Avalanche (AVAX) to $380

5 giu 2022

Price action has corrected 80% since the sell signal last November as is shown on the above 2-day chart. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:

1) The ‘incredible buy’ signal.

2) Both price action and RSI resistance have broken out (1-day chart below)

3) Regular bullish divergence (1-day chart below).

4) Both points 2 and 3 are also true for the BTC pair (below).

5) The target is a measured Fibonacci move to the 1.618 as it was with the last cycle.

Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.

Is it probable? No.

Good luck!

Ww

Type: trade
Risk: <6% of portfolio
Duration: 1 - 3 months
Return: 15x


1-day chart


1-day BTC pair

6 ago 2022

Trade attivo

See the breakout?

4 set 2022

Nota

15 set 2022

Trade attivo

This would be an excellent moment

24 set 2022

Trade attivo

Multiple divergencies on the 2-day chart as price action forms a double bottom on the 0.236 Fibonacci level.

This is a gift horse from the emotional market participants, don't let it pass you by.

16 ott 2022

Nota

Did you see?

24 nov 2022

Trade attivo

The highest number of diverging oscillators confirm bullish divergence on the 2-day chart below.

The target remains very probable. The when? Don't know. However, certainly take profits at the time of the FED pivot.

8 gen 2023

Nota

Lot and lots of positive divergence

16 mar 2023

Trade attivo

Very little has changed about this idea expect for the time to target. Timing the markets is nothing compared to time in the market.

Now if you're still in this market then the news is good, the target valid. From the last cycle breakout price action took 4-5 months to reach the channel top / Fib extension.

On the weekly chart below not only has price action broken out but has printed a dragonfly DOJI candle.

Be patient and ignore the doubters.

Ww

Weekly chart

8 apr 2023

Nota

A move to 27 dollars is very probable in the near future.

4 giu 2023

Trade attivo

Once that 21 dollar resistance is broken the the above update to 27 should print.

Lower resistance at 14 dollars has now confirmed as support.

14 giu 2023

Nota

On support. Absolutely nothing has changed on this idea overall, the target remains valid as the day this idea was posted. Market structure intact. Even though price action is down 50% it is no great shakes given the target.

Now if a 50% correction is way too much to stomach, then get out of Crypto. You don't make big gains without a bloody nose from time to time. Did you allocate more than 6% of tradable portfolio to the trade? Many times messages are received over the months with 90% and more allocation, I jest you not.

Be patient, take opportunities when they arise.


5-day

25 ott 2023

Trade chiuso manualmente

Meant to update this idea but will not unless asked. Gotta to remember I do not have positions in 90% of the ideas published. Why? Because the strategy I use does not allow me to hold more than 4 or 5 positions.


Broken market structure on 12-day USD chart


Same on BTC pair

15 nov 2023

Nota

Overbought. Expect 21 to be strong resistance.

22 nov 2023

Nota

A long from $12 is good..

27 nov 2023

Nota

Am asked why the last update "price never goes back to $12 dude"

Show me the chart and I'll tell you the news...

Daily chart

7 apr

Nota

A 50% correction should be expected in the coming weeks.

weekly

20 apr

Ordine annullato

Horrible bearish divergence printing as price action confirms resistance on past broken market structure.

6 day