Volatility Trend (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Volatility Trend (Zeiierman) is an indicator designed to help traders identify and analyze market trends based on price volatility. By calculating a dynamic trend line and volatility-adjusted bands, the indicator provides visual cues to understand the current market direction, potential reversal points and volatility.
█ How It Works
The indicator uses a weighted moving average of historical prices to create a responsive trend line that is adjusted for volatility using standard deviation. The indicator sets upper and lower bands at intervals of two standard deviations, acting as markers for potential overbought or oversold conditions. Additionally, by comparing current and previous trend line values, the indicator identifies the trend direction, providing crucial insights for traders.
█ How to Use
Trend Identification
Use the trend line to identify the overall market direction. An upward-sloping line indicates an uptrend, while a downward-sloping line indicates a downtrend.
Volatility Assessment
Use the distance between the upper and lower bands to gauge market volatility. Wider bands indicate higher volatility, while narrower bands indicate lower volatility.
Overbought/Oversold
If the price reaches or exceeds the upper or lower bands, it may be in an overbought or oversold condition, respectively.
█ Settings
Trend Control: Adjusts the sensitivity and smoothness of the trend line. Lower values make the trend more responsive, while higher values make it smoother.
Trend Dynamic: Controls how quickly the trend adjusts to price changes. Higher values result in a slower adjustment.
Volatility: Consists of two parts - the scaling factor for volatility and the sensitivity for volatility adjustment. Adjusting these settings alters the distance between the trend lines and the price, as well as how sensitive the bands are to changes in volatility.
Squeeze Control: Influences the degree to which market squeeze is considered in the calculation, with higher values increasing sensitivity.
Enable Scalping Trend: A toggle that, when activated, makes the indicator focus on short-term trends, which is particularly useful for scalping strategies.
█ Related scripts with the same calculation philosophy
TrendCylinder
TrendSphere
Predictive Trend and Structure
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Volatilityindex
K's Reversal Indicator IIIK's Reversal Indicator III is based on the concept of autocorrelation of returns. The main theory is that extreme autocorrelation (trending) that coincide with a technical signals such as one from the RSI, may result in a powerful short-term signal that can be exploited.
The indicator is calculated as follows:
1. Calculate the price differential (returns) as the current price minus the previous price.
2. the correlation between the current return and the return from 14 periods ago using a lookback of 14 periods.
3. Calculate a 14-period RSI on the close prices.
To generate the signals, use the following rules:
* A bullish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is below 40.
* A bearish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is above 60.
L&S Volatility Index Refurbished█ Introduction
This is my second version of the L&S Volatility Index, hence the name "Refurbished".
The first version can be found at this link:
The reason I released a separate version is because I rewrote the source code from scratch with the aim of both improving the indicator and staying as close as possible to the original concept.
I feel that the first version was somewhat exotic and polluted in relation to the indicator originally described by the authors.
In short, the main idea remains the same, however, the way of presenting the result has been changed, reiterating what was said.
█ CONCEPTS
The L&S Volatility Index measures the volatility of price in relation to a moving average.
The indicator was originally described by Brazilian traders Alexandre Wolwacz (Stormer) and Fábio Figueiredo (Vlad) from L&S Educação Financeira.
Basically, this indicator can be used in two ways:
1. In a mean reversion strategy, when there is an unusual distance from it;
2. In a trend following strategy, when the price is in an acceptable region.
As an indicator of volatility, the greatest utility is shown in first case.
This is because it allows identifying abnormal prices, extremely stretched in relation to an average, including market crashes.
How the calculation is done:
First, the distance of the price from a given average in percentage terms is measured.
Then, the historical average volatility is obtained.
Finally the indicator is calculated through the ratio between the distance and the historical volatility.
According to the description proposed by the creators, when the L&S Volatility Index is above 30 it means that the price is "stretched".
The closer to 100 the more stretched.
When it reaches 0, it means the price is on average.
█ What to look for
Basically, you should look at non-standard prices.
How to identify it?
When the oscillator is outside the Dynamic Zone and/or the Fixed Zone (above 30), it is because the price is stretched.
Nothing on the market is guaranteed.
As with the RSI, it is not because the RSI is overbought or oversold that the price will necessarily go down or up.
It is critical to know when NOT to buy, NOT to sell or NOT to do anything.
It is always important to consider the context.
