considered to be in a relatively safe state, and the script signals a "Risk On" phase. This is indicative of bullish conditions where the potential for extreme loss is minimal.
- Risk Off: If the break effect exceeds the confidence level (e.g., more than 5% of periods show returns breaching the VaR threshold), the market is deemed to be in a high-risk state, and the script signals a "Risk Off" phase. This indicates bearish market conditions where the likelihood of significant losses is higher.
- Risk Neutral: If the break effect hovers near the confidence level or if there is no clear trend indicating a shift toward either extreme, the market is classified as "Risk Neutral." In this phase, neither bulls nor bears are dominant, and traders should remain cautious.
The phase color that the script uses helps visualize these risk phases. The background will turn green in Risk On conditions, red in Risk Off conditions, and gray in Risk Neutral phases, providing immediate visual feedback on market risk. In addition to this, when the "Double" risk scenario is selected, the background will only turn green or red if both the current and intraday timeframes confirm the respective risk phase. This double-checking process ensures that traders are only given a strong signal when both longer-term and short-term risks align, reducing the likelihood of false signals.
A New Way of Using Value at Risk
This innovative Risk On/Risk Off classification, based on the interaction between VaR thresholds and market returns, represents a significant departure from the traditional use of Value at Risk as a pure risk measurement tool. Typically, VaR is employed as a backward-looking measure of risk, providing a static estimate of potential losses over a given timeframe with no immediate actionable feedback on current market conditions. This script, however, dynamically interprets VaR results to create a forward-looking, real-time signal that informs traders whether they are operating in a favorable (Risk On) or unfavorable (Risk Off) environment.
By incorporating the "break effect" analysis and allowing users to view the VaR breaches as a percentage of past occurrences, the script adds a predictive element that can be used to time market entries and exits more effectively. This **dual-layer risk analysis**, particularly when using the "Double" scenario mode, adds further granularity by considering both current timeframe and intraday risks. Traders can therefore make more informed decisions not just based on historical risk data, but on how the market is behaving in real-time relative to those risk benchmarks.
This approach transforms the VaR indicator from a risk monitoring tool into a decision-making system that helps identify favorable trading opportunities while alerting users to potential market downturns. It provides a more holistic view of market conditions by combining both statistical risk measurement and intuitive phase-based market analysis. This level of integration between VaR methodologies and real-time signal generation has not been widely seen in the world of trading indicators, marking this script as a cutting-edge tool for risk management and market sentiment analysis.
I would like to express my sincere gratitude to @skewedzeta for his invaluable contribution to the final script. From generating fresh ideas to applying his expertise in reviewing the formula, his support has been instrumental in refining the outcome.
Majors Rotation System [BackQuant]Majors Rotation System
Introducing BackQuant's Majors Rotation System, a comprehensive portfolio management tool for rotating among the major cryptocurrencies—BTC, ETH, and SOL. This system is designed to optimize returns by selecting the strongest-performing asset while avoiding periods of market weakness. It employs a long and cash-only strategy, meaning the system will only hold positions when market conditions are favorable, and will stay in cash during downtrends. Additionally, it incorporates a powerful regime filter to ensure the system is inactive during market-wide downturns.
This script is ideal for crypto traders looking to improve performance by dynamically allocating capital based on real-time performance metrics, rather than relying on a simple buy-and-hold strategy.
Key Features
Dynamic Asset Rotation: The system constantly evaluates the performance of BTC, ETH, and SOL, selecting the strongest asset based on a ratio matrix. This matrix compares the relative strength of each asset to one another, ensuring that your portfolio is always positioned in the cryptocurrency with the most momentum.
Long and Cash-Only Portfolio: This system only takes long positions or remains in cash. By avoiding short positions, it reduces exposure during market downturns. The built-in regime filter ensures the system only operates when the broader market (represented by the TOTAL crypto market cap) is trending up, offering additional protection against unfavorable market conditions.
