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Let's create long-term lows

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BINANCE:BTCUSDT   Bitcoin / TetherUS
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The reason why I explain the USDT, USDC, BTC.D, USDT.D chart first is that it is judged that the price change of coins (tokens) can be predicted to some extent if the overall money flow of the coin market is known.

(USDT 1D chart)
I need to see if I can keep it at 66.442B or higher.

(USDC 1D chart)
I need to see if I can come up with a gap rise in the 44.07B-44.807B range or more.

The rise in the gap between USDT and USDC is considered to be a sign of new funds entering the coin market.


(BTC.D 1W chart)
An increase in BTC dominance means that funds will be concentrated towards BTC.

It is necessary to check whether the solid (liquidity) uptrend can be continued by falling after receiving resistance in the 43.75-45.68 section.

If it rises above 45.68, there is a possibility of a strange market trend in which BTC alone rises.

As a result, there is a possibility that altcoins may move sideways or fall, so you need to think about countermeasures.


The 39.56-40.44 interval is a high probability of rapid volatility.

The next volatility period is around January 23rd.


(USDT.D 1D chart)
An increase in USDT dominance means that the coin market is likely to decline.

As it fell below 7.27, there is a pumping of altcoins that makes you think it was a bull market.

If it starts to fall around 6.21, it is expected that a market will be formed where you will buy without thinking about a trading strategy, thinking that you can't wait any longer even if the price is soaring.

Therefore, the possibility of the formation of a peak in the coin market will increase.

The next volatility period is around January 24th.


If the USDT chart doesn't show a consistent rise in the gap, I think it's likely that the uptrend is short-lived and falls.

Therefore, caution should be exercised in the approaching period of volatility as the coin market may stop rising.

However, if USDT rises above 68.468B due to a continuous gap increase, I don't think there will be any need to worry about this for the time being.

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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The HA-Low indicator is an indicator that gives you a tradable spot created by a combination of RSI 30 and Heikin Ashi.

Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator shows support, it means that a bottom has been made.


The HA-High indicator is an indicator that gives you a tradable spot created by a combination of RSI 70 and Heikin Ashi.

Therefore, if resistance is confirmed in the HA-High indicator, it means that a high has been made.


in a different way
If resistance is confirmed in the HA-Low indicator, it means that a new point can be created,
If the HA-High indicator shows support, it means that a new high could be made.


At 21023.14, the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is looking to be created.

If this month's candlestick closes near the current price, a HA-Low indicator will be created at 21023.14.


The HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is created at 21023.14, which means that it is a point where buying is possible from a long-term perspective.


From a mid- to long-term perspective, it can be seen that the price has turned to an uptrend as it breaks away from the downtrend line (1) and rises above the MS-Signal indicator.

In this situation, if the price rises above the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart and maintains the price, it is expected that the upward trend will be maintained.


However, since the HA-High indicators of the 1M chart and the HA-High indicators of the 1W chart are formed at fairly high points, these indicators should be generated near the current price.


In that sense, I think it is highly likely to show a sideways movement in the maximum range of 17.8K-26K and minimum 19.6K-22.9K.


A drop below 17.8K and below the downtrend line (1) would prove that the current rise was a rebound to the downside.



(1D chart)
As mentioned in the 1W chart, the 21023.14-21853.06 section is a section formed by the HA-Low indicator.

Therefore, if it rises to this area and holds the price, there is a possibility of forming a bottom.
(You may say, “This is the high point, but how is it the low point!”, but the 21023.14-21853.06 section is formed by the HA-Low indicators on the 1M and 1W charts, so it means that it is a low point from a mid- to long-term perspective.)


In any case, from a short-term perspective, the 21023.14-21853.06 section is bound to come as a large resistance section.

Therefore, buying pressure should increase to cross this range.

Therefore, if it rises and fails to gain support, it will be more likely that the price will fall in order to increase buying pressure.

when it goes down,
1st : around 20050.02
2nd: Around 19176.93
It is necessary to check whether it is supported in the 1st and 2nd sections.


If it rises above 21023.14 and holds the price,
1st: Around 21853.06
2nd: Around 22487.41
It is necessary to check whether resistance is received in the 1st and 2nd sections.


It looks like the HA-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is falling around 26K.

