Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
Regressions
Multi Trend Cross Strategy TemplateToday I am sharing with the community trend cross strategy template that incorporates any combination of over 20 built in indicators. Some of these indicators are in the Pine library, and some have been custom coded and contributed over time by the beloved Pine Coder community. Identifying a trend cross is a common trend following strategy and a common custom-code request from the community. Using this template, users can now select from over 400 different potential trend combinations and setup alerts without any custom coding required. This Multi-Trend cross template has a very inclusive library of trend calculations/indicators built-in, and will plot any of the 20+ indicators/trends that you can select in the settings.
How it works : Simple trend cross strategies go long when the fast trend crosses over the slow trend, and/or go short when the fast trend crosses under the slow trend. Options for either trend direction are built-in to this strategy template. The script is also coded in a way that allows you to enable/modify pyramid settings and scale into a position over time after a trend has crossed.
Use cases : These types of strategies can reduce the volatility of returns and can help avoid large market downswings. For instance, those running a longer term trend-cross strategy may have not realized half the down swing of the bear markets or crashes in 02', 08', 20', etc. However, in other years, they may have exited the market from time to time at unfavorable points that didn't end up being a down turn, or at times the market was ranging sideways. Some also use them to reduce volatility and then add leverage to attempt to beat buy/hold of the underlying asset within an acceptable drawdown threshold.
Special thanks to @Duyck, @everget, @KivancOzbilgic and @LazyBear for coding and contributing earlier versions of some of these custom indicators in Pine.
This script incorporates all of the following indicators. Each of them can be selected and modified from within the indicator settings:
ALMA - Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
DSMA - Deviation Scaled Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
EMA - Exponential Moving Average
HMA - Hull Moving Average
JMA - Jurik Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
KAMA - Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
LSMA - Linear Regression , Least Squares Moving Average
RMA - Relative Moving Average
SMA - Simple Moving Average
SMMA - Smoothed Moving Average
Price Source - Plotted based on source selection
TEMA - Triple Exponential Moving Average
TMA - Triangular Moving Average
VAMA - Volume Adjusted Moving Average - Contributed by Duyck
VIDYA - Variable Index Dynamic Average - Contributed by KivancOzbilgic
VMA - Variable Moving Average - Contributed by LazyBear
VWMA - Volume Weighted Moving Average
WMA - Weighted Moving Average
WWMA - Welles Wilder's Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average - Contributed by KivancOzbilgic
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
Faytterro Estimator StrategyWhat is "Faytterro Estimator Strategy"?
"Faytterro Estimator Strategy" is strategy of faytterro estimator. if you want to know more about faytterro estimator:
What it does?
It trades according to the signals given by faytterro estimator and some additional restrictions.
How it does it?
Using the faytterro estimator and the following variables, it gives buy and sell signals in different sizes at ideal points.
How to use it?
The "source" part is used to change the source of faytterro estimator.
The "length" is the length of the fayterro estimator.
"Minimum entry-close gap" is the minimum distance between two transactions opened in opposite directions. For example, if you opened long at 20 500 and "Minimum entry-close gap" is 400, you will not receive a sell signal before the price goes above 20900.
If "minimum entry-entry gap" is the minimum difference between two transactions opened in the same direction. For example, if you open long at 20500 level and the "minimum entry-entry gap" is 400, you will not receive a "buy" signal before the price goes below the 20100 level.
"strong entry size" determines the size of strong signals. The size of ordinary signals is always 1.
note: default values for btc/usdt 1 hour timeframe.
Oscillating SSL Channel Strategy - 3m & 5m Time FramesThis script is pretty self-explanatory. I will suggest trying some different exits to get that win rate above 20% (I'd start with Take Profit and Stop Loss percentages).
Enjoy!
Compound strategyIn this strategy, I looked at how to manage the crypto I bought. Once we have a little understanding of how cryptocurrency is valued, we can manage the coins we have. For example, the most valuable coin in a coin is to sell when it is overvalued and re-buy when it is undervalued. Furthermore, I realised that buying from the right place and selling at the right time is very important to make a good profit. When it says sell, it's divided into several parts.
1. When the major uptrend is over and we are able to make the desired profit, we will sell our holdings outright.
2. Selling in the middle of a down trend and buying less than that amount again
3. When a small uptrend is over, sell the ones you bought at a lower price and make a small profit.
The other important thing is that the average cost is gradually reduced. Also, those who sell at a loss will reduce their profit (winning rate), so knowing that we will have a chance to calculate our loss and recover it. I used this to write a strategy in Trading View. I have put the link below it. From that we can see how this idea works. What I did was I made the signal by taking some technical indicators as I did in the previous one (all the indicators I got in this case were directional indicators, then I was able to get a good correlation and a standard deviation. I multiplied the correlation and the standard deviation by both and I took the signal as the time when the graph went through zero, and I connected it to the volume so that I could see some of the volume supported by it.)
