Cannabis headlines - turning bullish
The Cannabis ETF (MJ -4%) is trading at at six-month low as investor hype around cannabis stocks has faded.
In a somewhat predictable sell-the-news reaction, the MJ ETF peaked when recreational cannabis went into effect last Fall after staging a massive run leading up to the highly anticipated event.
Since then, the onus has been on companies to deliver. Most of them have begun reporting enviably strong sales growth, but the euphoric valuations had priced in a generous amount of future success.
Last week, Canopy Growth (CGC) Founder Bruce Linton was ousted from his role as co-CEO. He did a great job scaling the largest cannabis company in the world, but Constellation Brands (STZ) sought a more sound operational manger for the next phase of growth at its multi-billion dollar cannabis investment.
This week, CannTrust (CTST) announced that it was non-compliant with certain regulations in Canada, resulting in millions of grams of inventory being put on hold. The stock has nearly been cut in half.
The cannabis market is still nascent and the THC and CBD markets have tremendous long-term potential, but unforeseen events are par for the course in the world of business. In hindsight, cannabis stocks were priced for perfection, so it was just a matter of time before sentiment cooled off.
Cannabis stocks have pulled back from their aggressive valuations as expectations have been set at a more reasonable level.
Headwinds in the form of regulations and capacity constraints appear to be abating as the industry starts to mature. The growth outlook remains very promising.
Despite the recent sell off, the leading (largest) cannabis companies Canopy Growth (CGC), Tilray (TLRY) and Aurora (ACB) still trade at ~20x forward revenue estimates. With the backing of Altria (MO), Cronos (CRON) is even more expensive relative to sales estimates while Aphria (APHA) trades at a discount.
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Briefing . com
In a somewhat predictable sell-the-news reaction, the MJ ETF peaked when recreational cannabis went into effect last Fall after staging a massive run leading up to the highly anticipated event.
Since then, the onus has been on companies to deliver. Most of them have begun reporting enviably strong sales growth, but the euphoric valuations had priced in a generous amount of future success.
Last week, Canopy Growth (CGC) Founder Bruce Linton was ousted from his role as co-CEO. He did a great job scaling the largest cannabis company in the world, but Constellation Brands (STZ) sought a more sound operational manger for the next phase of growth at its multi-billion dollar cannabis investment.
This week, CannTrust (CTST) announced that it was non-compliant with certain regulations in Canada, resulting in millions of grams of inventory being put on hold. The stock has nearly been cut in half.
The cannabis market is still nascent and the THC and CBD markets have tremendous long-term potential, but unforeseen events are par for the course in the world of business. In hindsight, cannabis stocks were priced for perfection, so it was just a matter of time before sentiment cooled off.
Cannabis stocks have pulled back from their aggressive valuations as expectations have been set at a more reasonable level.
Headwinds in the form of regulations and capacity constraints appear to be abating as the industry starts to mature. The growth outlook remains very promising.
Despite the recent sell off, the leading (largest) cannabis companies Canopy Growth (CGC), Tilray (TLRY) and Aurora (ACB) still trade at ~20x forward revenue estimates. With the backing of Altria (MO), Cronos (CRON) is even more expensive relative to sales estimates while Aphria (APHA) trades at a discount.
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Briefing . com
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