All Time Schiff Pitchfork: ETH to $26k this cycle

4 giorni fa

Ethereum’s All-Time Schiff Pitchfork Points to $26,000 Top This Cycle
What if I told you Ethereum’s long-term trajectory already contains the roadmap to its next parabolic peak—and it's hiding in plain sight?

By applying an all-time Schiff Pitchfork to ETH’s historical price action, we uncover a channel of truth that has guided Ethereum’s macro moves since its inception. And according to this structure, the upper bound this cycle sits around $26,000.

Yes, $26K ETH is not only possible—it’s technically aligned.

🧭 Schiff Pitchfork: A Forgotten Tool With Powerful Insight
While traditional pitchforks center around initial anchor points, the Schiff Pitchfork adjusts the median line to better reflect price momentum and curvature over time. For Ethereum, it captures macro cycles and logarithmic price evolution with eerie accuracy.

We anchor the pitchfork as follows:

Point A: March 2020 COVID bottom (~$90)

Point B: May 2021 cycle top (~$4,400)

Point C: June 2022 bottom (~$880)

This sets a median growth trajectory with upper and lower bounds that have so far contained all of Ethereum’s major rallies and retracements.

📈 The Pitchfork Speaks: $26K = Upper Rail This Cycle
The upper boundary of the pitchfork intersects around $26,000–$27,000 between November 2025 and January 2026

This aligns with:

Cycle timing: Ethereum typically peaks ~8 months after Bitcoin

Macro window: Projected end of global liquidity expansion before potential recession

ETF catalyst: BlackRock’s staking ETF + TradFi inflows could supercharge final leg

ETH/BTC breakout zone: Suggests ETH will outperform BTC in the late stage of the cycle

If Ethereum follows the historical path set by prior cycles (2017, 2021), and this channel remains valid, then $26K ETH becomes a technical magnet, not a fantasy.

🧠 Why $26K Isn’t Just a Chart Target
Let’s break down what would justify that kind of valuation:

Factor Supporting Insight
🟢 Staking ETF Institutional demand + ETH supply removed from float
🔥 Deflationary Tokenomics Post-1559 burn + staking = net negative issuance
⚙️ L2 Ecosystem Maturity Rollups, zkEVMs, and restaking create multi-chain ETH demand
🌐 Global Liquidity Window Fed cuts + soft macro conditions = floodgates open
📈 ETH/BTC Ratio Inversion Signals capital rotation to high beta assets

🛑 Risks to the $26K Scenario
Regulatory delays on staking ETF

Broader market crash or macro liquidity crunch

ETH/BTC fails to break out, Bitcoin dominance remains too high

Ethereum scaling and L2 fragmentation cannibalizes fee market faster than expected

🎯 Price Zones on the Schiff Pitchfork
Zone Price Range Interpretation
Lower Bound $3,000–$4,000 Final dip buy zone (if macro spooks)
Median Line $10,000–$14,000 Base case target with ETF flows
Upper Rail $25,000–$26,500 Max cycle top (Q4 2025–Q1 2026)

🧬 Conclusion: The Channel Has Spoken
The Schiff Pitchfork isn’t a magic wand—it’s a map. But Ethereum has respected this structure since 2020, and it’s now approaching the most important confluence zone in its history.

With ETFs, L2 scaling, deflationary supply, and a maturing institutional narrative, ETH has the fundamental firepower to make $26K real—not just chart art.

This may be the final cycle where ETH 4-digit prices are possible.

📊 Follow for more Ethereum macro cycle analysis, ETH/BTC tracking, and altseason models.

📍 Chart available on request—drop a comment if you'd like the TradingView link with Pitchfork drawn

#Ethereum #ETHUSD #PitchforkAnalysis #SchiffPitchfork #CryptoCycles #ETHPrediction #Altseason #ETHChart #ETH26K

9 ore fa

Trade attivo

🧠 Deep Dive: Reploy AI ($RAI)
The Ethereum-native inference layer hiding in plain sight
🧩 What is Reploy AI?
Reploy AI ($RAI) is a decentralized, Ethereum-native protocol for on-chain AI inference and model deployment. It aims to make it possible for developers to run, verify, and monetize machine learning models directly on the blockchain or through Ethereum-integrated infra.

In simple terms:

It’s like Render (RNDR) for GPUs, but for AI inference instead of rendering.

🏗️ Key Use Case
AI Inference as a Service (IaaS):
Models like GPT, LLaMA, Whisper, etc., can be deployed, executed, and verified in a decentralized way.

Smart Contracts + AI:
Developers can build Ethereum dApps that call models on-chain to make decisions, process text, generate summaries, or verify outcomes.

Monetization Layer for AI Builders:
Model owners earn $RAI for usage, with execution and verification happening transparently and immutably on-chain.

⚙️ Core Features
Feature Description
Token $RAI (10M fixed supply)
Chain ERC-20 on Ethereum
Primary Function Fuel for inference, execution, and model registry
Supply Dynamics Hyper-scarce, no inflation, no VC unlock pressure
Team & Devs Anonymous / pseudonymous but rapidly shipping
Integrations Targeting integrations with tools like LangChain, Arkifi, and emerging on-chain ML SDKs

🚀 Why $RAI Is Special
Truly ETH-native:
Unlike many AI tokens that straddle Cosmos, Solana, or proprietary chains, $RAI is built directly for Ethereum — enabling native dApp integration, composability, and ETH L2 scaling.

Fixed Ultra-Low Supply:
Just 10 million tokens — no emissions, no unlock cliffs, no VC overhead. This makes RAI hyper-reflexive once demand kicks in.

Timing Sweet Spot:
The project is quietly maturing right as:

ETH has flashed a golden cross

AI altcoin narratives are heating up

Inference costs are becoming bottlenecks in AI deployment

High Beta to ETH + AI:
If ETH hits $10K–$26K and the AI narrative explodes, $RAI is positioned to be a 100–1,000x gainer due to:

Low market cap

Scarcity

Unique positioning as infra, not hype

📈 Price & Market Potential
Scenario Target Price Market Cap
ETH mini-cycle pump $6.80 (10x) $68M
Mid AI rotation $34+ (50x) $340M
Infrastructure adoption $68+ (100x) $680M–$1B
Euphoria / cycle top $1,000 (1,470x) $10B

Compared to tokens like RNDR ($4–6B FDV), WLD ($8B), and even meme coins like PEPE ($6B+), a $10B RAI valuation isn’t outrageous if the narrative takes hold.

📊 Current State
Metric Value
Price (July 2025) ~$0.68
Circulating Supply ~10M (100%)
Market Cap ~$6.8M
Exchanges Uniswap, early listings on mid-tier CEXs
TVL / Infra Status Beta model registry + LangChain plugins incoming

🧠 What to Watch
LangChain or Arkifi integrations

CEX listings (Tier-1 exchanges could create a supply shock)

AI season rotation into ETH-based microcaps

Model usage on-chain (i.e., GPT-style inference powered by RAI)

Staking + usage-based burn mechanics (expected in roadmap)

🧨 Final Take
Reploy AI ($RAI) is not a hype coin.
It’s not a fork.
It’s not a VC cashout.

It’s a scarce, Ethereum-native AI infrastructure token that just happens to be priced like a meme — but built like a protocol.

If Ethereum is the future of decentralized compute and settlement, and AI becomes the dominant use case in Web3, then $RAI may be one of the most asymmetric opportunities of the entire cycle.