█ Improvements
The following improvements have been implemented.
It should be noted that these improvements can be disabled, thus using the indicator in the "purest" version, the same as the one conceived by the creators.
Resources:
1. Customization of limits and zones:
2. Customization of the timeframe, which can be different from the current one.
3. Repaint option (prints the indicator in real time even if the bar has not yet closed. This produces more signals).
4. Customization of price inputs. This affects the calculation.
5. Customization of the reference moving average (the moving average used to calculate the price distance).
6. Customization of the historical volatility calculation strategy.
- Accumulated ATR: calculates the historical volatility based on the accumulated ATR.
- Returns: calculates the historical volatility based on the returns of the source.
Both forms of volatility calculation have their specific utilities and applications.
Therefore, it is worthwhile to have both approaches available, and one should not necessarily replace the other.
Each method has its advantages and may be more appropriate in different contexts.
The first approach, using the accumulated ATR, can be useful when you want to take into account the implied volatility of prices over time,
reflecting broader price movements and higher impact events. It can be especially relevant in scenarios where unexpected events can drastically affect prices.
The second approach, using the standard deviation of returns, is more common and traditionally used to measure historical volatility.
It considers the variability of prices relative to their average, providing a more general measure of market volatility.
Therefore, both forms of calculation have their merits and can be useful depending on the context and specific analysis needs.
Having both options available gives users flexibility in choosing the most appropriate volatility measure for the situation at hand.
* When choosing "Accumulated ATR", if the indicator becomes difficult to see, there are 3 possibilities:
a) manually adjust the Fixed Zone value;
b) disable the Fixed Zone and use only the Dynamic Zone;
c) normalize the indicator.
7. Signal line (a moving average of the oscillator).
8. Option to normalize the indicator or not.
9. Colors to facilitate direction interpretation.
Since the L&S is a volatility indicator, it does not show whether the price is rising or falling.
This can sometimes confuse the user.
That said, the idea here is to show certain colors where the price is relative to the average, making it easier to analyze.
10. Alert messages for automations.
Volatility FilterThe "Volatility Filter" script is designed to measure market volatility across two different timeframes and determine whether the market is flat or trending.
It uses custom-tuned versions of four different indicators to measure volatility and distinguish between trending and ranging conditions.
The selected indicators are:
1 - Average Directional Index (ADX) Volatility
2 - Damiani Volameter
3 - Trader Pressure Index (TPI)
4 - Williams Alligator Indicator
The script calculates a filter score for both the current timeframe and a user-specified higher timeframe. It offers two types of filter scores, controlled by the 'FilterType' parameter. The filter score is then visualized on the chart as the main oscillator for the current timeframe and a filled bar for the higher timeframe.
The script utilizes a custom moving average function that provides 17 different ways to calculate a moving average, giving the user extensive flexibility in tailoring the script to their needs.
By using custom indicators and unique score calculation methods across two timeframes, this script provides a comprehensive measure of market volatility, aiding traders in identifying trending and ranging market conditions.
This script also provides two additional parameters for tuning its calculations and output, allowing to adjust the script to any trading style and the characteristics of the market being traded.
1 - Threshold: This parameter sets a threshold that the oscillator needs to surpass for the current market move to be considered as a trend. By adjusting the threshold, traders can control how much volatility is required to register a move as trending. A higher threshold will require more volatility for a trend to be recognized, meaning that the market needs to be moving more strongly for a trend to be identified.
2 - Length: This parameter is used to smooth the oscillator. It determines the number of periods used in the calculation of the moving average of the volatility filter score. A longer length will consider more data points and therefore provide a smoother line, which can be useful in accounting for the fading of trends. When trends start to lose their strength but are still present, a longer length can help in maintaining the recognition of the trend, aiding in making accurate trading decisions.
By adjusting these parameters, traders can fine-tune the script's sensitivity to market volatility and its recognition of trends, providing valuable flexibility in adapting to different market conditions and trading strategies.
Average Range PercentageIt is indicator for average percent range (range from high to low of stock/index price) of N days,
This will help to find high percentage moving stock/index for intraday.
TTP VIX SpyTTP VIX Spy is an indicator that uses data from TVC:VIX to better time entries in the market.
The assumption used is that when the VIX is coming down from the top of its range then the risk on assets can move to the upside and when the VIX is is pushing higher there's a high likelihood or risk on assets going down.