Therefore, if it surges, be careful as there is a possibility of a sharp decline while touching the HA-Signal indicator on this 1M chart.

This movement is the basis for the possibility of consolidation in the maximum range of 17.8K-26K mentioned in the 1W chart description.


The next volatility period is around January 21-30.

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- big picture
I think you need to be supported in the 13K-15K section to get the power to rise.

Therefore, whether it is rising or falling from its current position, a short-term response is required.

A full-fledged uptrend is expected to start when it rises above 29K.

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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.

** If this chart is shared, you can use the indicators normally.

** The MRHAB-T indicator includes indicators that indicate points of support and resistance.

** HA SRRC indicators are displayed as StochRSI (line), RSI (columns), and CCI (bgcolor).
** The CCI indicator is displayed in the overbought section (CCI > +100) and oversold section (CCI < -100).

(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit or loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made by split trading. This is a short-term investment perspective.)

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Commento:
(BTCUSDTPERP 1h chart)
There is a box section that is good for trading with high magnification, but this box section 20570.1-20984.7 is expected to be broken soon.

This is because indicators of volatility are starting to come together.

If sooner or later the 5EMA line on the 1D chart rises and rises near the 20570.1-20984.7 section, I think volatility is likely.


When you show support near 'L1', 20794.4-20984.7, you can enter the 'LONG' position.

A full-fledged entry is when it shows support around 20984.7.

1st: Around 21826.1
2nd: 22471.5-22975.1
Close transaction: 23937.1-24294.1

The first trade exit point is set around 20570.1 and begins.

If it rises above 20984.7, we change the trade exit point to the average entry price.


When it shows resistance around 'S2', 20570.1-20794.4, it is possible to enter the 'SHORT' position.

A full-fledged entry is when it shows support around 20570.1.

1st: around 20122.5
Trade Closed: 19188.6-19411.7

The first trade exit point is set around 20984.7 and begins.

If it falls below 20570.1, we change the trade exit point to the average entry price.


If you don't like the exit point of each first trade, you can enter it when a full entry is possible.
Trade chiuso: stop raggiunto:
(BTCUSDTPERP 1h chart)
The 'LONG' position entered in the 20794.4-20984.7 section was partially sold around 21472.0 and the transaction was terminated by touching the entry price.


We are planning to enter in a direction away from the 20794.4-20984.7 section.

Based on point 20794.4
Support: 'LONG
Resistance: 'SHORT'
Commento:
Receiving support is likely if this candlestick closes above 20794.4.

If it fails to do so and closes below 20794.4, resistance is likely.

However, since the MS-Signal indicator is located near 20984.7, it is highly likely to show an uptrend only when the candle closes by rising above 20984.7.

Therefore, it is necessary to be cautious when entering a 'LONG' position.


The direction is expected to emerge when the 5EMA line on the 1D chart moves a bit closer to the 20570.1 area.

Therefore, it is recommended not to enter until the direction is confirmed.
Commento:
(DXY 1D chart)
The volatility period has changed as new candlesticks have been created.
Around January 17 (January 16-18), we need to check if there is a movement out of the 101.860-103.025 section.

If it falls below 101.860, the investment market is expected to become more active.

A break in this move is expected to begin with the move above 106.130.
Commento:
This is the last update for today.

The StochRSI and RSI indicators on the 1M chart are just beginning to show signs of exiting the oversold zone.

Therefore, from a long-term perspective, it is showing that it is just stretching and rising.


The CCI, RSI, and StochRSI indicators on the 1W chart all entered the overbought zone, showing an upward trend from a mid- to long-term perspective.


On the 1D chart, the 9-day CCI, RSI and StochRSI indicators are all entering the overbought zone.

That's why it's showing a big rise lately.


This is likely to put significant downside pressure on the near-term.

If this downward pressure is present, it is likely to dissipate with a decline accompanied by large volumes.

Otherwise, if the price is maintained or falls with low trading volume, it can rather lead to an increase.

Therefore, it is recommended to check the status of the increase or decrease of the trading volume.


In any case, the key move to maintain the uptrend is rocking up and down.

[Example of exchange chart setup]

(Binance)
www.tradingview.com/x/S94aDxa8

(Upbit)
www.tradingview.com/x/DF6cGh3G/
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