Employment data was released last Friday. Although the unemployment rate rose to 4%, the number of NFP exceeded expectations, reaching 272,000. The data performed average, but due to market expectations were too high, there was a correction after the data was released. Not only in crypto, gold has also seen a obvious correction.
The market currently predicts that the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 will be reduced to two times, in September and December. The CPI and FOMC for May will be announced on Wednesday and Thursday this week. We believe this will determine the medium-term trend. Regardless, we are heading towards a rate cut.
BTC is as we predicted last time, after rising and falling. It is slightly lower than last week’s price. Although the price has corrected, there has been no continuous decline for the time being. Trading volume is low. From the WTA indicator, after the last analysis released, a small number of blue columns representing whales appeared, but they quickly disappeared. The ME indicator continues to maintain a bullish trend.
To sum up, we believe that the volatility of BTC will increase this week and continue to fluctuate, with the probability of rising higher than falling. We maintain our original resistance level 74000 and support level 61000.
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