S&P 500 Long Only Investment Strategy, Achernar (by ChartArt)Here is my strategy with the working title "Achernar", which works best with the published default setting on the 'CBOE' 'S&P 500' daily chart. The strategy is intended for investments in long-term time-frames (the current average of the trades is a holding period of over 1000 days). The setting allows to use the 'CBOE' as price source (default) or the Tradingview TVC index, which uses a 'CFD' of the 'S&P 500' as price source. Please beware that there is a typo: This strategy does not go short, it closes the long trades and goes into cash instead, therefore this is a long only strategy.
If you don't want to lose all your money due to some random strategy you found on the Internet, here is a warning:
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
P.S. The published script does not show the other trade entries on the screenshot above. Here is how the strategy looks like on the chart:
SPX (S&P 500 Index)
SPY Master v1.0This is a simple swing trading algorithm that uses a fast RSI-EMA to trigger buy/cover signals and a slow RSI-EMA to trigger sell/short signals for SPY, an xchange-traded fund for the S&P 500.
The idea behind this strategy follows the premise that most profitable momentum trades usually occur during periods when price is trending up or down. Periods of flat price actions are usually where most unprofitable trades occur. Because we cannot predict exactly when trending periods will occur, the algorithm basically bets money on all trade opportunities during all market conditions. Despite an accuracy rate of only 40%, the algorithm's asymmetric risk/reward profile allows the average winner to be 2x the average loser. The end result is a positive (profitable) net payout.
TRADING RULES:
Buy/Cover = EMA3(RSI2) cross> 50
Sell/Short = EMA5(RSI2) cross< 50
BACKTEST SETTINGS:
- Period = March 2011 - Present
- Initial capital = $10,000
- Dividends excluded
- Trading costs excluded
PERFORMANCE COMPARISON:
There are 657 trades, which means 1,314 orders. Assuming each order costs $2 (what I pay for at Interactive Brokers), total trading costs should be $2,628.
-SPY (buy & hold) = 132.73 ---> 193.22 = +45.57% (dividends excluded)
-SPY Master v1.0 = $12,649 - $2,628 = $10,021 = +100.21%
DISCLAIMER: None of my ideas and posts are investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. This strategy was constructed with the benefit of hindsight and its future performance cannot be guaranteed.