Now let me tell you a little bit about what I see in this strategy. In this I used the compound effect. That is, the strategy, the profit he takes to reinvest. On the other hand, the strategy itself can put a separate stop loss value on each trade and avoid any major loss from that trade. I also added to this strategy the ability to do swing trading. That means we can take the small profits that come with going on a big up trend or a big down trend. Combined with Compound Effect, Stop Loss and Swing Trading, I was able to make a profit of 894% per annum (1,117.62% for 15 months) with a winning rate of 80%. Winning rate dropped to 80% because I added stop loss and swing trading. The other thing is that I applied DCA to this in both the up trend and the down trend (both). That was another reason for me to make a good profit. The orange line shows how to reduction of costly trade. The yellow line shows the profit and you can see that the profit line does not go down during the loss trades. That's because I want to absorb the loss from that trade.
Strategy LinReg ST@RLStrategy LinReg ST@RL
Strategy LinReg ST@RL is a visual trend following indicator.
It is compiled in PINE Script Version V5 language.
This indicator/strategy, based on Linear Regression Calculation, is intended to help beginners (and also the more experienced ones) to trade in the right direction of the market trend and test strategy. It allows you to avoid the mistakes of always trading against the trend.
Strategy based on an original idea of @KivancOzbilgic (SuperTrend) and DevLucem (@LucemAnb) (Lin Reg ++)
A special credit goes to - KivancOzbilgic and @LucemAnb which inspired me a lot to improve this indicator/Strategy.
This indicator can be configured to your liking,according to your needs or your tastes.
The indicator/Strategy works in multi time frame.
The settings (length, offset, deviation, smoothing) are identical for all time frames if “Conf Auto” is not checked.
In this case the default settings (time frame=H1 settings) apply for all time frames.
The choice of source setting is common for all time frames.
If “Auto Conf” is checked,
then the settings will be optimized for each selected time frame (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily). Time frames, other than 1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily will be affected with the default settings corresponding to the H1 time frame and will therefore not be optimized! The default setting values of each time frame (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily) can be configured differently and optimized by you.
REVERSAL mode: Signal Buy=Sell and Signal Sell=Buy.
This option may be better than the regular strategy. Default mode is Reversal option.
Note that only for 1m (1 minute) Time frame, the option REVERSAL is opposite as default choice in configuration. (If reversal option is checked, then option for time frame 1m is not reversal!)
Trend indications (potential sell or buy areas) are displayed as a background color (bullish: green or bearish: red), assume that the market is moving in one direction.
You can tune the input, style and visibility settings to match your own preferences or habits.
Label Info (Simple or Full) gives trend info for each Exit (or current trade)
The choice of indicator colors is suitable for a graph with a "dark" theme, which you will probably need to modify for visual comfort, if you are using a "Light" mode or a custom mode.
This script is an indicator that you can run on standard chart types. It also works on non-standard chart types but the results will be skewed and different.
Non-standard charts are:
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
As a reminder: No indicator is capable of providing accurate signals 100% of the time. Every now and then, even the best will fail, leaving you with a losing deal. Whichever indicator you base yourself on, remember to follow the basic rules of risk management and capital allocation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
! Français !
Strategy LinReg ST@RL
Stratégie LinReg ST@RL est un indicateur visuel de suivi de tendance.
Il est compilé en langage PINE Script Version V5.
Stratégie basée sur une idée originale de @KivancOzbilgic (SuperTrend) et DevLucem (@LucemAnb) (Lin Reg ++) Un crédit spécial va à - KivancOzbilgic et @LucemAnb qui m'ont beaucoup inspiré pour améliorer cet indicateur/stratégie.
Cet indicateur/strategie, basé sur le calcul de régression linéaire, est destiné à aider les débutants (et aussi les plus expérimentés) à trader dans le bon sens de la tendance du marché et à tester la stratégie. Cela vous permet d'éviter les erreurs de toujours négocier à contre-courant.
Cet indicateur peut être configuré à votre guise, selon vos besoins ou vos goûts.
L'indicateur/Stratégie fonctionne sur plusieurs bases de temps.
Les réglages (longueur, décalage, déviation, lissage) sont identiques pour toutes les bases de temps si
« Conf Auto » n'est pas coché. Dans ce cas, les paramètres par défaut (intervalle de temps=paramètres H1) s'appliquent à toutes les bases de temps.
Le choix du réglage de la source est commun à toutes les bases de temps.
Si "Auto Conf" est coché, alors les paramètres seront optimisés pour chaque base de temps sélectionnée (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily). Les bases de temps, autres que 1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily seront affectées par les paramètres par défaut correspondant à la base de temps H1 et ne seront donc pas optimisées ! Les valeurs de réglage par défaut de chaque période (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily) peuvent être configurées différemment et optimisées par vous.
Mode REVERSAL : Signal Achat=Vente et Signal Vente=Achat. Cette option peut être meilleure que la stratégie habituelle. Le mode par défaut est l'option REVERSAL.
Notez que seulement pour la base de temps de 1m (1 minute), l'option REVERSAL est l’opposée du choix par défaut dans la configuration. (Si l'option REVERSAL est cochée, alors l'option pour la base de temps 1 m n'est pas REVERSAL !)
