đź“Ť Key Levels on Watch
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧠Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
đź“Ś My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
Friday’s High (D-H): 3814.5
Friday’s Low (D-L): 3764.2 → New support
Weekly High (WFH): 3824.6
Weekly Low (W-L): 3717.7
Daily FVG Below: 3746.3–3735.2
🧠Technical Outlook
Price is currently sitting right at the 50% midpoint of Friday’s move.
Friday’s Low (3764.2) is the key inflection point:
If defended → bullish continuation toward 3814.5 and possibly 3824.6.
If broken → expect a quick flush into the Daily FVG (3746–3735) before buyers step back in.
Volume profile shows a low-volume pocket below 3770, which could accelerate moves down into that Daily FVG if support fails.
🌍 Macro Context
De-Dollarization trends continue to support Gold in the longer term.
Geopolitical tensions (military leadership meetings this Tuesday + ongoing global conflicts) = potential safe haven demand.
US Political Risk: Government shutdown threats and loss of traction for the Trump administration add uncertainty → historically supportive for Gold.
Safe Haven Flows: When global stability is questioned, Gold is a direct beneficiary.
🎯 Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Friday’s low holds → retest of 3814.5 and possibly new weekly highs above 3824.6.
Bearish Case:
Break of 3764.2 → fast move into Daily FVG (3746–3735).
Watch for liquidity sweep & reversal setup inside that FVG.
đź“Ś My Plan
Bias leans bullish this week given the macro backdrop.
BUT — I’ll wait for price to show its hand around Friday’s low before committing to either continuation or discount entries.
Staying flexible: both scenarios mapped, execution will be clean.
Pubblicazioni correlate
Declinazione di responsabilitĂ
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Pubblicazioni correlate
Declinazione di responsabilitĂ
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.