DOGE Support Is Crumbling Here’s Why a Drop to $0.15 Is On Cards

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The 4-hour chart for DOGEUSDT reveals a weakening structure, with price currently hovering just above a key support at $0.16863, which also aligns with the marked TP1/Daily Support level. Price action has been consistently rejected from the upper zone near $0.18500–$0.18756, confirming that supply is dominant at higher levels.

The Supertrend indicator remains firmly red and is trailing far above the current price — a strong confirmation that the trend bias is still bearish. Each attempt to retest or reclaim higher ground is quickly sold off, indicating a lack of bullish conviction.

From a structural perspective, DOGE recently formed a lower high followed by a breakdown beneath the local mid-range. This has pushed the price back into a distribution-to-breakdown zone, where the probability of further downside is increasing. If the current support at $0.16863 breaks with momentum, the next obvious liquidity pool is sitting near $0.15285, which is already marked as the Next Support/TP2. That level could serve as the next major bearish target.

Volume also supports a bearish narrative — despite brief surges, the recent volume profile shows no sustained buying pressure, and sellers remain in control around each resistance test. The failure to push above the $0.173–$0.175 region in the last bounce attempt further reinforces the weakening bullish effort.

While some buyers may attempt to defend the $0.168 level, the lack of follow-through on rebounds suggests this support is softening. A clean 4H close below $0.168 — especially on volume — would likely trigger stop-losses and lead to a swift drop toward $0.160 and then $0.152.

If you're looking to position with the bearish trend:
• A low-risk short entry could be placed on any failed bounce near $0.173–$0.175 (prior local supply zone).
• Ideal targets remain at $0.160 and $0.15285.
• Stop-loss can be positioned just above $0.177–$0.180, depending on your risk appetite.

Given the current structure, DOGE is making lower highs, testing support more frequently, and showing no bullish divergence in volume — all classic signs of a market preparing for a breakdown. Unless a sudden reversal in momentum occurs (which would require DOGE reclaiming at least $0.180), short setups are favored.

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