RIOT: In the middle; bull and bear case
It's been rough for the miners. As BTC is making all time high, miner stocks are not getting any love. This divergence is ultimately result in market picking a direction after the consolidation is over. Right now, RIOT is range bound, sitting at the middle of a channel. I have both bullish and bearish EW count. Whichever is correct, doesn't really matter, as longer timeframe still looks very bullish.
Bullish case:
The blue count assumes minute degree wave 3 should start very soon. As long as price stays above $9.64, the bull case is still alive. Price looks to have found some support at the midline of the channel and if next week we see a nice big candle to the upside, it might get some momentum to start the wave 3 of 3 of 3. Risk is lower above $18.5.
Bearish case:
The black count assumes intermediate wave 2 correction is about to complete. Minute degree wave 3,4 and 5 will get going very soon and price should get back towards the bottom of the channel to complete this almost 8 months long consolidation. This may also align with a short correction for BTC and overall markets for the next couple of weeks. After that we should see a clear reversal and upward movement.
Bullish case:
The blue count assumes minute degree wave 3 should start very soon. As long as price stays above $9.64, the bull case is still alive. Price looks to have found some support at the midline of the channel and if next week we see a nice big candle to the upside, it might get some momentum to start the wave 3 of 3 of 3. Risk is lower above $18.5.
Bearish case:
The black count assumes intermediate wave 2 correction is about to complete. Minute degree wave 3,4 and 5 will get going very soon and price should get back towards the bottom of the channel to complete this almost 8 months long consolidation. This may also align with a short correction for BTC and overall markets for the next couple of weeks. After that we should see a clear reversal and upward movement.
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