AU Small Finance: Final Push or Start of a Pause?

AU Small Finance Bank has delivered a impulsive rally over the last few months. Starting from the March lows near 478, price unfolded into a clean 5-wave structure that carries all the classical Elliott Wave characteristics. Each leg followed the rules beautifully — with Wave 3 extending nicely, Wave 4 forming a triangle, and Wave 5 launching higher from there.

At present, Wave 5 has already reached 808, which satisfies the minimum Fibonacci projection of 1.0 (792) measured from Waves 1 through 3. However, it remains slightly open whether this fifth wave has fully matured. The upper target zone extends toward 1.618 projection, near 855, and price action in the coming sessions will be crucial in determining if there's a final push left before the larger corrective phase kicks in.

Should Wave 5 be complete — or once it completes — the market would likely transition into a corrective phase labeled here as Wave 2 or B, depending on whether this rally was the beginning of a larger impulsive sequence or part of a more complex corrective structure. Typically, corrections following a full 5-wave impulse retrace deeper than most traders expect. The initial shallow support may emerge near the 0.382 retracement around 682, but more meaningful supports sit at 0.5 retracement near 643 and potentially even 0.618 near 604. These zones will be critical to watch as the structure unfolds.

Invalidation for this entire bullish structure would sit below the origin of Wave 1, meaning any sustained breakdown below 580 would negate the bullish scenario entirely. But for now, the focus remains on watching how price behaves inside this final leg of Wave 5 — whether it's already done, or teasing a last-minute extension toward 855 before correcting.

As always, market structure will continue to guide the next moves, and updates will be made as price action evolves.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.