This indicator observes the momentum of VIX using MACD. It offers two different signals both for longs and shorts: signal 1 and 2.
Signal 1 is activate when the begging of a new trend for the VIX is confirmed.
Signal 2 is activated when the VIX pulls back from an extreme value.
You can configure the parameters of the internal super trend and the look back for the slope applied to price and RSIs.
The indicator offers the following filter parameters:
- Price RSI slope: it filters signals that have RSI slope pointing in the opposite direction of the signal.
- Counter trend: it filters signals that are not counter trending super trend.
- Wide BBW: it filters signals that happen when there hasn't been high price volatility
- Price slope: it filters signals when the price is not pointing in the direction of the signal (buy: up, sell: down)
- VIX RSI filter: it filters VIX RSI values overextended. MACD can be in the right range, but sometimes RSI contradicts it. By default is OFF since it can cause false negatives.
- Working days only: it filters signals that occur in the weekend.
The colours below the price action show how the VIX momentum is changing. Transitions from red into pink and then green show how the fear is fading which tends to lead to lead to bullish moves, and the opposite when the transitions are from green to red.
Performance and initial thoughts.
I have tried VIX Spy on both BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P and BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P and it seems to offer a decent win ratio. As you can see I had to add many filter to remove bad entries and left toggles available to decide which ones you want to use.
I tried the signal in the 4H, 1H and 15min with mixed results. I tend to incline for the results in the 1H.
VIX signal offers a backtestable stream and alerts both for signals 1 and 2.
AggBands (v1) [qrsq]The "AggBands" indicator is a custom trading indicator designed to provide a consolidated view of the price action across multiple assets or trading pairs. It combines the price data from multiple tickers and calculates an aggregated price using user-defined weights for each ticker.
The indicator starts by defining the tickers to be included in the aggregation. You can choose from predefined configurations such as "BTC PAIRS," "CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP," "TOP 5 PAIRS," "TOP 5 MEMECOINS," "SPX," "DXY," or "FANG." Each configuration includes specific tickers or indices relevant to the chosen category.
The indicator then fetches the closing, high, and low prices for each ticker and applies the user-defined weights to calculate the aggregated prices. The aggregated prices are normalized within a specified length to provide a consistent scale across different assets or pairs.
Next, the indicator calculates the midpoint, which is the average of the highest high and lowest low of the aggregated prices over a specified aggregation period.
To assess the volatility, the indicator calculates the price range and applies the Average True Range (ATR) indicator to determine the volatility value. The standard deviation is then computed using the price range and aggregation period, with an additional scaling factor applied to the volatility value.
Based on the standard deviation, the indicator generates multiple bands above and below the midpoint. By default, three standard deviation bands are calculated, but the user can choose between one and five bands. The upper and lower bands are smoothed using various moving average (MA) types, such as Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA/RMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), or Arnaud Legoux Moving Average (ALMA). The user can also adjust the length, offset, and sigma parameters for the moving averages.
The indicator can optionally smooth the midpoint, upper bands, and lower bands using a separate set of moving average parameters.
The indicator can be useful for traders and analysts who want to gain a consolidated view of price movements across multiple assets or trading pairs. It helps identify trends, volatility, and potential support and resistance levels based on the aggregated price and standard deviation bands. Traders can use this information to make informed decisions about trading strategies, risk management, and market analysis.
Daily Factor Indicator [CC]The Daily Factor Indicator was created by Andrea Unger (Stocks and Commodities Jun 2023 pgs 26-31), and this is a new volatility indicator that compares the body, which is the absolute difference between the previous open and previous close, and the range which is the difference between the previous high and previous low. The indicator is calculated by dividing the body and range to determine the volatility for the previous bar. This indicator will range between 0 and 1. Values closer to 1 mean very high volatility, and values closer to 0 mean very low volatility. I have introduced a simple moving average strategy to decide buy or sell signals and colors. Darker colors mean the indicator is above the threshold level, and lighter colors mean the indicator is below the threshold level. Colors are shades of green when the price is above the moving average and shades of red when the price is below the moving average. Feel free to try out your own threshold level and general buy and sell signals.
Let me know if there are any other indicators you would like me to publish!
