🔍 MSFT GEX Daily Overview (Options Sentiment Breakdown)
Microsoft (
MSFT) closed at $460.36, right inside a tight zone between heavy call resistance at 462.5–465 and a weakening support floor at 450. The stock has been on a strong run, but we’re now entering a dealer-dense gamma zone — which often creates price suppression or whipsaws.
GEX Sentiment Insights:
* 🟩 Call Walls stacked at 462.5 → 465 → 470, with major gamma hedging expected.
* 🟥 Moderate Put Wall @ 450 (–18.48%), with further protection near 447.5 HVL.
* ❄️ IVR at 7.1 → dirt cheap premiums = great for debit spreads or directional plays.
💡 Options Play (GEX Bias):
* Bullish Scenario: Break above 465, consider Jul 19 470c or 465c/475c spread — targeting 470–475 before next gamma wall.
* Bearish Scenario: If price loses 458, ride short to 450 with Jul 19 455p/445p vertical spread or naked 455p if volume confirms.
Gamma flip zone is tight. Bulls need momentum + volume to break through. Otherwise, dealer hedging could pin MSFT here all week.
📉 MSFT 1-Hour Price Structure (Swing/Intraday Gameplan)
On the hourly, MSFT is in a rising wedge structure, testing overhead supply around 463–468, while forming lower highs and building distribution signals.
Key Observations:
* 🔻 Price failed to hold above BOS zone near 463.
* 📦 Sitting inside CHoCH supply (red box), multiple rejection candles printing.
* ⚠️ Overbought readings across BBP & DPR (98%+), MACD softening — potential for pullback.
📈 Swing Trade Setup:
* Bullish: Only get long if MSFT reclaims and bases above 465. Target: 470–475. Stop: below 460.
* Bearish: Break below 458 = clean swing short toward 450–447.5. Stop: above 461.
📊 Intraday Plan:
* Scalp rejection at 462–463 for short → first target 458, extended 455.
* Long scalp off 455.3–456 demand zone if market supports tech bounce.
Volume and index context (SPY/QQQ) are critical — MSFT follows market rotation, so use confluence.
💭 Final Take
MSFT is now dancing at the top of a major gamma ceiling. Without fresh momentum or market-wide tech strength, this area favors fade setups. GEX data supports cautious upside while rewarding early downside setups with clean risk-reward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk properly before trading.
Microsoft (
MSFT) closed at $460.36, right inside a tight zone between heavy call resistance at 462.5–465 and a weakening support floor at 450. The stock has been on a strong run, but we’re now entering a dealer-dense gamma zone — which often creates price suppression or whipsaws.GEX Sentiment Insights:
* 🟩 Call Walls stacked at 462.5 → 465 → 470, with major gamma hedging expected.
* 🟥 Moderate Put Wall @ 450 (–18.48%), with further protection near 447.5 HVL.
* ❄️ IVR at 7.1 → dirt cheap premiums = great for debit spreads or directional plays.
💡 Options Play (GEX Bias):
* Bullish Scenario: Break above 465, consider Jul 19 470c or 465c/475c spread — targeting 470–475 before next gamma wall.
* Bearish Scenario: If price loses 458, ride short to 450 with Jul 19 455p/445p vertical spread or naked 455p if volume confirms.
Gamma flip zone is tight. Bulls need momentum + volume to break through. Otherwise, dealer hedging could pin MSFT here all week.
📉 MSFT 1-Hour Price Structure (Swing/Intraday Gameplan)
On the hourly, MSFT is in a rising wedge structure, testing overhead supply around 463–468, while forming lower highs and building distribution signals.
Key Observations:
* 🔻 Price failed to hold above BOS zone near 463.
* 📦 Sitting inside CHoCH supply (red box), multiple rejection candles printing.
* ⚠️ Overbought readings across BBP & DPR (98%+), MACD softening — potential for pullback.
📈 Swing Trade Setup:
* Bullish: Only get long if MSFT reclaims and bases above 465. Target: 470–475. Stop: below 460.
* Bearish: Break below 458 = clean swing short toward 450–447.5. Stop: above 461.
📊 Intraday Plan:
* Scalp rejection at 462–463 for short → first target 458, extended 455.
* Long scalp off 455.3–456 demand zone if market supports tech bounce.
Volume and index context (SPY/QQQ) are critical — MSFT follows market rotation, so use confluence.
💭 Final Take
MSFT is now dancing at the top of a major gamma ceiling. Without fresh momentum or market-wide tech strength, this area favors fade setups. GEX data supports cautious upside while rewarding early downside setups with clean risk-reward.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk properly before trading.
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Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.
Declinazione di responsabilità
Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.