Peak Valley Estimation StrategyIntroduction
Its the first strategy that i post here, so don't expect ground breaking stuff, when testing my indicators i always used prorealtime and not tradingview. This strategy use signals generated by the peak/valley estimator indicator i posted long ago, i think the signals generated where sometimes quite accurate in some markets thus providing potential material for a profitable strategy.
The indicator use 3 parameters, therefore the optimisation process is not easy, but i selected what i judged good parameters values at first glance. The strategy is in its more simple form without stop or anything, the detection of peaks and valley can allow for tighter stops since we expect the price to reverse, but take into account that sops and take profits are parameters subject to optimization process except if selected with strict money management rules and not profit optimization.
Of course trading the strategy in this form is far from being great, if we take into account the market non stationarity then we might expect loss during trending markets. Trend strength indicators could help switch from a reversal to breakout strategy thus maybe providing more control.
I really hope you find an use for the strategy.
Notes
Its been three long years since i started tradingview, and i put more efforts in my indicators than in my studies and life overall, this have created complicated situations and i can't afford to follow up with this, therefore i announce that in the end of june i will leave tradingview for quite a long time, at least until i have my degree. I announce it in advance in case some of you want helps of any kind. I will post all the indicators, both in progress and finished i have made during those three years. I hope you can all understand.
Thanks for reading !
Cerca negli script per "profitable"
5 MAs w. alerts [LucF]Is this gazillionth MA indicator worth an addition to the already crowded field of contenders? I say yes! This one shows up to 5 MAs and 6 different marker conditions that can be used to create alerts, among many other goodies.
Features
MAs can be darkened when they are falling.
MAs from another time frame can be displayed, with the option of smoothing them.
Markers can be filtered to Longs or Shorts only.
EMAs can be selected for either all or the two shortest MAs.
The background can be colored using any of the marker states except no. 3.
Markers are:
1. On crosses between any two user-defined MAs,
2. When price is above or below an MA,
3. On Quick Flips (a specific setup involving a cross, multiple MA states and increasing volume, when available),
4. When the difference between two MAs is within a % of its high/low historic values,
5. When an MA has been rising/falling for n bars,
6. When the difference between two MAs is greater than a multiple of ATR.
Some markers use similar visual cues, so distinguishing them will be a challenge if they are used concurrently.
Alerts
Alerts can be created on any combination of alerts. Only non-consecutive instances of markers 5 and 6 will trigger the alert condition. Make sure you are on the interval you want the alert to run at. Using the “Once Per Bar Close” trigger condition is usually the best option.
When an alert is created in TradingView, a snapshot of the indicator’s settings is saved with the alert, which then takes on a life of its own. That is why even though there is only one alert to choose from when you bring up the alert creation dialog box and choose “5 MAs”, that alert can be triggered from any number of conditions. You select those conditions by activating the markers you want the alert to trigger on before creating the alert. If you have selected multiple conditions, then it can be a good idea to record a reminder in the alert’s message field. When the alert triggers, you will need the indicator on the chart to figure out which one of your conditions triggered the alert, as there is currently no way to dynamically change the alert’s message field from within the script.
Background settings will not trigger alerts; only marker configurations.
Notes
MAs are just… averages. Trader lure would have them act as support and resistance levels. I’m not sure about that, and not the only one thinking along these lines. Adam Grimes has studied moving averages in quite a bit of detail. His numbers point to no evidence indicating they act as support/resistance, and to specific MA lengths not being more meaningful than others. His point of view is debated by some—not by me. Mean reversion does not entail that price stops when it reaches its MA; rather, it makes sense to me that price would often more or less oscillate around its MA, which entails the MA does not act as support/resistance. Aren’t the best mean reversion opportunities when price is furthest away from its MA? If so, it should be more profitable to identify these areas, which some of this indicator’s markers try to do.
I think MAs can be much more powerful when thought of as instruments we can use to situate price events in contexts of various resolutions, from the instantaneous to the big picture. Accordingly, I use the relative positions and slopes of MAs in both discretionary and automated trading; but never their purported ability to support/resist.
Regardless of how you use MAs, I hope you will find this indicator useful.
