Bitcoin - Final Pump Before the Crash?

Bitcoin has historically followed a 4-year cycle pattern, driven by halving events. Each cycle usually plays out as ~3 years of bullish expansion from the bottom, followed by ~1 year of bearish correction.
Historically, every cycle peak of Bitcoin has aligned with Q3 and Q4 being bullish quarters, making the second half of the year the most critical period for cycle tops.

Key Observations from Previous Cycle Peaks:

🔶 2013 Peak:

- Q3: +40.6%
- Q4: +479.59%

Strong acceleration into year-end marked the cycle top.

🔶 2017 Peak:

- Q3: +80.41%
- Q4: +215.07%

A similar explosive move as Bitcoin entered the mania phase.

🔶 2021 Peak:

- Q3: +25.01%
- Q4: +5.45% .

🔶 Current Cycle (2025 Peak?):

- Q3 2025 is already up +8.23% with 15 days remaining until the quarter ends.
- If history repeats, Q4 could be the blow-off phase where Bitcoin accelerates sharply to its peak.


🔶 Potential 2025 Target:

Bitcoin’s Q4 2025 peak could realistically reach the $140K–$160K range before entering the next corrective phase.

Conclusion: If Bitcoin follows its established 4-year cycle structure, we could be entering the final bullish leg of this cycle. History suggests Q3 and Q4 have the highest probability of producing outsized gains, with Q4 especially aligning with cycle peaks.

Cheers
Hexa

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