Equity Tracking: The script provides a real-time visualization of portfolio equity compared to a buy-and-hold strategy. It displays the equity curve of the portfolio while allowing you to compare it against the hypothetical equity of holding BTC, ETH, or SOL individually (Buy and Hold).
Performance Metrics: In addition to equity visualization, the system provides detailed performance metrics, including:
Sharpe Ratio: Measures risk-adjusted returns.
Sortino Ratio: Focuses on downside risk.
Omega Ratio: Evaluates returns relative to risk.
Maximum Drawdown: The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough.
These metrics allow traders to assess the efficiency of the rotation system compared to simply holding assets.
Visual Cues:
Painted Candles: The script provides a visual trend indicator by painting candles according to the trend of the selected chart, helping traders quickly identify momentum shifts.
Support for Multiple Assets: The system allows users to toggle between BTC, ETH, and SOL or view the entire portfolio at once. It displays key metrics for each asset and offers an intuitive way to understand which asset is currently outperforming.
Regime Filter: A key aspect of this system is the regime filter, which only allows trading in favorable market conditions. It uses a Universal TPI (Trend Performance Indicator) to evaluate whether the overall crypto market (TOTAL Market Cap) and key assets (BTC, ETH) are in a bullish trend. If the market is in a downtrend, the system will exit positions and move into cash.
Customizable Parameters: Users can customize several important aspects of the system:
Starting Date: Choose when the backtest or live trading begins.
Starting Capital: Set the initial capital for backtesting purposes.
Visualization Options: Toggle between base data, ratioed data, and equity plots. Users can also customize the line width and color settings for better chart clarity.
Adaptive Momentum Scoring: The system uses advanced indicators, which are not disclosed (proprietary) to assess the trend and momentum of the selected cryptocurrencies dynamically.
How the Rotation Works
The system uses a universal algorithm to calculate trend and momentum signals for BTC, ETH, and SOL. These signals are processed through a ratio matrix, which compares the performance of each asset against the others. Based on this comparison, the system identifies the strongest asset and allocates capital accordingly.
BTC, ETH, and SOL Scores: These scores represent the relative strength of each asset based on the universal algorithm. The system dynamically selects the asset with the highest score, rotating out of underperforming assets and into the top performer.
Allocation Decisions: The system determines whether to allocate capital to BTC, ETH, SOL, or Cash based on the scores. If none of the assets show strength, the system defaults to cash to protect the portfolio from market downturns.
Equity and Buy-and-Hold Comparisons
This script provides a side-by-side comparison of the portfolio’s equity curve and a buy-and-hold strategy:
Portfolio Equity: Shows the performance of the system as it rotates between BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Buy-and-Hold Equity: Displays how the portfolio would have performed if you simply held BTC, ETH, or SOL without trading.
These comparisons allow traders to see how the dynamic rotation system performs relative to a passive holding strategy.
Alerts and Visual Feedback
The system provides real-time alerts when asset allocations change, notifying traders when the system moves capital between assets or into cash. Additionally, the system offers detailed visual feedback, including:
Equity Curve Plots: Displays the equity curve of the portfolio and the individual assets.
Score Labels: Shows the strength scores for BTC, ETH, and SOL directly on the chart for easy monitoring.
Final Thoughts
The Majors Rotation System offers a powerful way to navigate the highly volatile crypto market by rotating between the strongest performing assets and staying in cash when conditions are unfavorable. With its advanced metrics, equity tracking, and built-in regime filter, this system is designed to optimize returns while minimizing risk.
Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI [BackQuant]Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI
Introducing BackQuant's Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI, a cutting-edge indicator that enhances the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) by applying both a Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter to provide smoother and more reliable signals. This advanced approach helps reduce noise and captures true momentum trends with greater precision. Let’s break down how the indicator works, the features it offers, and how it can improve your trading strategy.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with levels above 70 typically indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions. However, the standard RSI can sometimes generate noisy signals, especially in volatile markets, making it challenging to identify reliable entry and exit points.