Biased References
The Art and Science of Technical Analysis: Market Structure, Price Action, and Trading Strategies, Adam Grimes, 2012.
Does the 200 day moving average “work”?
Moving averages: digging deeper
Noro's Day of weekThis script shows the change in price for each day of a week. Allows to look at the most profitable day of the week, or the most unprofitable day of the week. It is surely necessary a timeframe 1d.
Turtle Trade Channels by KıvanÇ fr3762his trend following system was designed by Dennis Gartman and Bill Eckhart, and relies on breakouts of historical highs and lows to take and close trades: it is the complete opposite to the "buy low and sell high" approach. This trend following system was taught to a group of average and normal individuals, and almost everyone turned into a profitable trader.
The main rule is "Trade an N-day breakout and take profits when an M-day high or low is breached (N must me above M)". Examples:
Buy a 10-day breakout and close the trade when price action reaches a 5-day low.
Go short a 20-day breakout and close the trade when price action reaches a 10-day high.
In this indicator, the red line is the trading line, and the dotted blue line is the exit line. Original system is:
Go long when the trading line crosses below close price
Go short when the trading line rosses above close price
Exit long positions when the price touches the exit line
Exit short positions when the price touches the exit line
Recommended initial stop-loss is ATR * 2 from the opening price. Default system parameters were 20,10 and 55,20.
Original Turtle Rules:
To trade exactly like the turtles did, you need to set up two indicators representing the main and the failsafe system.
Set up the main indicator with TradePeriod = 20 and StopPeriod = 10 (A.k.a S1)
Set up the failsafe indicator with TradePeriod = 55 and StopPeriod = 20 using a different color. (A.k.a S2)
The entry strategy using S1 is as follows
Buy 20-day breakouts using S1 only if last signaled trade was a loss.
Sell 20-day breakouts using S1 only if last signaled trade was a loss.
If last signaled trade by S1 was a win, you shouldn't trade -Irregardless of the direction or if you traded last signal it or not-
The entry strategy using S2 is as follows:
Buy 55-day breakouts only if you ignored last S1 signal and the market is rallying without you
Sell 55-day breakouts only if you ignored last S1 signal and the market is pluging without you
The turtles had a progressive position sizing approach that boosted their winnings. Once a trading decision has been made you should...
Developers: Dennis Gartman and Bill Eckhart
İndikatörü geliştiren: Dennis Gartman and Bill Eckhart
Colored Klinger Volume Oscillator (CKVO)This is a color enhanced version of Klinger Volume Oscillator. I specially designed this to get maximum profit from highly volatile coins. This indicator is based on volume.
xTrigger (the line) shows if trend is bullish or bearish. It is the average of the area. You can clearly see the trend.
xKVO (the area) shows how buy and sell orders change. It rises while buys are increasing against sells, decreases while sells are increasing against buys.
The color or the area provides buy and sell signals. Green: buy. Red: sell. Gray: Undecided.
Of course there are false signals. You should use other indicators to confirm them.
I like to use RSI and Bollinger Bands along with it to eliminate false signals. Also check for double bottom and top, etc.
Its wise to check the general direction of coin using a bigger time frame using Heikin Aishi. For example 1W Heikin Ashi if you are trading on 1D.
In addition to buy signals the most important indication is divergence with the price. Before a trend change 2 kinds of divergences happen
- Trend line moves reverse to the price line
- Are a tops moves revers to the price tops. For example while there is a higher price top, there is a lower area top. Then its time to escape.
Motivation
It is common to suffer from failures while trading highly profitable but volatile coins like NULLS, REP, DLT, LRC, MFT, HOT, OAX, KEY, etc.
- Traders sell too early to ensure a profit. Sell at 10% and it goes 200%
- Traders buy too early. Traders buy and it drops yet another 50%
- Wrong patience. The trader keeps the faith and waits for days for the glorious days. And nothing happens.
I believe with this indicator I am able to solve those problems most of the time.
Relative Price StrengthThe strength of a stock relative to the S&P 500 is key part of most traders decision making process. Hence the default reference security is SPY, the most commonly trades S&P 500 ETF.
Most profitable traders buy stocks that are showing persistence intermediate strength verses the S&P as this has been shown to work. Hence the default period is 63 days or 3 months.