Volatility Impulse [VI] (Expo)█ Overview
The Volatility Impulse Indicator is a trading tool that measures the rate of change in an asset's price volatility. It helps identify potential market entry or exit points by signaling high or low volatility periods, which could suggest increased price momentum or consolidation. The Volatility Impulse Indicator will spike when the market is highly volatile, indicating a potential trend reversal or breakout. Conversely, when the market is less volatile, the indicator will be more stable, indicating a possible continuation of the current trend.
█ Trend Feature
Adding a Trend feature to the volatility line makes the indicator a complete trading tool that can be used in many strategies. This trend feature capitalizes on the historical price momentum to determine the current trend direction, providing additional context and insight for traders. The historical price momentum essentially encapsulates the speed and strength of price changes over a certain period. By integrating this information into the volatility indicator, traders gain a clearer picture of not only the magnitude of price fluctuations but also the prevailing trend in the market.
█ How is the Volatility Impulse calculated?
The Volatility Impulse Indicator is based on the principle that volatility precedes price action. Therefore, they are useful in predicting future price movements.
In this calculation, we're determining volatility by looking at the greatest absolute difference in price. This is done by comparing two separate things:
The highest price and a previous highest price: The code is essentially looking back at a specific number of bars ('Length') and finding the highest price during that period. It then compares that highest price to the previous highest price (found during the previous 'Length' period). The difference between these two gives a measure of how much the highest price is changing.
The lowest price and a previous lowest price: Similar to the highest price, the code looks back at a specific number of bars and finds the lowest price. It then compares that to the lowest price of the previous period. The difference gives a measure of how much the lowest price is changing.
The 'greatest absolute difference' means it's considering the magnitude of the change, not the direction. So whether the price is increasing or decreasing doesn't matter here - it's the size of the change that counts.
This way of calculating volatility is looking at how much the extreme values (the highest and lowest prices) are changing. If these values are changing a lot, it suggests that price movements are quite volatile. Conversely, if the highest and lowest prices aren't changing much, it suggests lower volatility.
█ How to use
Using the Volatility Impulse Indicator is relatively simple.
Identify potential trend reversals: When the Volatility Impulse Indicator shows a spike, indicating high volatility, traders can look for potential trend reversals.
Volatility Retracement: Volatility retracement takes place in the direction of the ongoing trend and can be interpreted as a sign that the retracement phase is over or exhausted. This typically indicates that enough retail stop losses have been triggered or that sufficient profit-taking has been completed. Both of these factors can contribute to a pause or a reversal in the trend's direction, leading to a temporary spike in volatility.
Volatility Breakout: Sudden and rapid price movement beyond a certain level may indicate a potential breakout. This event suggests that the price has enough momentum to continue its direction, marking the breakout as valid.
Trend Confirmation: When the volatility line reaches its upper or lower band, it indicates an increase in volatility, suggesting a strengthening trend. When the volatility line oscillates around the midline, it may indicate decreasing volatility and a weakening trend or consolidation.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: If the volatility line is above the upper line, it could indicate an overbought situation, suggesting a potential reversal or pullback, a perfect place to take partial profit. Conversely, a volatility line below the lower band may signal an oversold market, suggesting a possible upward movement or reversal, a perfect place to take partial profit.
Manage risk: Traders can use the Volatility Impulse Indicator to manage risk. When the market is highly volatile, traders can place stop-loss orders at strategic levels, thereby limiting their risk.
█ Any Alert Function Call
Any alert function call allows traders to combine predefined alerts. For example, they can pair 'trend is positive' with 'volatility line spikes below the lower band,' and so on.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Fierytrading: Volatility DepthDear Tradingview community,
I'd like to share one of my staple indicators with you. The volatility depth indicator calculates the volatility over a 7-day period and plots it on your chart.
This indicator only works for the DAILY chart on BTC/USD.
Colors
I've color coded the indicator as follows:
- Red: Extreme Volatility
- Orange: High Volatility
- Yellow: Normal Volatility
- Green: Low Volatility
Red: extreme changes in price. Often during local tops and bottoms.
Orange: higher than average moves in price. Often before or after a "red" period. Often seen in the middle of bear or bull markets.
Yellow: normal price action. Often seen during early stage bull-markets and late stage bear-markets.
Green: very low price movement. Often during times of indecision. Once this indicator becomes green, you can expect a big move in either direction. Low volatility is always followed by high volatility.