Les indications de tendance (zones potentielles de vente ou d'achat) sont affichées en couleur de fond (haussier : vert ou baissier : rouge), supposons que le marché évolue dans une direction. Vous pouvez ajuster les paramètres d'entrée, de style et de visibilité en fonction de vos propres préférences ou habitudes.
Les informations sur l'étiquette (simples ou complètes) donnent des informations sur de chaque clôture (ou position en cours)
Le choix des couleurs des indicateurs est adapté à un graphique avec un thème "sombre", qu'il vous faudra probablement modifier pour le confort visuel, si vous utilisez un mode "Clair" ou un mode personnalisé.
Ce script est un indicateur que vous pouvez exécuter sur des types de graphiques standard. Cela fonctionne également sur les types de graphiques non standard, mais les résultats seront faussés et différents.
Les graphiques non standard sont :
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
Pour rappel : Aucun indicateur n'est capable de fournir des signaux précis 100% du temps. De temps en temps, même les meilleurs échoueront, vous laissant avec une affaire perdante. Quel que soit l'indicateur sur lequel vous vous basez, rappelez-vous de suivre les règles de base de la gestion des risques et de l'allocation du capital.
Top 40 High Low Strategy for SPY, 5minThis strategy is developed based on my High Low Index SPY Top 40 indicator
Notes:
- this strategy is only developed for SPY on the 5 min chart . It seems to work with QQQ as well, but it isn't optimized for it
- P/L shown is based on 10 SPY option contracts, call or put, with strike price closest to the entry SPY price and expiry of 0 to 1 day. This includes commissions (can be changed). This is only an estimate calculated using an arbitrary multiplier factor, this can be changed in the setting
- P/L is based on $5000 initial capital
- Works with both regular / extended trading session turned on/off. However, max drawdown is 1/2 with extended trading session ON
- there is still a bug that doesn't allow alert to be created due to calculation error, will update once fixed
This strategy combines signals from the following indicators to determine entry signals:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40
- MACD
- Linear Regression Slope
Entry signal is triggered when:
- High Low Index line crosses the EMA line
- MACD trending in the same direction
- Linear Regression slope is accelerating above a threshold in the same direction, indicating a strong trend
Profit target(PT) and stop loss(SL) are determined using ATR value, with 2:1 Reward to Risk ratio as default.
Exit signal may be triggered prior to PT or SL trigger when:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40 shows a reversal after overbought or oversold conditions (optional)
- Opposite entry signal is triggered
There are a number of optional settings:
- Turn on/off "option trading", P/L will be calculated using share price only without multiplication factor for trading option contracts
- # of options per trade, default to 10
- Reinvest with profit made
- Trade with trailing SL after PT hit
- Take profit early based on Top 40 overbought/oversold
- Trade 0/1 day expiry. This will signal exit by the end of the day on Mon/Wed/Fri, and only exits 1/2 of positions (if in profit) on Tues/Thurs
- Can reduce the SL level without impacting PT
- No entry between 10:05 - 10:20 (don't ask me why, but statistically it performs better)
Consider donating me some of your profit if you make $$$ hahaha~ ;)
Enjoy~~
Linear Regression Channel Breakout StrategyThis strategy is based on LonesomeTheBlue's Linear Regression Channel Indicator. First of all, I would like to thank LonesomeTheBlue. Breaking the Linear Regression Channel to close the candle triggers a Long or Short signal. If the slope of the Linear Regression Channel is positive, it is Short when it breaks out the lower line, and when the slope is negative, it is Long when it breaks out the upper line. The default is optimized for 8-hour candles, and for other hour candles, find the optimal value yourself. Below is a description of LonesomeTheBlue's Linear Regression Channel.
이 전략은 LonesomeTheBlue의 Linear Regression Channel Indicator를 기반으로 만들어졌습니다. 우선 LonesomeTheBlue님께 감사의 말씀을 드립니다. Linear Regression Channel을 돌파하여 봉 마감하면 Long 또는 Short 신호를 트리거합니다. Linear Regression Channel의 기울기가 양인 경우 하단 라인을 돌파하면 Short이고 그 기울기가 음인 경우 상단 라인을 돌파하면 Long입니다. 기본값은 8시간봉에 최적화 되어 있으며, 다른 시간봉은 직접 최적값을 찾아보십시오. 아래는 LonesomeTheBlue의 Linear Regression Channel에 대한 설명을 퍼왔습니다.
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There are several nice Linear Regression Channel scripts in the Public Library. and I tried to make one with some extra features too. This one can check if the Price breaks the channel and it shows where is was broken. Also it checks the momentum of the channel and shows it's increasing/decreasing/equal in a label, shape of the label also changes. The line colors change according to direction.
using the options, you can;
- Set the Source (Close, HL2 etc)
- Set the Channel length
- Set Deviation
- Change Up/Down Line colors
- Show/hide broken channels
- Change line width
meaning of arrows:
⇑ : Uptrend and moment incresing
⇗ : Uptrend and moment decreasing
⇓ : Downtrend and moment incresing
⇘ : Downtrend and moment decreasing
⇒ : No trend
