Published by WaverVanir International LLC | 06/11/2025
BABA has broken out of its multi-year base and is now in a potential macro reversal structure. The current retracement near $120 could act as a higher low before a continuation toward the unfilled liquidity zone around $183.13, a major inefficiency level from late 2021.
🔍 Key Technicals:
✅ Long accumulation between 2022–2024
🚀 Breakout above $100 confirmed by strong volume
🔁 Pullback into prior breakout zone (~$115–$120) could offer optimal re-entry
📈 Target: $183.13 (Gap-fill + structural resistance)
📉 Risk Management:
🛑 Invalid below $105 (structure break)
🎯 Risk/Reward favorable if entries are scaled in sub-$125
📊 Probability Weighted Bias:
Bullish Continuation: 65%
Consolidation: 25%
Breakdown/Invalidation: 10%
🧠 Macro Catalyst Watch:
China stimulus or regulatory easing 📉🪙
Fed rate pivot & USD weakness 💵🕊️
Earnings growth rebound in Alibaba’s cloud segment 🌐📊
This setup reflects asymmetric potential as tech re-rates globally. Risk-defined, sentiment-watching, and catalyst-aware traders may consider positioning for a medium-term swing.
#Alibaba
BABA #SMC #GapFill #TradingStrategy #WaverVanir #TechStocks #ChinaEquities #SwingTrading
BABA has broken out of its multi-year base and is now in a potential macro reversal structure. The current retracement near $120 could act as a higher low before a continuation toward the unfilled liquidity zone around $183.13, a major inefficiency level from late 2021.
🔍 Key Technicals:
✅ Long accumulation between 2022–2024
🚀 Breakout above $100 confirmed by strong volume
🔁 Pullback into prior breakout zone (~$115–$120) could offer optimal re-entry
📈 Target: $183.13 (Gap-fill + structural resistance)
📉 Risk Management:
🛑 Invalid below $105 (structure break)
🎯 Risk/Reward favorable if entries are scaled in sub-$125
📊 Probability Weighted Bias:
Bullish Continuation: 65%
Consolidation: 25%
Breakdown/Invalidation: 10%
🧠 Macro Catalyst Watch:
China stimulus or regulatory easing 📉🪙
Fed rate pivot & USD weakness 💵🕊️
Earnings growth rebound in Alibaba’s cloud segment 🌐📊
This setup reflects asymmetric potential as tech re-rates globally. Risk-defined, sentiment-watching, and catalyst-aware traders may consider positioning for a medium-term swing.
#Alibaba
BABA #SMC #GapFill #TradingStrategy #WaverVanir #TechStocks #ChinaEquities #SwingTrading
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.