In a long-term uptrend, a green period often signals a bullish break out. In a long-term downtrend it often signals a bearish break out.
How to use
Save the indicator and apply it to your chart. You can change the length in the settings, but it's optimized for 7 days, so no need to change it.
I've build in alerts for all 4 different volatility periods. In most cases, the low volatility alert is enough.
Good luck!
Volatility Spike EstimatorPlots the Average True Range (ATR), its historical mean, the upper threshold for a volatility spike, and uses background color to show the likelihood of a volatility spike based on the current ATR value.
Green background indicates an increased likelihood of a volatility spike, while red background means a spike might have already occurred or be in progress.
Update: In this version, we added a short-term ATR calculation with an adjustable input parameter, shortTermATRLength. The likelihood of a volatility spike is now estimated based on the short-term ATR instead of the original ATR. This change makes the indicator more sensitive to recent market conditions and can help detect potential volatility spikes more quickly.
Fibonacci Volatility BandsFibonacci Volatility Bands are just an alternative that allows for more margin than regular Bollinger Bands. They are created based on an average of moving averages that use the Fibonacci sequence as lookback periods.
The use of the Fibonacci Volatility Bands is exactly the same as the Bollinger Bands.
Strategy Myth-Busting #11 - TrendMagic+SqzMom+CDV - [MYN]This is part of a new series we are calling "Strategy Myth-Busting" where we take open public manual trading strategies and automate them. The goal is to not only validate the authenticity of the claims but to provide an automated version for traders who wish to trade autonomously.
Our 11th one is an automated version of the "Magic Trading Strategy : Most Profitable Indicator : 1 Minute Scalping Strategy Crypto" strategy from "Fx MENTOR US" who doesn't make any official claims but given the indicators he was using, it looked like on the surface that this might actually work. The strategy author uses this on the 1 minute and 3 minute timeframes on mostly FOREX and Heiken Ashi candles but as the title of his strategy indicates is designed for Crypto. So who knows..
To backtest this accurately and get a better picture we resolved the Heiken Ashi bars to standard candlesticks . Even so, I was unable to sustain any consistency in my results on either the 1 or 3 min time frames and both FOREX and Crypto. 10000% Busted.
This strategy uses a combination of 3 open-source public indicators:
Trend Magic by KivancOzbilgic
Squeeze Momentum by LazyBear
Cumulative Delta Volume by LonesomeTheBlue
Trend Magic consists of two main indicators to validate momentum and volatility. It uses an ATR like a trailing Stop to determine the overarching momentum and CCI as a means to validate volatility. Together these are used as the primary indicator in this strategy. When the CCI is above 0 this is confirmation of a volatility event is occurring with affirmation based upon current momentum (ATR).
The CCI volatility indicator gets confirmation by the the Cumulative Delta Volume indicator which calculates the difference between buying and selling pressure. Volume Delta is calculated by taking the difference of the volume that traded at the offer price and the volume that traded at the bid price. The more volume that is traded at the bid price, the more likely there is momentum in the market.
And lastly the Squeeze Momentum indicator which uses a combination of Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels and Momentum are used to again confirm momentum and volatility. During periods of low volatility, Bollinger bands narrow and trade inside Keltner channels. They can only contract so much before it can’t contain the energy it’s been building. When the Bollinger bands come back out, it explodes higher. When we see the histogram bar exploding into green above 0 that is a clear confirmation of increased momentum and volatile. The opposite (red) below 0 is true when there are low periods. This indicator is used as a means to really determine when there is premium selling plays going on leading to big directional movements again confirming the positive or negative momentum and volatility direction.
If you know of or have a strategy you want to see myth-busted or just have an idea for one, please feel free to message me.
Trading Rules
1 - 3 min candles
FOREX or Crypto
Stop loss at swing high/low | 1.5 risk/ratio
Long Condition
Trend Magic line is Blue ( CCI is above 0) and above the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is green/lime
Cumulative Delta Volume line is green
Short Condition
Trend Magic line is Red ( CCI is below 0) and below the current close on the bar
Squeeze Momentum's histogram bar is red/maroon
Cumulative Delta Volume line is peach
Uber VQ - Volatility Quality Index [UTS]Name: Uber VQI - Volatility Quality Index
Created: 2022/11/22
Copyright: © UberTradingSystems
Description:
The volatility quality index was first introduced by Thomas Stridsman in Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine in the August 2002 edition.
