Moderna - Bull or Bear

I am looking at Moderna OVER AND OVER again. Frankly, because my buddy raked in some fat profits early on and now there is a nice triangle forming with a potential upside (which fits my strategy perfectly).

I do not like how Moderna is so susceptible right now. I think the stock and be greatly impacted by both good or bad news. So my question is, what bad news affects this stock? Is it that Moderna falls behind in the vaccine race?