Bitcoin: open path to downside?

The FOMC meeting and the decision on interest rates, geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are currently the most important topics for investors on financial markets. The crypto market was sort of left behind during the previous week, with some funds outflows as of the end of the week. Current chart looks like seeking the downside, however, the question is whether it is just a short term correction or the market is indeed setting the stage for the higher move toward the downside?

At the beginning of the previous week, BTC tried for one more time to make a push toward the higher grounds, and tested the $108K level. Since there was no strength to sustain this level, the BTC spent the rest of the week looking at the downside. The lowest weekly level was reached on Friday, at $102,6K, but BTC recovered a bit on Saturday till levels modestly above the $103K. The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that investors are still eyeing the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come soon.

As previously noted, charts are pointing to the probability of a higher move toward the downside for BTC. Lows from the beginning of June might be the first target in this scenario. This would lead BTC toward the price range between the $100K - $101K. There is also some probability for the move toward the opposite side, where BTC will again test the $105K resistance. At this point charts are not pointing to probability for reaching levels higher from the $105K.