To improve upon the traditional RSI, this indicator introduces two powerful filters: the Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter.
Savitzky-Golay Filter: Smoothing with Precision
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a digital filtering technique used to smooth data while preserving important features, such as peaks and trends. Unlike simple moving averages that can distort important price data, the Savitzky-Golay filter uses polynomial regression to fit the data, providing a more accurate and less lagging result.
In this script, the Savitzky-Golay filter is applied to the RSI values to smooth out short-term fluctuations and provide a more reliable signal. By using a window size of 5 and a polynomial degree of 2, the filter effectively reduces noise without compromising the integrity of the underlying price movements.
Median Filter: Reducing Outliers
After applying the Savitzky-Golay filter, the median filter is applied to the smoothed RSI values. The median filter is particularly effective at removing short-lived outliers, further enhancing the accuracy of the RSI by reducing the impact of sudden and temporary price spikes or drops. This combination of filters creates an ultra-smooth RSI that is better suited for detecting true market trends.
Long and Short Signals
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI generates long and short signals based on user-defined threshold levels:
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the filtered RSI exceeds the Long Threshold (default set at 176). This indicates that momentum is shifting upward, and it may present a good buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is generated when the filtered RSI falls below the Short Threshold (default set at 162). This suggests that momentum is weakening, potentially signaling a selling opportunity or exit from a long position.
These threshold levels can be adjusted to suit different market conditions and timeframes, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI comes with several customization options, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Calculation Source: Select the price source for the RSI calculation (default is OHLC4, but it can be changed to close, open, high, or low prices).
RSI Period: Adjust the lookback period for the RSI calculation (default is 14).
Median Filter Length: Control the length of the median filter applied to the smoothed RSI, affecting how much noise is removed from the signal.
Threshold Levels: Customize the long and short thresholds to define the sensitivity for generating buy and sell signals.
UI Settings: Choose whether to display the RSI and thresholds on the chart, color the bars according to trend direction, and adjust the line width and colors used for long and short signals.
Visual Feedback: Color-Coded Signals and Thresholds
To make the signals easier to interpret, the indicator offers visual feedback by coloring the price bars and the RSI plot according to the current market trend:
Green Bars indicate long signals when momentum is bullish.
Red Bars indicate short signals when momentum is bearish.
Gray Bars indicate neutral or undecided conditions when no clear signal is present.
In addition, the Long and Short Thresholds can be plotted directly on the chart to provide a clear reference for when signals are triggered, allowing traders to visually gauge the strength of the RSI relative to its thresholds.
Alerts for Automation
For traders who prefer automated notifications, the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI includes built-in alert conditions for long and short signals. You can configure these alerts to notify you when a buy or sell condition is met, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Trading Applications
This indicator is versatile and can be used in a variety of trading strategies:
Trend Following: The combination of Savitzky-Golay and median filtering makes this RSI particularly useful for identifying strong trends without being misled by short-term noise. Traders can use the long and short signals to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Reversal Trading: By adjusting the threshold levels, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversals. When the RSI moves from overbought to oversold levels (or vice versa), it may signal a shift in market direction.
Swing Trading: The smoothed RSI provides a clear signal for short to medium-term price movements, making it an excellent tool for swing traders looking to capitalize on momentum shifts.
Risk Management: The filtered RSI can be used as part of a broader risk management strategy, helping traders avoid false signals and stay in trades only when the momentum is strong.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI takes the classic RSI to the next level by applying advanced smoothing techniques that reduce noise and improve signal reliability. Whether you’re a trend follower, swing trader, or reversal trader, this indicator provides a more refined approach to momentum analysis, helping you make better-informed trading decisions.
As with all indicators, it is important to backtest thoroughly and incorporate sound risk management strategies when using the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI in your trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
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