[VJ] Gann Double BBTry to form rules around this. Very profitable - start from - 2SD to +1SD for buy with intermediate bands as SL. vice versa for sell
ACW PROACW PRO
ACW PIVOT SHORT SCRIPT + ACW CUSTOM MA SCRIPT
PROFITABLE TIMEFRAMES
15MIN
30MIN
H1-H4
D1,W1
Inside Bar FailureYou can check edge profitability by adjusting the forward looking input, eg. how profitable is this signal after X bars.
Strategy based on Squeeze Momentum Indicator [LazyBear]This Strategy is based on LazyBear Squeeze Momentum Indicator.
I added some custom feature and filters.
You can customize a lot of features to get a profitable strategy.
Here is a link to original study.
Please use comment section for any feedback.
Next improvement (only to whom is interested to this script and follows me): study with alerts on multiple tickers all at one. Leave a comment if you want to have access to study.
********************************** IMPORTANT*******************************
I have developed an expert advisor for metatrader4 (MT4) and for jforex platform: results of expert advisor form 2015-01-01 to 2018-11-25 are very good with low drawdown and good profit.
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[BoTo] RSI Trend StrategyOpen source code.
It is very old trade strategy. It is older than you :) Uses the RSI indicator. The RSI indicator has described Welles Wilder in the book in 1978. And all this is still profitable!
Additional articles
1. en.wikipedia.org
2. en.wikipedia.org
3. www.tradingview.com(RSI)
How it works
Step 1. The user chooses length for RSI
Step 2. If RSI is more than 50, then it is a uptrend and the long position opens. It is necessary to close a short position if it is opened earlier.
Step 3. If RSI is less than 50, that is a downtrend and the short position opens. It is necessary to close a long position if it is opened earlier.
Well is suitable for the market of cryptocurrencies. Well length from 3 to 7 approaches. Don't use length 14 because for cryptocurrencies it is too much. Cryptocurrencies it is very volatile market. You can also use the RSI indicator which is built in on TradingView.com.
RSI+STOCHRSI StrategyRSI + STOCHASTIC RSI combination . It is useful for 5 min charts .
Profitable in EOS/BTC and BTC/USDT , don't apply all cryptocurrency.
BB limitMarket maker strategy using Bollinger bands as entry, moving average as close and simple stop-loss with percentage of entry position. It was extremely profitable in june on xbtusd.
Simple profitable trading strategyThis strategy has three components.
Philakones EMAs are a sequence of five fibonacci EMAs. They range from 55 candles (green) to 8 candles (red) in length. A strong trend or breakout is marked by the emas appearing in sequence of their length from 8 to 55 or vice versa. These EMAs are also used to signal an exit. Only two EMAs are used for exit signals - when the 13 EMA crosses over/under the 55 EMA.
RSI gives a bullish signal when 40 > rsi > 70. Exit signals are oversold (30) or overbought (70)
Stochastics give a bullish signal when stoch < 80 and an exit signal when > 95.
Results include 3 ticks of slippage and taker fees of .002. Provides a pretty smooth equity curve with a 73% win rate and beats buy and hold by than 10x (returns about 60x overall) since start of 2017.
PivotBoss Doji Reversal SetupPATTERN SUMMARY
1. The open and close price of the doji should fall within 10 percent of each other, as measured by the total range
of the candlestick.
2. For a bullish doji, the high of the doji candlestick should be below the ten-period simple moving average (H <
SMA(lO)).
3. For a bearish doji, the low of the doji candlestick should be above the ten-period simple moving average (L >
SMA(lO)).
4. For a bearish doji, one of the two bars following the doji must close beneath the low of the doji (C < L or C <
L ).
5. For a bullish doji setup, one of the two bars following the doji must close above the high of the doji (C > H )
or C > H )
PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
The doji candlestick is the epitome of indecision. The pattern illustrates a virtual stalemate between buyers
and sellers, which means the existing trend may be on the verge of a reversal. If buyers have been controlling a
bullish advance over a period of time, you will typically see full-bodied candlesticks that personify the bullish
nature of the move. However, if a doji candlestick suddenly appears, the indication is that buyers are suddenly
not as confident in upside price potential as they once were. This is clearly a point of indecision, as buyers are no
longer pushing price to higher valuation, and have allowed sellers to battle them to a draw-at least for this one
candlestick. This leads to profit taking, as buyers begin to sell their profitable long positions, which is heightened
by responsive sellers entering the market due to perceived overvaluation. This "double whammy" of selling
pressure essentially pushes price lower, as responsive sellers take control of the market and push price back
toward fair value.
