Volatility SpeedometerThe Volatility Speedometer indicator provides a visual representation of the rate of change of volatility in the market. It helps traders identify periods of high or low volatility and potential trading opportunities. The indicator consists of a histogram that depicts the volatility speed and an average line that smoothes out the volatility changes.
The histogram displayed by the Volatility Speedometer represents the rate of change of volatility. Positive values indicate an increase in volatility, while negative values indicate a decrease. The height of the histogram bars represents the magnitude of the volatility change. A higher histogram bar suggests a more significant change in volatility.
Additionally, the Volatility Speedometer includes a customizable average line that smoothes out the volatility changes over the specified lookback period. This average line helps traders identify the overall trend of volatility and its direction.
To enhance the interpretation of the Volatility Speedometer, color zones are used to indicate different levels of volatility speed. These color zones are based on predefined threshold levels. For example, green may represent high volatility speed, yellow for moderate speed, and fuchsia for low speed. Traders can customize these threshold levels based on their preference and trading strategy.
By monitoring the Volatility Speedometer, traders can gain insights into changes in market volatility and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. For example, during periods of high volatility speed, traders may consider employing strategies that capitalize on price swings, while during low volatility speed, they may opt for strategies that focus on range-bound price action.
Adjusting the inputs of the Volatility Speedometer indicator can provide valuable insights and flexibility to traders. By modifying the inputs, traders can customize the indicator to suit their specific trading style and preferences.
One input that can be adjusted is the "Lookback Period." This parameter determines the number of periods considered when calculating the rate of change of volatility. Increasing the lookback period can provide a broader perspective of volatility changes over a longer time frame. This can be beneficial for swing traders or those focusing on longer-term trends. On the other hand, reducing the lookback period can provide more responsiveness to recent volatility changes, making it suitable for day traders or those looking for short-term opportunities.
Another adjustable input is the "Volatility Measure." In the provided code, the Average True Range (ATR) is used as the volatility measure. However, traders can choose other volatility indicators such as Bollinger Bands, Standard Deviation, or custom volatility measures. By experimenting with different volatility measures, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and select the indicator that best aligns with their trading strategy.
Additionally, the "Thresholds" inputs allow traders to define specific levels of volatility speed that are considered significant. Modifying these thresholds enables traders to adapt the indicator to different market conditions and their risk tolerance. For instance, increasing the thresholds may highlight periods of extreme volatility and help identify potential breakout opportunities, while lowering the thresholds may focus on more moderate volatility shifts suitable for range trading or trend-following strategies.
Remember, it is essential to combine the Volatility Speedometer with other technical analysis tools and indicators to make informed trading decisions.
Volatile
ADX Trend FilterADX Trend Filter Indicator is a traditional ADX indicator with a different presentation. its consist of two indicators EMA TREND and ADX / DMI
About Indicator:
1. BAND / EMA band to represent EMA Trend of EMA-12 and EMA-50
(Band is plotted at level-20 which is the Threshold level of DMI / ADX indicator)
2. Histogram showing the direction of ADX / DMI trend
3. Area behind the histogram showing ADX/DMI strength
How to use?
1. Histogram represents current Trend Red for Bearish / Green for Bullish
2. Area behind the histogram represents Strength of ADX / DMI Threshold level is 0-20(represented as band). (Area below the Band is Sideways)
3. Band represents the current MA Trend.
4. Buy Sell signals are plotted as triangles in red/green obtained from ADX / DMI Crossovers
Buy Signal (Green Triangle on band- ADX Crossover)
1.Band below Histogram must be Green
2.Histogram must be green
3.Area behind histogram must be above the lower trend band (20level) and visible
Sell Signal (Red Triangle on band- ADX Crossover)
1.Band below Histogram must be Red
2.Histogram must be Red
3.Area behind histogram must be above the lower trend band (20level) and visible
Alerts provided for ADX crossovers.
Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Trend Analysis Index [CC]The Trend Analysis Index was created by Adam White and not to be confused with the Trend Analysis Indicator that I also published. This indicator operates under the same idea but using a completely different calculation to achieve similar results. The idea behind this indicator is for a combination of volatility and trend confirmation. If the indicator is above it's signal line then the stock is very volatile and vice versa. If the stock is currently trending as in above a chosen moving average for example and the indicator falls below the signal line then there is a pretty good chance in a trend reversal. The recommended buy and sell system to use is to pair this indicator with a moving average crossover system which I have included in the script. Buy when the indicator is above it's signal and the shorter moving average crosses above the longer moving average. For selling you would do the same and sell when the indicator is above it's signal and the shorter moving average crosses below the longer moving average. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to the normal ones so stronger signals are darker in color and normal signals are lighter in color.
Let me know what other indicators or scripts you would like to see me publish!
Speed IndicatorThe indicator showcases the Speed at which the prices change based on the set length. It does not show trend direction simply because Speed is a scalar quantity. It helps to identify when the prices are racing, slowing down, or in a range.
The formula used for calculation is Speed = Total Distance Travelled / Time.
Time is the period range that can be defined to set the lookback period.
The length is calculated by finding the absolute value of the difference between the current and closing prices one period ago. The lengths are added for the defined Time, and the Total Distance Travelled by the price is calculated. The formula of 'current price' - price 'Time' periods ago is not used, which calculates the displacement of the price used in figuring the velocity .
The Speed is then calculated using the defined formula.
For example, in the last 20 days, a stock price moved a total of 15000 points, then the Speed of the price would be 750 points per day. Therefore the price is expected to be moving around 750 points, either up or down.
There is also an application of the Donchian Channels to the calculated Speed. It helps to define a dynamic range of the Speed and easily visualize if the Speed is increasing, decreasing, or being stable. The range showcases a Speedometer , hence easing the interpretation of the Speed. Speed Range can also be customized for the Donchian channel. The contraction of the channels would occur when the Speed has been steady for some time, which would mean the price has not moved out from its range.
The importance of the indicator is to identify when the prices have slowed down to enter positions safely, since entering positions during higher speeds would be like jumping onto a fast-moving train. Although, it is up to the user's risk appetite if they wish to enter during low speeds or high speeds. The basic strategy is to enter during slow speeds, hold as speed increases, exit as Speed starts to slow down for its highs. That is the basic idea but can be customized as per the user.
Ultimate Volatility Indicator [CC]The Ultimate Volatility Indicator was created by Richard Poster (Stocks and Commodities July 2021 pg 21) and this is a very simple but effective indicator. The idea behind volatility indicators is that when the indicator rises above a certain threshold then volatility is high enough and you can make a good amount of money riding the trend in the current direction and then exit when volatility drops below the threshold or until the underlying trend changes.
I have included a threshold that you can change from the default but I would recommend trying out different values to see what works best for you. This indicator will let you know as soon as volatility increases and reacts very quickly. I have included strong buy and sell signals in addition to normal ones so darker colors are strong buy and sell signals and lighter colors are normal signals. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Please let me know if you would like to see me publish any other indicators!
Sigma Spikes [CC]Sigma Spikes were created by Adam Grimes and this is one of the best volatility indicators out there. This indicator not only gives you positive or negative volatility but with my version I can identify any sudden changes from the underlying trend. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there were any other indicators you wanted to see me publish!
Ehlers AM Detector [CC]The AM Detector was created by John Ehlers (Stocks and Commodities May 2021 pg 14) and this is his first volatility indicator I believe. Since this is a more informational indicator rather than a buy or sell signal generator, I have included buy and sell signals for a simple moving average but feel free to use this in combo with any other system you use. Buy when the line turns green and sell when it turns red.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like to see me publish!
Historical Volatility Percentile + SMAHistorical Volatility Percentile tells you the percentage of the days from the past year (252 trading days) that have lower volatility than the current volatility.
I included a simple moving average as a signal line to show you how volatile the stock is at the moment.
I have included simple colors to let you know when to enter or exit a position.
Buy when price higher than EMA & historical volatility higher than SMA
Sell when price lower than EMA & historical volatility higher than SMA
Please let me know if you would like me to publish any other indicators! I always love to hear from you guys.