This powerful indicator points out the difference between bad and good volatility in order to identify better trade opportunities in the market.
It is suggested to use this indicator as a confirmation signal together with the other indicators in your system.
General Usage
Stridsman suggested buying (or "to go long") when VQ has increased in the previous 10 bars and selling (or "to go short") when it has decreased in the previous 10 bars.
This indicator has been updated to reflect its modern iterations. One of the following signals are choosable trading signal generator:
VQ Sum
Short MA
Long MA
All three signal triggering conditions can selectively be drawn on the indicator for study and reference purposes.
In addition, generated buy and sell signals can be drawn on the indicator and are modifiable too.
Alerts
To allow alert notifications, generated signals are connected as selectable "Long Signal" and "Short Signal" to the indicator alerts.
The conditions can be found on the alert sections of the indicator.
In the menu right to the indicator name, press the three dots and select "Add alert on ...".
Under condition options select one of the following:
Long Signal
Short Signal
It is advised to select "Once per bar close" as alert execution option.
Moving Averages
To fine-tune the "Short MA" and "Long MA" calculation, 16 different Moving Averages are available to choose from:
ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average)
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
JURIK (Jurik Moving Average)
KAMA (Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average)
Kijun (Kijun-sen / Tenkan-sen of Ichimoku)
LSMA (Least Square Moving Average)
RMA (Running Moving Average)
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
SuperSmoothed (Super Smoothed Moving Average)
TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average)
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
ZLEMA (Zero Lag Moving Average)
A freely determinable length allows for sensitivity adjustments that fit your own requirements.
Implied Volatility Suite (TG Fork)Displays the Implied Volatility, which is usually calculated from options, but here is calculated indirectly from spot price directly, either using a model or model-free using the VIXfix.
The model-free VIXfix based approach can detect times of high volatility, which usually coincides with panic and hence lowest prices. Inversely, the model-based approach can detect times of highest greed.
Forked and updated by Tartigradia to fix some issues in the calculations, convert to pinescript v5 and reverse engineered to reproduce the "Implied Volatility Rank & Model Free IVR" indicator by the same author (but closed source) and allow to plot both model-based and model-free implied volatilities simultaneously.
If you like this indicator, please show the original author SegaRKO some love:
Percent Change Bar ChartThis script shows the percentage with regards the previous bars, the loopback period can be changed (default 1), so you can see how it fluctuates with the market and volatility
Stochastic Vix Fix SVIX (Tartigradia)The Stochastic Vix or Stochastic VixFix (SVIX), just like the Williams VixFix, is a realized volatility indicator, and can help in finding market bottoms as well as tops without requiring bollinger bands or any other construct, as the SVIX is bounded between 0-100 which allows for an objective thresholding regardless of the past.
Mathematically, SVIX is the complement of the original Stochastic Oscillator, with such a simple transform reproducing Williams' VixFix and the VIX index signals of high volatility and hence of market bottoms quite accurately but within a bounded 0-100 range. Having a predefined range allows to find markets bottoms without needing to compare to past prices using a bollinger band (Chris Moody on TradingView) nor a moving average (Hesta 2015), as a simple threshold condition (by default above 80) is sufficient to reliably signal interesting entry points at bottoming prices.
Having a predefined range allows to find markets bottoms without needing to compare to past prices using a bollinger band (Chris Moody on TradingView) nor a moving average (Hesta 2015), as a simple threshold condition (by default above 80) is sufficient to reliably signal interesting entry points at bottoming prices.
Indeed, as Williams describes in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, the Stochastic VixFix can also indicate good times to exit, when SVIX is at a low value (default: below 20), but just like the original VixFix and VIX index, exit signals are as usual much less reliable than long entries signals, because: 1) mature markets such as SP500 tend to increase over the long term, 2) when market fall, retail traders panic and hence volatility skyrockets and bottom is more reliably signalled, but at market tops, no one is panicking, price action only loses momentum because of liquidity drying up.
Compared to Hesta 2015 strategy of using a moving average over Williams' VixFix to generate entry signals, SVIX generates much fewer false positives during ranging markets, which drastically reduce Hesta 2015 strategy profitability as this incurs quite a lot of losses.
