Looking to for an opportunity to short DD on any strength, after DD formed a potential head and shoulders topping pattern followed by price breaking down below uptrend support which had been in place since the spring 2020 lows; upon the breakdown and close below uptrend support, the head and shoulders pattern was completed as price broke and closed below the neckline just above the $75 area.
Upon any strength, will seek to open short position with an initial lot, being keen to add to the short position just above $73 (the 23.6% Fib retracement level from the entire upward move between the Mar-2020 low and the Jan-2021 high) up to approximately $75 (arounf the underside of former uptrend line support now turned resistance as well as the H & S neckline).
Alternately, will either open short position or add to position existing short upon break below the July 2021 monthly low of $72.35, preferably after a daily close below $72.35 for added conviction.
Downside target just above $65, as a potential upside reversal zone around the $65 zone may come into play due to this area being the approximate target of the aforementioned head and shoulders pattern, as well as potential support at or around 38.2% Fib retracement level of the entire up move from the 2020 low, which is right around the $64.75 level.
In summary, looking to average into short position with average entry price after multiple lots of approximately $73.35, with a stop loss at $76.86, and a target of $65.13 on the downside. Reward to Risk Ratio meets the minumim 2:1 threshold, at approximately 2.14-to-1 on this trade.
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