MATIC → Polygon Pullback to $0.35 then $0.70? Let's Answer.
Since my February 3rd update, MATIC has remained in a trading range, as expected. We found resistance at $1.25 and then pulled back in two strong legs. Should we be bearish or bullish on MATIC?
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
How do we trade this? 🤔
As expected, MATIC found resistance at the Resistance Zone of $1.25 after two pushes up in the trading range followed by two legs down, leaving us below the Support Zone at a low of $0.50. We now see the price finding support in this area, and it has yet to show signs of strength.
It's not reasonable to enter a long here given that we lack a strong bullish candle close. We need to wait for a strong candle at this support area, but I believe it's more likely we will fall to the triangle low of around $0.31. Look for a signal and confirmation candle in this area then enter a long. Once that target is hit, take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward, moving the stop loss up to the entry price, then swinging the latter half of the position to 1:2 Risk/Reward.
We also need to watch Bitcoin's sentiment as the price action plays out. I expect Bitcoin will fall into a two-legged pullback to around $40,000-$45,000, which should take the alt market down with it, either keeping it in a trading range or bringing it to lower lows. Until Bitcoin's sentiment shows a clear bull signal after a likely pullback, it's one more indicator we should allow to play out before getting long in MATIC.
A final point of data is the RSI low and above the moving average of around 37.00. This indicates we are into the swing high and a long entry at this stage is warranted.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.40
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.27
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.53
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.66
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Two legs up toward a resistance zone in a triangle
2. Resistance met at $1.25, two legs back toward the triangle low
3. Look for a break below the triangle to the triangle low
4. Long entry justified after strong bull candle close near triangle low
5. RSI at 37.00 and below the moving average. Supports a long entry
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
-Joe Dean
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
Trader Engineering Course
**Available Now at TraderEngineering.com**
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