BTC/USD Futures: High-Probability Setup with 2.8R Potential

7 giorni fa

Bitcoin is presenting a compelling trading opportunity with a clearly defined risk-reward setup. The current market structure, supported by volume profile analysis and EMA alignments, suggests a high-probability long entry.



Entry Strategy:

• Entry Price: $97,727.6
  

• Take Profit: $98,838.1
  
• Stop Loss: $97,300.3
  
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (favorable for position sizing)
  

Technical Confluence:
The entry point at $97,727.6 aligns with:

• Rising EMA support cluster
  
• Previous resistance turned support
  
• Positive MACD momentum crossover
  
• Strong volume node support zone
  

Target Analysis:
The $98,838.1 target is justified by:

• Clear price inefficiency above $98,400 POC
  
• Historical reaction zone
  
• Minimal volume resistance until this level
  
• 1.13% potential upside from entry
  

Risk Management:
Stop placement at $97,300.3 provides protection while:

• Sitting below key structural support
  
• Allowing sufficient room for normal market volatility
  
• Representing contained risk of 0.44%
  

Volume Profile Context:

Two major POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) act as stepping stones toward our target, potentially providing intraday support during the move up.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis


Trade Management:

Consider partial profit-taking at POC levels ($98,200 and $98,400) while moving stop to breakeven after first target is reached.

Note: This analysis represents a snapshot in time. Always conduct your own due diligence and adjust position sizing according to your risk management rules.

7 giorni fa

Trade chiuso: stop raggiunto

Stop reached, however there is still the potentila of the upside with a 3rd continuation on the H4 Timeframe to grab the liquidity resting at 100,000.

Hopefully we'll see price find support at 97,100 and then see a push to the upside.