PivotBoss Wick Reversal SetupPATTERN SUMMARY
1. The body is used to determine the size oftlle reversal wick. A wick tllat is between 2.5 to 3.5 times larger than
the size of the body is ideal.
2. For a bullish reversal wick to exist, tlle close ofthe bar should fall witllin tlle top 35 percent of the overall range
of the candle.
3. For a bearish reversal wick to exist, the close of the bar should fall within the bottom 35 percent of the overall
range of the candle.
PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
Figure 2-4 shows several types of bullish and bearish reversal wick candlesticks that can all signal
profitable reversal opportunities in the market, especially if these patterns are paired with key pivot levels. In
traditional candlestick jargon, these particular candlesticks would have names ranging from hammer , hanging
man, inverted hammer , shooting star , gravestone doji , or dragonfly doji , depending on where the candle is
placed in a trend. Now you can see why I simply call these candlesticks wicks, or even tails. Instead of fumbling
over the proper naming of these candlesticks , I believe it is more important to know what these patterns
represent. What are they telling you?
Types of Candlestick Reversal Wicks
When the market has been trending lower then suddenly forms a reversal wick candlestick , the likelihood of
a reversal increases since buyers have finally begun to overwhelm the sellers. Selling pressure rules the decline,
but responsive buyers entered the market due to perceived undervaluation. For the reversal wick to open near the
high of the candle, sell off sharply intra-bar, and then rally back toward the open of the candle is bullish , as it
signifies that the bears no longer have control since they were not able to extend the decline of the candle, or the
trend. Instead, the bulls were able to rally price from the lows of the candle and close the bar near the top of its
range, which is bullish - at least for one bar, which hadn't been the case during the bearish trend (see Figure 2.5).
The Stages of a Reversal Wick
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3
Essentially, when a reversal wick forms at the extreme of a trend, the market is telling you that the trend
either has stalled or is on the verge of a reversal. Remember, the market auctions higher in search of sellers, and
lower in search of buyers. When the market over-extends itself in search of market participants, it will find itself
out of value, which means responsive market participants will look to enter the market to push price back toward
an area of perceived value. This will help price find a value area for two-sided trade to take place. When the
market finds itself too far out of value, responsive market participants will sometimes enter the market with
force, which aggressively pushes price in the opposite direction, essentially forming reversal wick candlesticks .
This pattern is perhaps the most telling and common reversal setup, but requires steadfast confirmation in order
to capitalize on its power. Understanding the psychology behind these formations and learning to identify them
quickly will allow you to enter positions well ahead of the crowd, especially if you've spotted these patterns at
potentially overvalued or undervalued areas.
PivotBoss Extreme Reversal SetupPATTERN SUMMARY
1. The first bar of the pattern is about two times larger than the average size of the candles in the lookback
period.
2. The body of the first bar of the pattern should encompass more than 50 percent of the bar's total range, but
usually not more than 85 percent.
3. The second bar of the pattern opposes the first. If the first bar of the pattern is bullish (C > 0), then the second
bar must be bearish (C < 0). If the first bar is bearish (C < 0), then the second bar must be bullish (C > 0).
PATTERN PSYCHOLOGY
The extreme reversal setup is a clever pattern that capitalizes on the ongoing psychological patterns of
investors, traders, and institutions. Basically, the setup looks for an extreme pattern of selling pressure and then
looks to fade this behavior to capture a bullish move higher (reverse for shorts). In essence, this setup is visually
pointing out oversold and overbought scenarios that forces responsive buyers and sellers to come out of the dark
and put their money to work-price has been over-extended and must be pushed back toward a fair area of value
so two-sided trade can take place.
