EUR/USD Gains Momentum Ahead of US Core Retail Sales Data Releas

The EUR/USD pair is trading higher on Tuesday, following a pullback to the support level at 1.06690, which coincides with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement from the previous swing low. This support area has provided a strong foundation for the pair, allowing it to gain upward momentum.

Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming US Retail Sales data, particularly the Core Retail Sales m/m figures, which are expected to be a significant catalyst for further movement in the EUR/USD pair. Positive data could push the pair even higher, as it would indicate stronger consumer spending in the US, potentially leading to a stronger US Dollar. However, any signs of weaker data could bolster the Euro further, as traders anticipate a less aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve.

Adding to the bullish outlook, there is a noticeable divergence on the H4 timeframe's stochastic indicator. Divergence occurs when the price movement of the currency pair contrasts with the indicator, often signaling a potential reversal or strengthening of the current trend. In this case, the stochastic divergence suggests that the upward movement of the EUR/USD pair could gain more traction.

Institutional traders also seem to be favoring the Euro over the US Dollar. Reports indicate a significant increase in long positions on the Euro, reflecting a broader sentiment shift among large market participants. This institutional support adds further credibility to the potential for continued upward movement in the EUR/USD pair.

In summary, the EUR/USD pair is showing promising signs of a bullish continuation after rebounding from a key support level and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. With the upcoming US Retail Sales data and technical indicators aligning in favor of the Euro, traders have a reason to anticipate further gains. The increased long positions by institutional traders further reinforce this positive outlook, suggesting that the pair could see sustained upward momentum in the near term.

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