Today, Bitcoin triggered my Capitulation Scout signal with a massive volume spike — one of the strongest we’ve seen in recent days/weeks.
This type of extreme volume on down days has historically marked exhaustion selling and often coincides with at least a short-term/local low.
For context:
Ethereum triggered the exact same Capitulation Scout signal back in April 2025, and what followed was an impressive multi-week recovery rally.

Important disclaimer:
We are now in a different cycle phase compared to April (further along in the 4 year cycle), so the macro setup isn’t identical. Still, these capitulation spikes have a solid track record of producing strong bounces, even if they sometimes only deliver temporary relief rallies.
Watching closely for follow-through in the coming hours/days. A decisive break and hold above recent swing highs would greatly improve the odds of a larger rebound.
This type of extreme volume on down days has historically marked exhaustion selling and often coincides with at least a short-term/local low.
For context:
Ethereum triggered the exact same Capitulation Scout signal back in April 2025, and what followed was an impressive multi-week recovery rally.
Important disclaimer:
We are now in a different cycle phase compared to April (further along in the 4 year cycle), so the macro setup isn’t identical. Still, these capitulation spikes have a solid track record of producing strong bounces, even if they sometimes only deliver temporary relief rallies.
Watching closely for follow-through in the coming hours/days. A decisive break and hold above recent swing highs would greatly improve the odds of a larger rebound.
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Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni e le pubblicazioni non sono intese come, e non costituiscono, consulenza o raccomandazioni finanziarie, di investimento, di trading o di altro tipo fornite o approvate da TradingView. Per ulteriori informazioni, consultare i Termini di utilizzo.