This setup works because many normal investors, or casual traders, head for the exits once their trade
begins to move sharply against them. When this happens, price becomes extremely overbought or oversold,
creating value for responsive buyers and sellers. Therefore, savvy professionals will see that price is above or
below value and will seize the opportunity. When the scared money is selling, the smart money begins to buy, and
Vice versa.
Look at it this way, when the market sells off sharply in one giant candlestick, traders that were short
during the drop begin to cover their profitable positions by buying. Likewise, the traders that were on the
sidelines during the sell-off now see value in lower prices and begin to buy, thus doubling up on the buying
pressure. This helps to spark a sharp v-bottom reversal that pushes price in the opposite direction back toward
fair value.
XPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop StrategyXPloRR MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy
Long term MA-Trailing-Stop strategy with Adjustable Signal Strength to beat Buy&Hold strategy
None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy.
Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades. 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade.
My buy strategy is triggered by the fast buy EMA (blue) crossing over the slow buy SMA curve (orange) and the fast buy EMA has a certain up strength.
My sell strategy is triggered by either one of these conditions:
the EMA(6) of the close value is crossing under the trailing stop value (green) or
the fast sell EMA (navy) is crossing under the slow sell SMA curve (red) and the fast sell EMA has a certain down strength.
The trailing stop value (green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value.
ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between the high and low values.
The scripts shows a lot of graphical information:
The close value is shown in light-green. When the close value is lower then the buy value, the close value is shown in light-red. This way it is possible to evaluate the virtual losses during the trade.
the trailing stop value is shown in dark-green. When the sell value is lower then the buy value, the last color of the trade will be red (best viewed when zoomed)(in the example, there are 2 trades that end in gain and 2 in loss (red line at end))
the EMA and SMA values for both buy and sell signals are shown as a line
the buy and sell(close) signals are labeled in blue
How to use this strategy?
Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is tune the right parameters to get the best strategy values voor EMA , SMA, Strength for both buy and sell and the Trailing Stop (#ATR).
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values Percent Profitable and Net Profit (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters)
Then keep using these parameters for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock.
Do the same for other stocks.
Important : optimizing these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
Here are the parameters:
Fast EMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Buy: buy trigger when Fast EMA Buy crosses over the Slow SMA Buy value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Buy Strength: minimum upward trend value of the Fast SMA Buy value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Fast EMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 10-20)
Slow SMA Sell: sell trigger when Fast EMA Sell crosses under the Slow SMA Sell value (use values between 30-100)
Minimum Sell Strength: minimum downward trend value of the Fast SMA Sell value (directional coefficient)(use values between 0-120)
Trailing Stop (#ATR): the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value (use values between 2-20)
Example parameters for different stocks (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now) compared to the Buy&Hold Strategy(=do nothing):
BEKB(Bekaert): EMA-Buy=12, SMA-Buy=44, Strength-Buy=65, EMA-Sell=12, SMA-Sell=55, Strength-Sell=120, Stop#ATR=20
NetProfit: 996%, #Trades: 6, %Profitable: 83%, Buy&HoldProfit: 78%
BAR(Barco): EMA-Buy=16, SMA-Buy=80, Strength-Buy=44, EMA-Sell=12, SMA-Sell=45, Strength-Sell=82, Stop#ATR=9
NetProfit: 385%, #Trades: 7, %Profitable: 71%, Buy&HoldProfit: 55%
AAPL(Apple): EMA-Buy=12, SMA-Buy=45, Strength-Buy=40, EMA-Sell=19, SMA-Sell=45, Strength-Sell=106, Stop#ATR=8
NetProfit: 6900%, #Trades: 7, %Profitable: 71%, Buy&HoldProfit: 2938%
TNET(Telenet): EMA-Buy=12, SMA-Buy=45, Strength-Buy=27, EMA-Sell=19, SMA-Sell=45, Strength-Sell=70, Stop#ATR=14
NetProfit: 129%, #Trade
Noro's Accuracy Strategy v1.0Strategy with a piramiding (leverage is necessary)
Only long
Than the accuracy is more
the there are more profitable trades
the there are less signals
the profit is less
For:
- any asset (forex, stocks, crypto, etc)
- any timeframe
Recomended:
Accuracy = 1-10
MA period = 100-1000