This indicator goes further than the original SVIX, by restoring the smoothed D and second-level smoothed D2 oscillators from the original Stochastic Oscillator, and use a 14-period ZLMA instead of the original 20-period SMA, to generate smoother yet responsive signals compared to using just the raw SVIX (by default, this is disabled, as the original raw SVIX is used to produce more entry signals).
Usage:
Set the timescale to daily or weekly preferably, to reduce false positives.
When the background is highlighted in green or when the highlight disappears, it is usually a good time to enter a long position.
Red background highlighting can be enabled to signal good exit zones, but these generate a lot of false positives.
To further reduce false positives, the SVIX_MA can be used to generate signals instead of the raw SVIX.
For more information on Williams' Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
For more information on the Stochastic Vix Fix (SVIX), published under Creative Commons:
Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Note: strangely, in the paper, the authors failed to mention that the SVIX is the complement of the original Stochastic Oscillator, instead reproducing just the original equation. The correct equation for the SVIX was retroengineered by comparing charts they published in the paper with charts generated by this pinescript indicator.
For a more complete indicator, see:
Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Expected SPX Movement by timeframeTHIS INDICATOR ONLY WORKS FOR SP:SPX CHART
This code will help you to measure the expected movement of SP:SPX in a previously selected timeframe based on the current value of VIX index
E.g. if the current value of VIX is 30 we calculate first the expected move of the next 12 months.
If you selected the Daily timeframe it will calculate the expected move of SPX in the next Day by dividing the current VIX Value by the squared root of 252
(The 252 value corresponds to the approximate amount of trading sessions of the year)
If you selected the Weekly timeframe it will calculate the expected move of SPX in the next Week by dividing the current VIX Value by the squared root of 52
(The 52 value corresponds to the amount of weeks of the year)
If you selected the Monthly timeframe it will calculate the expected move of SPX in the next Week by dividing the current VIX Value by the squared root of 12
(The 12 value corresponds to the amount of months of the year)
For lower timeframes you have to calculate the amount of ticks in each trading session of the year in order to get that specific range
Once you have that calculation it it'll provide the range expressed as percentage of the expected move for the following period.
This script will plot that information in a range of 2 lines which represents the expected move of the SPX for the next period
The red flag indicator tells if that period closed between the 2 previous values marked by the range
Z.A.H.It's a scalping script, which can be used using Heikin Ashi candle on 5min time frame (I personally use it for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and BINANCE:ETHUSDT scalping).
We've tried to include SL and target (1.5R and 2R) in this as well, and it works well but sometimes (please note SOMETIMES..SOMETIMES, it can be few..few pips here and there)
Idea is simple, you take the trade based on the signal given by the script and place your SL as per the script and then target 1.5R for 80% of your position and 20% for the remaining 20% of your position.
One extra thing which I've found useful is, you can use Awesome Oscillator (default setting) as well for placing SLs. If you use this method for placing SL, then just place your SL at the last green awesome oscillator candle for shorts and at the last red awesome oscillator candle for longs. From there target 1.5R and 2R.
Overall results are same for either, so you can use it as per your convenience. For any query, you can send me a DM on discord or twitter.
Volatility Percentage IndicatorThis simple indicator plot 11 lines in the chart at prices that correspond to -5%, -4%, -3%, -2%, -1%, 0%, 1%, 2%, 3%, 4%, 5%, referred to realtime price.
So the lines will move with the price.
The indicator is intended to give an at-a-glance information on price volatility by comparing the amplitude of the last candles with the percentages above.
Higher Time Frame EMAs and 1% volatility indicatorSet the "higher time frame" (HTF) from which the EMAs will be calculated in all timeframes.
Example: I chose timeframe 1D and I will see the EMAs from TF 1D also in smaller TF as 1, 5, 30, 60 minutes.
There are 4 EMAs. The default values are 5, 10, 60 and 223 periods from "Scalping the Bull" indicator.
You can change the periods of each EMA.
The indicator have also a volatility indication, showing -1% and +1% price levels.
VolatilityVolatility - The amount of price deviation in the specified time interval.
The calculation is made from the opening point to the closing point, and the maximum and minimum deviation between them is also included. Any timeframes are supported.
Available information: the start date of the calculation (according to the time zone of the exchange), the current volatility from the initial opening point or from the last closing point, the total volatility for all periods.
An indicator of useful use in everyday work.
Thanks for your attention!
