Will history repeat itself ? 60% drop before mega rally?

Just like Feb of 2020, after breaking the bullish trend line, we are back up once again to retest it, Considering the very low weekly volume, I don't think we will go higher from this point and will see a big 30-60% crash and only then the real accumulation and bull run will begin.
Considering the nature of BTC, it only needs a couple of bad news for this to happen