Cash in/Cash out Report (CICO) - Quiets market noiseThe cash in/cash out report (CICO for short) was built with the intent to quiet the market noise. The blunt way to say it, this indicator quiets the market manipulators voice and helps the retail investor make more money. I believe money is better of in the 99% hands versus the greedy hoarding that is currently going on. There are dozens of companies in the SP500 that have the same tax rate as unborn babies, nada. These hoarders also have machine learning high frequency trading bots that purposely create fear and anxiety in the markets. When all of the major markets move at the exact same time of day on frequent occasions, I see red flags. I recommend looking into Authorized participants in the ETF market to understand how the markets can be manipulated, specifically Creation and Redemption.
Enough of my rant. This indicator is open source. Directions on how to use the indicator can be found within the code. The basic summary is, clear your charts to bare minimums. Make the colors gray on all candles. Then apply this indicator. The indicator will color the "buy" and "sell" signals on the chart. Keep in mind, markets are manipulated to create fear in the retail investors little heart and can change drastically at any second. This indicator will show real time changes in running sum into and out of the market, it is estimated by average prices and not exact.
Once the chart is all greyed out and the indicator is applied you will see an area colored red and green. What this indicator does is takes a running sum of the new money into and out of the market. It takes the average of the high and low price times the volume. If the price is going up the value is positive, going down will be negative. Then the running sum is displayed. The area section is the running sum and the column bars are each value. When a market is steadily increasing in value you will see the large green area grow. When markets shift, values and display will change in color and vector. Full descriptions are available within the script in the comment sections.
I hope this help you make more money. If this helps you grow profits, give it a like!
Happy investing 99%er!
Volatile Stocks - Simple Strategy w/Profit and StopThis strategy is based off of a script I wrote for another highly volatile asset, cryptocurrencies. It prints BUY and SELL signals based off of inputs that you can specify. I used this script as a time saver. If there is no signal on the chart, I'm less interested in analyzing it.
BUY SIGNALS
Bullish EMA Cross
Positive MACD Cross
Single-candle gains
SELL SIGNALS
Profit %
Stop Loss %
Naturally, I don't trade based off of the BUY and SELL signals alone, but it does help me identify the most important charts to look at.
Seismic Market Spike Detector v1.0 Seismic Market Spike Detector v1.0
This indicator helps identify spikes in market activity , typified by bars with extreme open / close or high / low prices.
This indicator plots 2 lines. The Blue line simply depicts extreme price movements with in that bar regardless of the initial opening price of the closing price of the bar. This allows you to get an insight into the current volatility of the price at that time in the market. Quite often big price swings with in bars are missed as people pend to tunnel vision on the open or close price - or other indicators derived from open / close.
The Red line is similar to the blue bar as it depicts extreme price movements with in the bar , but it will show the direction the market moved in by the close of the bar - and relatively how much the market moved. This is helpful for spotting breakout price action or short term spikes. Quite often after a breakout the market will restore itself to an equilibrium in the opposite direction. Sometimes this happens with an opposing aggressive spike , some times it makes a steady return to a known price level. Either way its a great time to place entry orders if you are looking to turn a fast profit or alternatively a good warning of forth coming price volatility.
Here are some tips for analysing the red and blue lines :
1)If the red line is pointing upwards , this indicates a sharp rise in the price.
2)If the red line is pointing downwards , this indicates a sharp fall in the price.
3)If the red line is flat but the blue line is spiked in either direction - this indicates the price was volatile with in the bar , but the price closed relatively near to the surrounding price bars. Perhaps a limit / stop triggered by this kind of activity - this is an easy way to determine why and re-enter.
4)If the red and the blue lines are flat - the price is steadily moving with a trend or trading sideways in a confined range.
Chauvenet RadiusThe Chauvenet criterion is a well-known criterion of selection and rejection of the data used by the Physics. It establishes that in an experiment is well to discard the data whose distance from the average is greater than a certain number of the delta.
In the stock market if prices move away from the average with a volatility too high are suspect. This principle is embodied in the Chauvenet floor with the definition of two asymptotes and two data areas rejection.
The Chauvenet Radius is the quadratic sum of the delta (distance from average) and sigmoid (volatility) and is therefore an obvious market stability index. In fact the moments when price strongly moves away from the average with high volatility coincide with the moments of high instability of the market.
It can be considered an evolution of John Bollinger method introduced during the '80.
Source: www.performancetrading.it
